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Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up
Dispatch ^

Posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:08 PM PDT by Arthurio

Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up

Obama has edge, but high GOP turnout could turn Ohio to Romney

The “Ohio firewall” precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day.

The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the survey’s margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

Ohio remains the consensus top battlefield in the 2012 presidential election, and the campaigns are showing it: Both candidates and both running mates are here today, and three of the four are coming back on Monday. That will make 83 visits by presidential candidates to Ohio this year, a record at least in modern history.

(Excerpt) Read more at dispatch.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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The mail poll of 1,501 likely Ohio voters Oct. 24 through yesterday has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points. The partisan breakdown of those who returned the poll: 40 percent Democrat, 36percent Republican, 21 percent independent, and the rest divided among the other four political parties recognized in Ohio.
1 posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:10 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Excellent! D+4 aint happening!


2 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:17 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Arthurio

Me don’t likey. OH don’t be big guilty white fools.


3 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:33 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Arthurio

D+4, not enough INDs. Flip the numbers. Romney 50-48.


4 posted on 11/03/2012 9:32:57 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Ravi

Romney will win both OH and PA.

Its over!


5 posted on 11/03/2012 9:34:12 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Arthurio

#Obamasrevenge
http://twitter.com/search?q=%23ObamasRevenge


6 posted on 11/03/2012 9:34:22 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: CatOwner

Yup, this one is looking real good. If OH, goes R, then PA, MI are possible. If this happens its game over.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 9:35:07 PM PDT by ping jockey (Winning in 2012)
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To: Arthurio

Ive read this poll has been very accurately in predicting the winner in years past. This damn state just won’t budge...the Obama campaign has basically been poisoning it for the past four years.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 9:36:08 PM PDT by SMCC1
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To: goldstategop

I know. Very exciting to see this. It represents what i see with the early vote and spreadsheet. Actually still undercounting the republican enthusiasm i see in the data.


9 posted on 11/03/2012 9:36:31 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi; CatOwner

Nail bitingly close. FWIW, the Dispatch overestimated Obama’s winning margin in ‘08 by 1.5 points


10 posted on 11/03/2012 9:42:04 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: SMCC1

I know. It seems there are too many union members.


11 posted on 11/03/2012 9:42:45 PM PDT by Lou Budvis (I'm voting AB0/RYAN)
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To: combat_boots

I just saw this one and retweeted it:

#ObamasRevenge: The Constitution says what the government can do “for” the people not what it can do “to” the people!


12 posted on 11/03/2012 9:43:33 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: Arthurio

Pretty good news for Romney.

These numbers certainly don’t guarantee he takes Ohio, but he is right in the thick of it and has got to feel very good about his chances.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 9:43:33 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: SMCC1; Ravi

And Romney’s own team said they have OH at +2 or -2 delpending on the polling day. It’s gonna be all about turn out. ALL the polls showing OH tied or Obama slightly ahead cannot be wrong. Period.

The only positive thing is early voting for dems is down from 2008 and up for pubbies in OH.


14 posted on 11/03/2012 9:43:56 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SMCC1; Ravi

And Romney’s own team said they have OH at +2 or -2 depending on the polling day. It’s gonna be all about turn out. ALL the polls showing OH tied or Obama slightly ahead cannot be wrong. Period.

The only positive thing is early voting for dems is down from 2008 and up for pubbies in OH.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 9:45:51 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: comebacknewt

I heard on the radio today that we can expect from %2 up to as high as %6 in some swing states to be voter fraud and that number should be added to Obama’s side because of it.

I’m assuming this polling data has already considered that.

http://foxnewsinsider.com/tag/voter-fraud/


16 posted on 11/03/2012 9:46:03 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: snarkytart

Just watch my county by county update tomorrow nite.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 9:46:17 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: tsowellfan

Not in ohio


18 posted on 11/03/2012 9:47:11 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Arthurio

IMO Ohio is looking good, better than Virginia to be honest. If we can steal another midwestern state like Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, we could get some insurance incase Virginia goes sour.


19 posted on 11/03/2012 9:48:41 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Ravi

‘Adolf Hitler’ Shows Up on Voter Registration Card in Ohio


20 posted on 11/03/2012 9:48:51 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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