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New Minnesota Poll: Romney 46%, 0bama 45%
Politico ^

Posted on 11/03/2012 5:02:48 PM PDT by Arthurio

New Minnesota Poll: Romney 46%, 0bama 45%

NMB Research conducted a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in Minnesota from October 30-31, 2012. Twenty percent (20%) of the interviews were conducted with cell phone respondents. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 4.38 percent in 95 out of 100 cases.

(Excerpt) Read more at images.politico.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Minnesota
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; mn2012
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1 posted on 11/03/2012 5:02:52 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Hmmmmmmmm guess we find out in 3 days! Will it be like Christmas morning or April Fools?


2 posted on 11/03/2012 5:05:19 PM PDT by Michigander222
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To: Arthurio

Holy crap! This is reagan carter all over again.


3 posted on 11/03/2012 5:06:17 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: Arthurio

May a bolt of lightning strike the first Freeper who comes to this thread with the tired cliche “fool’s gold.”


4 posted on 11/03/2012 5:06:32 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: Arthurio

Man, A sitting President that can only muster 45% means his dqys are numbered


5 posted on 11/03/2012 5:07:10 PM PDT by timlilje
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To: Arthurio

This lends credibility to Romney’s choices to go into Blue states. He is not bluffing and that makes me very happy. Obama really is playing defense.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 5:07:28 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Arthurio

This is a good thing. I guess Jill Biden couldn’t rally the troops.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 5:08:11 PM PDT by InvisibleChurch (the mature Christian is almost impossible to offend)
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To: Arthurio

If this poll is even close to accurate, the tsunami is forthcoming.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 5:08:21 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: Arthurio

With a 5% MOE, not a lot of room for the Yippy shout, but I’ll take it!


9 posted on 11/03/2012 5:08:48 PM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: SamAdams76

I’m with Mark Levin - not going to put much credence into any polling. Just hoping and praying for a Romney win!


10 posted on 11/03/2012 5:09:06 PM PDT by Catsrus (WANT)
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To: Arthurio

Who would`ve thought... no wonder the 0bama campaign has had to send Clinton into MN. If MN is truly a potential flip for Romney, then we`re talking mandate.

Please, dear God.. throught your most perfect Son Jesus.. we ask.. let it be so.


11 posted on 11/03/2012 5:09:06 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Pray hard!)
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To: Arthurio

If Romney IS leading in Minnesota, there is even hope for my state...Illinois.


12 posted on 11/03/2012 5:09:37 PM PDT by teletech (Say NO to RINOS!)
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To: Michigander222
I'd like to think this is true, BUT I suspect Polling has become corrupt and politicized. No idea whom is going to win this. If I have to make a decision I'll go with crowds and enthusiasm>>> Romney
13 posted on 11/03/2012 5:09:47 PM PDT by DAC21
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To: Arthurio

What about the internals?


14 posted on 11/03/2012 5:10:29 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: Arthurio

While we’re on a roll how about a poll of Illinois?


15 posted on 11/03/2012 5:10:41 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: teletech
If Romney IS leading in Minnesota, there is even hope for my state...Illinois.

No there isn't.

16 posted on 11/03/2012 5:11:54 PM PDT by johniegrad
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To: Michigander222

“Hmmmmmmmm guess we find out in 3 days! Will it be like Christmas morning or April Fools?”

No, Nov 6th is my Birthday. Wish me a VERY happy birthday here in Minnesota!!


17 posted on 11/03/2012 5:12:08 PM PDT by LiveFreeOrDie2001 (Best Cook on Free Republic! ;-))
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To: ScottinVA

throught=through


18 posted on 11/03/2012 5:12:08 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Pray hard!)
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To: Arthurio

This and Mitt is attracting 30K in Ohio while the chair attracts 4K in Cleaveland.

This is a close race? Something is not passing the smell test.


19 posted on 11/03/2012 5:12:13 PM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: Arthurio
But, but, this can't be true. Wasn't Clinton just in MN and wrapped it all up for O’Loins? *snort*
20 posted on 11/03/2012 5:13:43 PM PDT by JPG (Make it happen)
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To: Arthurio; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll Ping.


21 posted on 11/03/2012 5:14:01 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Arthurio

Could very well be that the Midwest destroys the regime. (fly-over country) We already know that the Southerners don’t buy into Bozo.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 5:14:40 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: conservativepoet

one thing you can say about Romney, he is very smart.

almost thinks he is playing rope-a-dope with barry. hang around ohio for awhile then run off to a blue state. hang around florida, then go to pennsylvania.

i think the internals are showing Romney alot better off than what is being reported from the major polls & the msm.

they are in it for viewers. Romney is in it for voters.

I think that on the 6th, the pollsters will show Romney with a big edge and a resounding win.

afterall, the pollsters have to save face on the last day, like they usually do.

Blessings, Bobo


23 posted on 11/03/2012 5:15:38 PM PDT by bobo1
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To: carlo3b

an incumbant @45% is not good place to be.


24 posted on 11/03/2012 5:15:44 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Arthurio

Political earthquake.


25 posted on 11/03/2012 5:15:51 PM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Arthurio

We’re gonna need more popcorn!


26 posted on 11/03/2012 5:19:18 PM PDT by LUV W (All my heroes wear camos!)
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To: Arthurio

I can’t believe drudge has not posted this


27 posted on 11/03/2012 5:20:14 PM PDT by zt1053
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To: ScottinVA

Obama won Minnesota by 10 points in 2008. This was less than Nevada (12), Pennsylvania (10.3), and Wisconsin (14) — not to mention well below Michigan and Oregon. The differential was roughly the same as New Hampshire.

Given the less unfavorable demographics in Minnesota, it is not surprising that it is in play. I have actually been surprised that we haven’t heard more about it so far.


28 posted on 11/03/2012 5:20:34 PM PDT by jjsheridan5 (concern trolls are gonna be concerned)
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To: Arthurio
So speculation about Obama going to Wisconsin tomorrow was right - Obama fears losing Minnesota but doesn't want to go there because of the message that would send - so he's going to an area that gets him exposure in Minnesota without the stigma of crossing the border. GO R&R GO!
29 posted on 11/03/2012 5:20:48 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: Arthurio
If...and that's a big if...this poll reflects the actual results in 3 days, then the election is in the bag for Romney.
30 posted on 11/03/2012 5:21:23 PM PDT by Joseph Harrolds
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To: jjsheridan5

In addition to the above, the differential of 10 points was roughly the same as Iowa (9.5).


31 posted on 11/03/2012 5:22:09 PM PDT by jjsheridan5 (concern trolls are gonna be concerned)
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To: DAC21
In 1980, the mainstream media portrayed the election as a "horse race" right up to the very end. Below is an image of the Newsweak cover that came out just a few days before the election.

Same as now, back then you had a weak and ineffective incumbent who was a darling of the liberal establishment and with whom the mainstream media was heavily invested in.

So the media did all that they could that year to perpetuate the "dead heat" meme so that they could provide hope for the supporters of the incumbent and demoralize the supporters of the challenger (Reagan).

Fortunately it didn't work and it shouldn't work this time around either.

I never did buy the "Reagan surge" the last weekend of the campaign. I felt that Reagan was headed for a blowout victory all along and that the media - through their bogus polls - were artificially keeping the race close all the way to the end.


32 posted on 11/03/2012 5:22:39 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: carlo3b

Romney statistically tied with 0bama in MINNESOTA?! I’ll take it!


33 posted on 11/03/2012 5:22:51 PM PDT by GCC Catholic (Romney/Ryan 2012)
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To: Arthurio

We need at least a two point lead in every state to combat voter fraud.


