Skip to comments.Dead heat for Romney and Obama in latest Michigan poll (R47/O46)
Posted on 11/04/2012 5:37:49 AM PST by tatown
Who are you most likely to vote for in the Presidential election - Democratic President Barack Obama, or Republican Nominee, Governor Mitt Romney, another candidate, or are you undecided?
Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86% President Barack Obama 46.24% Another candidate 4.94% Undecided 1.96%
(Excerpt) Read more at myfoxdetroit.com ...
Romney wins Michigan 54-46.
I hope I never meet anyone in that 1.96% undecided. They’ve obviously never accomplished a thing in their miserable, hand wringing, linguini spined lives.
Wow! MI has not gone for a GOP presidential candidate since Bush I in 1988.
Looks like it might be a blowout. Everything is breaking Romney’s way, with Blue States falling like dominoes!
Actually, the “undecided” voter I know voted for the O in 2008 and is undecided this year whether he will stay home or vote for Romney. He’s already decided not to vote for O again. So if he were asked, he would say that he is “undecided.”
Not even al dente.
If that were Obozo by +1 the media would be reporting it as a dead heat...........would they?
Miiiich-i-gan R 52% - O 47% - other 1%.
The Weather Channel seems to want the election postponed.
Wasted a lot of time talking to “experts” about it this morning.
Must be good weather today everywhere.
Exactly what I thought !
(From Citizens United, of the famous Citizens United Supreme Court case that got Obama so steamed.)
Polls are worthless at this point — regardless of who they show winning or previous accuracy. All that matters now is turnout, turnout, turnout.
Looking forward to my Schadenfreude party this Tuesday night...
Don't say that too loudly to leftist trolls that are on websites like Breitbart right now. They would tell you that the vast majority of polls, Nate Silver, and Intrade are predicting an Obama win, so it's in the bag for them./sarc
All the voting enthusiasm is heavily GOP.
Obama is going through the motions now. If it was really close, he would be in FL.
But we know that Romney is finishing his campaign tomorrow in NH.
I’m increasingly confident of a big GOP win. The polls do not get it.
Nate Silver 11/04: 306.9 EV’s, 85.1% Chance of Winning
Somebody is wrong...
Not just wrong, but REALLY WRONG...
If Romney wins this, the Mainstream Media has some real explaining to do.
5% other, Virgil, Paul?
Obomba won by 16 points in 2008.
Yup... if MI, MN and OR are in play and Romney has the edge in MI, something is way off.
This is not supposed to be happening. O carried these states in a walk in 2008 and here he’s struggling to hold a tie in them.
How is it tied up nationally, while deep blue states like MN, MI, and PA are showing a dead heat?
If Obama does not win these states by high single digits/low double digits, it would portend a bad night for Obama, no?
This is the strangest year relative to polling.
If R&R win this election and I’m cautiously optimistic that they will, Nate Silver will never be heard from again in the political scene and the leftists will burn that jerk’s career down.
Nate Silver and Intrade are full of it!
We’ll see who is right Tuesday. But a sitting Democratic President under 50% in states he owns - stick a fork in him. He’s done.
You don’t win states by 10 points four years ago and end in a tie in them today.
Where is O’s momentum?
You beat my thoughts by a minute. LOL!
Let’s make it so. It’s GO time...as in Obama has gotta GO!
Exactly. Even the biased polling is indicating a huge landslide for Romney if you read between the lines and just think about it a bit.
David Gregory and Chuck Todd were carrying Obama’s water hard this morning on Sunday Today. And, it appears Nate Silver will have a prominent spot in the cover story on CBS Sunday Morning.
I think the pollsters are colluding to generate an agreed upon result. Rush said something similar on Friday, he said not even the republican pollsters are willing to stick their neck out this time.
It seems the pollsters hace all agreed to report a tied race. Gallup being out of the picture is even more puzzling.
The funny thing with these three states, MI, PA, and MN (even OR), is that they came into play so late that the corrupt state pollsters like CBS/QP and NBC/Marist can’t make any late minute push polls to change narrative.
How can anyone be undecided? I’m in Florida and everywhere I go people are talking about the election, making remarks about how they can’t believe the mess we’re in and what’s wrong with these people that are supporting O. There are people in my neighborhood that I’ve known for years who never talked politics that are actively engaged and determined to oust O.
Not entirely sure what you are trying to say, but I can tell you that in VA, a vote for Goode is a vote for Obama. Pure/Simple. Either you want Obama to win or you don’t. Goode’s only on the ballot in VA so his campaign is folly and his supporters idiotas muy grande.
