Posted on 11/03/2012 12:29:29 PM PDT by Arthurio
Washington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos national voting data shows the candidates exactly even on 46%. Other findings include:
Over a quarter (27%) have already cast votes, which breaks down to 51% Obama vs. 44% Romney
Almost a third (31%) have been contacted on the phone or in person by one or both of the campaigns
The most important issues to voting are the economy and jobs, followed by healthcare, the deficit, and social issues. Independents especially prioritize economic issues like unemployment and the deficit
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 6,211 American registered voters and 5,114 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) was interviewed online. On October 29th, Ipsos began boosting sample in four swing states, which accounts for the increase in our overall sample size. The data collected in these states are included in our national sample, although weighted appropriately to reflect the population of each state relative to the national population. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points for Registered Voters and 3.4 for Likely Voters. Likely voter model adjusted to include all respondents who have voted, as of 10.15.12. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
(Excerpt) Read more at ipsos-na.com ...
Subject is “sample” so “sample was.”
Wonder why this is not included in RCP’s average?
A FRIGGIN ONLINE POLL... SAUCED UP FOR JUST THE RIGHT MARXIST FLAVOR!!! BOGUS POLL ALERT!!!!!!! FROM THEIR SITE:
“These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 6,211 American registered voters and 5,114 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) WAS INTERVIEWED ONLINE. On October 29th, Ipsos began boosting sample in four swing states, which accounts for the increase in our overall sample size. The data collected in these states are included in our national sample, although weighted appropriately to reflect the population of each state relative to the national population. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points for Registered Voters and 3.4 for Likely Voters. Likely voter model adjusted to include all respondents who have voted, as of 10.15.12. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.
Your welcome.
It was funny, because I brought my reluctant wife who is a soft Republican but not very political.
So we are walking out of the rally (it was at Pease Air Force Base with Romney’s plane parked right behind him) and my wife walks over to this area to see if she could see Romney walk out towards his plane.
And what do you know... It was part of the “rope line” and my wife got to shake Mitt and Ann Romney’s hands.
My wife said Mitt looked her straight in the eyes and thanked her “for taking time out of your day.” She could not believe the sincerity. It fired her up for the election now just like me.
Things work in strange ways. I converted my own wife. :)
That is Karl Rove's final prediction: 51-48 and at least 279 EV. In 2008 he gave "EV prediction: Obama 338, McCain 200." Final was 365 - 173; 52.7 - 45.6
Michael Barone's "Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals."
I don’t recall ever getting as many calls as I’ve had this year from pollsters. Maybe it’s due to my wife being a `free-thinker’ in years past or my misspent political youth and their records show we may be `polling gold’.
But once they pose the stock: “Do you believe that you’re better off now than 4 years ago ... “ query, and I start giving them an earful (e.g. Heeeeeellllll no!) the disappointment on the other end is tangible.
I spoke to a `Lateesha’ this morning; sorry darlin’ but you asked.
So I guess we’ll see, but I expect this Tuesday night when it’s looking a lot like deja-1980 all over again for the Dems, and then when the dust settles ... four years from now they’ll be pulling out the same: “9 out of 10 pollsters, who also happen to be TV medical doctors, using quasi-scientific methodology virtually untainted by partisan sampling bias, on odd-numbered days influenced by neap tides blah blah blah” happy crappy, Pappy.
I’m ready for this to be over so we can start riding Romney in the right direction. My one-time tag line, below, demonstrates my near crab-boat fatigue with the pols, their hired hands and the polls.
Anything by the sub-human, neo-Nazi, anti-semitic crew at Reuters is useless. These pricks are spawn from Goebbel’s propaganda ministry, and Israel has either arrested or banned their stringers from entering the country. They are persona non grata.
Useless twaddle, Reuter a-holes.
Whoever ran the Hassan pays no property tax ad deserves a pat on the back. It’s easy to drive up other peoples taxes as you live in tax exempt school property...what a bunch of BS...this really struck a cord with my relatives in Franklin, Tilton, Meredith & Laconia; people are angry about this one.
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