34 posted on 11/03/2012 5:23:34 PM PDT by Husker24
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To: bobo1
There is commonly a point in a campaign, mid-afternoon on the Saturday before the election, when the candidates themselves and their inner circle come to know and realize that it's within their grasp. That moment seems to have arrived this afternoon in the Romney campaign - first Carl Cameron notes, Romney was feeling quite giddy and joking around with his staffers on the campaign plane. Then, when introducing Mitt before the 2nd rally today in Colorado, Ann Romney really appeared to tear up and IMO was the time she realized, God wiling, she really was introducing the next POTUS. The final Colorado rally of the day is just about to begin with coverage on C-SPAN. Vote for love of country and GO R&R GO!
35 posted on 11/03/2012 5:25:02 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: Arthurio

I’m among the LAST of people that will run crying for Federal laws, but damn...... I wish they would just ban polling.


36 posted on 11/03/2012 5:25:18 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: Arthurio

13% lead with indies ? Praying that it’s real after seeing other polls this weekend!!


37 posted on 11/03/2012 5:25:38 PM PDT by Bigjimslade
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To: Arthurio

Looks good but we need the internals and the turnout model before jumping up and down.


38 posted on 11/03/2012 5:25:42 PM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: DAC21

Yeah. I’m not popping the corks until o thug is gone.


39 posted on 11/03/2012 5:26:17 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: TMA62
.. Something is not passing the smell test.


             

40 posted on 11/03/2012 5:26:37 PM PDT by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 < < > > 300 +)
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To: zt1053

It’s there “Shock Poll”.


41 posted on 11/03/2012 5:26:42 PM PDT by arichtaxpayer
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To: Arthurio
Bubbahas been camped out there for days....

What I have noticed when I go to Romney's site is that for WEEKS he has had GOTV victory mtgs at 9am every day in cities ALL across MN, MI, and WI. I think he has been silently and stealthily turning it out so as to not draw attention and have those states barraged with negative ads. I think you are seeing the rewards of that strategy.

42 posted on 11/03/2012 5:28:06 PM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Barry, Barry quite contrary, how does your government grow?...)
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To: barmag25

I don’t know about yours, but mine are in a complete uproar!


43 posted on 11/03/2012 5:29:05 PM PDT by liberlog
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To: Arthurio
NMB Research conducted a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in Minnesota from October 30-31, 2012. Twenty percent (20%) of the interviews were conducted with cell phone respondents.

Ah, there's where they made their mistake. They only contacted likely voters who could be reached by phone. They forgot to include the 10 percent of Minnesota voters who can only be contacted by Ouija board and who always vote a straight Democratic party ticket.

44 posted on 11/03/2012 5:30:22 PM PDT by Flatus I. Maximus (OVERTHROW OBAMA!)
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To: Steven W.

Any clue as to a YouTube re that rally (today) you mentioned re Ann ?


45 posted on 11/03/2012 5:31:46 PM PDT by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 < < > > 300 +)
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To: Arthurio

Wow...I am shocked, don;t really know what to say other than thanks for the good news^^


46 posted on 11/03/2012 5:33:16 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Steven W.
Maybe this is it ?

Romney in Colorado Springs, CO 11/3/2012

47 posted on 11/03/2012 5:34:08 PM PDT by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 < < > > 300 +)
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To: Jet Jaguar

Not directed to anyone in particular. But can I just say that I am sick of the word “meme.”


48 posted on 11/03/2012 5:34:38 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: Jet Jaguar

Not directed to anyone in particular. But can I just say that I am sick of the word “meme.”


49 posted on 11/03/2012 5:34:43 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: Arthurio

I can’t wait for election day to be over whether Romney wins or loses. I can’t handle the constant e-mails for donations and the polls that are up and down. I got 10 e-mails this afternoon telling me 3 different poll results from Florida and Ohio and that Romney was down in 2 of them and then another one was how he was surging in Virginia and Pennsylvania and might squeak out New Hampshire but lose Ohio and Florida.

WTF is going on?


50 posted on 11/03/2012 5:37:23 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (In a world where I feel so small, I can't stop thinking big.)
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