I don’t want to sound negative on this one, but as I opened the link I was saying to myself “please don’t be Baydoun”. Their polling in Michigan doesn’t have the best track record (they’ve frequently shown Romney doing better in Michigan than Rasmussen and others have) Again, I hope they’re right, but I’d wait for the next Rasmussen poll of Michigan.
What happened to Gallup? Why are they out of the picture?
Pray for inclement weather in Michigan on Tuesday.
Sounds like a chance of rain on tuesday night with temps in the 30s.
I hope I never meet anyone in that 1.96% undecided. Theyve obviously never accomplished a thing in their miserable, hand wringing, linguini spined lives.
Actually, I think most of them are lying attention whores. I wouldn’t trust a word any “undecided” says about their personal party affiliation, who they have voted for in the past, or who they are planning on voting for.
I’ve always felt that way about undecideds.
There’s a long term rightward tend going on in Michigan.
Bottom line, if he takes the states he's supposed to and adds Colorado plus any one of MN, WI, or MI, he wins. If he gets either PA or OH, any of those states puts him over the top (CO, MN, WI, MI, NV, IA). If they are all in a "too close to call" such that it's a coin toss, he ought to win at least one, you'd think.
The good news is there are lots of realistic possibilities that get him to 270, it's not all down to just one or two states. The bad news is it's not over, even though the sentiment seems to favor Romney. To win he has to flip some deep blue states and flipping blue states is almost as hard as flipping a liberal SCOTUS judge.
That way they can claim their predictions was spot on no matter what happens, if the race is really close they can say they nailed it. If one candidate breaks out and wins by a decent margin they can claim they polls had been trending toward that candidate and "the dam broke" after the last poll was released. That's why there seems to be a little "good" news for each candidate in every poll. (If Romney wins, they will say "our polls showed independents moving toward Romney" if Obama wins "he got a huge boost in approval for the hurricane response". At this point it's all a game of CYA...
Their was a story at I think it was Ali_Pundit with his Obama contact, that Team Romney sent an internal poll to an underling and it went to the top, Axelrod and Jarret came unglued and Obama then said "You didn't build that"....
The point is, they are probably playing to his weaknesses and it wouldn't surpise me if they have a shrink aboard to learn how to play him.
Another point to your shell game, Yes, they rop-a-doped him by going after his weak 08' winners, but now he is going after his deep blue prize give-me's.
If that rumor of a purposefully leaked memo is correct, and they got under their skin, their internals back then were way better than anyone knew, and potentially Team Obama knew they were weak in more places than they ever let on.
Look at Romney’s demeanor. I watched him on CSPAN last night at his rally in CO - which he will win here - and he had all the assurance of a man who knows he’s going to be President.
His rally was electric! You can just feel the flow of history there. People don’t turn out in large numbers to see a loser.
And there are all the newspaper endorsements Romney’s getting - again, newspaper editors don’t endorse someone they think is going to lose.
Bottom line: Mitt Romney will be our next President!
Good, let's hope it stays like that or gets a bit less comfortable! We need every break for Romney to win Michigan.
It all depends on turnout D+ or R+ number.
Are Macomb, Oakland and Wayne still holding Romney?
My eyes are good, but what numbers are the 3 I mentioned...
For those of you in Rio-Linda, if Romney picks of 2 or 3 of those Blue Counties it is over in MI for Obama...
I am curious at Catholic Masses across the State today if letters are being read to remind folks of three important issues to remember when they step in the booth...
* Sanctity of Life
* Sanctity of Marriage
* Freedom of Religion i.e. no Sibilius Mandate...
This MI poll is astounding, if accurate. For Romney to have even a tiny lead in MI, WI, or MN must be an indicator that the national polls showing 0bama up slightly must be off. We shall see. Tuesday night-Wednesday morning will be very interesting.
“I hope I never meet anyone in that 1.96% undecided. Theyve obviously never accomplished a thing in their miserable, hand wringing, linguini spined lives.”
I can’t take time to worry about those contemptible balls of fluff. I am too busy puking every time I think about those who still intend to vote for public enemy number one for a SECOND time!
I can understand that some people despise the Bushes, I can even understand that some people despised Ronald Reagan. What I cannot understand is how anyone could be taken in by Obama once, never mind twice. I don’t even understand those who still swear that Slick Willie is a great man. I look at them the same way I look at someone who swears that he would rather eat fried liver than Porterhouse steak, as incomprehensible to me as anything can ever be.