Posted on 11/03/2012 12:29:29 PM PDT by Arthurio
Washington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos national voting data shows the candidates exactly even on 46%. Other findings include:
Over a quarter (27%) have already cast votes, which breaks down to 51% Obama vs. 44% Romney
Almost a third (31%) have been contacted on the phone or in person by one or both of the campaigns
The most important issues to voting are the economy and jobs, followed by healthcare, the deficit, and social issues. Independents especially prioritize economic issues like unemployment and the deficit
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 6,211 American registered voters and 5,114 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) was interviewed online. On October 29th, Ipsos began boosting sample in four swing states, which accounts for the increase in our overall sample size. The data collected in these states are included in our national sample, although weighted appropriately to reflect the population of each state relative to the national population. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points for Registered Voters and 3.4 for Likely Voters. Likely voter model adjusted to include all respondents who have voted, as of 10.15.12. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
(Excerpt) Read more at ipsos-na.com ...
We need the turnout model, otherwise this information is of marginal value.
GIGO poll!
But O still cannot crack 50% in the lefty-leaning al Rooters/Ipsos! That’s all that really matters.
Kiss him good-bye!
Like I have been saying for a while, Obama will get about 46-47 percent of the moocher vote, the rest will go to Romney..Romney will win 52-47
Isn’t it interesting that all the polls have it a ‘dead heat’?
Bammy at 46%. Best national poll in several days with the conventional wisdom that 2/3 break for the challenger.
Mixing registered with likely voters to give Obama some 'juice'.
These guys show Obama up in both Virginia and Florida, which should tell you something about the accuracy of the national number.
Any Presidential incumbent stuck at 46-47% is usually called an ex-President.
Thank you.
I was wondering what the trend was.
Suggests the small hurricane bump is fading. Should be completely gone by Tuesday.
Barry's toast. Finis. Stick a fork in him.
Yep. Was going to comment similarly.
Obama is in deep trouble. The race is basically a dead heat nationally, using a D+3-7 model.
But if the electorate is more in line with R+1 then Romney wins rather easily. Plus it is clear that the enthusiasm and drive is on the Romney side. The crowds are on fire.
I attended Romney’s NH Rally this morning. There had to be 3-4,000... for a (doors open at 630AM) early morning rally. McCain would pull in 500 or so.
Just looking at the event today, and his people, the planners, staff - this looks like a team that knows it’s going to win. It was impressive.
The media is propping up O like Bernie’s on the weekend.
Their national numbers are a joke. No one really believes O will get 50%. The MSM and the Left are living in the dream world they have carefully constructed for themselves.
It will all come crashing down on Tuesday, like a house of cards!
State polls are the only thing to count if one is even remotely interested in the polls. Any national poll that say surveys a ton of people in some democommie stronghold like Mass would surely favor the democommie.
I don’t care if Romney wins by one or 202, I just want him to win. In fact, the closer to even the better as that will send the deranged psychotic left over the edge. Know what a wild democommie whose side loses an election and begins rioting is called: a moving target.
About 35-38% of registered voters do not vote. This indicates that the likely voter is overstated by 20%. Based on history the likely voters in a sample of 6,211 would be about 3,900. Registered voter polls always seem to favor democrats.
“For the survey, a sample of 6,211 American registered voters and 5,114 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) was interviewed online. “
shouldn’t it be “were interviewed online” and not “was interviewed online”??
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First Known Use: 1865
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