Skip to comments.Parsing the Polls (Gallup is Projecting R+3 turnout)
Posted on 11/04/2012 11:50:34 AM PST by Perdogg
Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this years polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romneys lead may be several percentage points greater than the most recent round of polls suggests.
Gallup reviewed all of its interviews with likely voters conducted since October 1. Its conclusion: The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008 as well as 2004. Indeed, whether the sample is broken out on the basis of race, gender, level of education, or geographic location, the percentage of likely voters in each subset is no different than it was four years earlier.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Nate Silver gives it to Romney if the turnout is R+1.
my mother-in-law, am 86 year old life-long democrat, is considering not voting for obama this time around.
Great news!! I am hearing that from many Dems on twitter..those who voted for Obama in 2008 but either will be voting for Romney on Tuesday or just staying home. Even many Dems are sick and tired of Obama..the only support Obama will get is from the far left kooks and of course the media
“my mother-in-law, am 86 year old life-long democrat, is considering not voting for obama this time around.”
Tough nuts cracking all over the place :)
Excellent. We need a pic of the LGBT “counter protest” for comparison :-)
“far left kooks and of course the media”
One in the same.....
Great analysis m. Aligns perfectly with my thinking!
No, we don’t!
R+3 = Obama destruction.
R+3 = Obama destruction.
If it’s R+3 it will be an early night.
“Gallup reviewed all of its interviews with likely voters conducted since October 1.”
As the Gallup turns.....the new soap opera.
As stated my my self and others, Romney has always led.
It is Gallup’s time to protect its integrity (laugh track) as the election draws nigh.
How clever “reviewed” is as a segue to retention of integrity.
The confidence in an Obama victory over at DU is unshakable.
I’m no Romney fan, but the pleasure of helping to make heads explode over there won him my vote.
Here’s to a conservative House and Senate to keep Mitt on the straight and narrow!
I won’t even attempt a guess at what gender that is.
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