“Actually, this means Romney wins 54-46.”
Maybe more like 52-48. The undecideds won’t break 100% for the challenger. At best, they’ll break 3:1. Most polls still suggest that Romney wins 51-48 (1% other). I’ll take it. Rasmussen stated on Hannity last week that it’s virtually impossible to lose the Electoral College if a candidate wins by more than 1% nationally.
That is Karl Rove's final prediction: 51-48 and at least 279 EV. In 2008 he gave "EV prediction: Obama 338, McCain 200." Final was 365 - 173; 52.7 - 45.6
Michael Barone's "Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals."