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Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up
Dispatch ^

Posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:08 PM PDT by Arthurio

Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up

Obama has edge, but high GOP turnout could turn Ohio to Romney

The “Ohio firewall” precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day.

The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the survey’s margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

Ohio remains the consensus top battlefield in the 2012 presidential election, and the campaigns are showing it: Both candidates and both running mates are here today, and three of the four are coming back on Monday. That will make 83 visits by presidential candidates to Ohio this year, a record at least in modern history.

(Excerpt) Read more at dispatch.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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To: Ravi
Like all polls, the Dispatch Poll is subject to possible error other than sampling error. Other sources of error include unintentional bias in the wording of questions, data-entry error and nonresponse bias. Nonresponse bias means that those who responded might not necessarily reflect the views of those who did not participate. The response rate for this poll was 15 percent.
21 posted on 11/03/2012 9:50:45 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: tsowellfan

A few people out of 5.8 million voters. I will take those odds. Did u forget the purge husted did earlier this year?


22 posted on 11/03/2012 9:51:03 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: tsowellfan
The Constitution says what the government can do “for” the people...

Perhaps you should read the Constitution to get a feel for what it really says.

23 posted on 11/03/2012 9:54:14 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: wolfman23601

“If we can steal another midwestern state like Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, we could get some insurance incase Virginia goes sour.”

Add Iowa to the states likely to go sour. The Nov. 4 Des Moines Register poll is out showing President Obama with a 5 point lead - Romney only has 42.


24 posted on 11/03/2012 10:04:28 PM PDT by Perkalong
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To: ProtectOurFreedom
Perhaps you should read the Constitution to get a feel for what it really says.

And exactly WHERE in FreeRepublic do I not have a feel for what the US Constitution says?

25 posted on 11/03/2012 10:07:31 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: Ravi

I will Ravi. I follow your threads like a groupie. lol


26 posted on 11/03/2012 10:08:02 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Perkalong

That poll has a history of being horribly wrong. Said Obama would win by 17 points, he won by only 9. Said Kerry would win Iowa by 3, but Bush won Iowa.

Iowa is in play. No other reason for Obama to be spending so much time there in the final weekend.


27 posted on 11/03/2012 10:09:34 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Perkalong

Internals?


28 posted on 11/03/2012 10:11:31 PM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Perkalong

Forget Iowa, this is down to Virginia and Ohio.


29 posted on 11/03/2012 10:11:53 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: snarkytart

since you are going wobbly maybe you should be reminded that the GOP is doing very already in Ohio.


30 posted on 11/03/2012 10:14:43 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: wolfman23601

says who? VA will go Romney.


31 posted on 11/03/2012 10:16:08 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: wolfman23601

WI is too small to help unless he gets CO and OH too. The chance of Romney winning PA even while losing VA? That’d be the king of all Hail Mary passes.


32 posted on 11/03/2012 10:20:04 PM PDT by JediJones (Vote NO on Proposition Zero! Tuesday, November 6th!)
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To: JediJones

“The chance of Romney winning PA even while losing VA? That’d be the king of all Hail Mary passes.”

You never know. Virginia is very black, which is Obama’s base. Suppose the black vote turns out for Bammy, but the union white vote doesn’t? You could have a PA win and a VA loss. Different demographics.


33 posted on 11/03/2012 10:24:45 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: wolfman23601

Romney will win both.


34 posted on 11/03/2012 10:25:43 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: JediJones

No early voting in PA. So a last minute surge in PA wins it.

WI + CO + NH = R victory, assuming VA holds.


35 posted on 11/03/2012 10:25:45 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: wolfman23601

VA is not that “black” - stop being an Eeyore.


36 posted on 11/03/2012 10:27:07 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: FReepers; Patriots
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37 posted on 11/03/2012 10:27:33 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: wolfman23601

“Forget Iowa, this is down to Virginia and Ohio.”

This is why it is so mystifying that Romney has been spending so much time in other states like Wisconsin and now Pennsylvania. That is what McCain did.


38 posted on 11/03/2012 10:28:16 PM PDT by Perkalong
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To: Perkalong

Or, another way to look at it, less than a week before election day and Obama has only nailed down 47% of the vote in a state he won easily back in 2008.

If undecideds break heavily for the challenger, as they have in almost every single past election, Romney could indeed still take Iowa.


39 posted on 11/03/2012 10:29:34 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: snarkytart

No problem.


40 posted on 11/03/2012 10:30:32 PM PDT by Ravi
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