http://www.pittsburghlive.com/images/video/2008_pdfs/Poll%20Memo-PA-Statewide-Oct08.pdf
Final Top Line Survey Results
Susquehanna Polling - Fall 2008 Statewide Poll
Sample Size: 700 Registered Likely Voters
Conducted: October 16-18, 2008
Following are the key findings from the poll:
In the current poll, Democratic candidate Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by a 48/40 margin, with 7% still undecided.
[Final Result: 54.4% Obama, 44.2% McCain]
So in 2008 Susquehanna correctly showed Obama ahead by 8 points in PA. Shows they are fair, and not pushing a narrative like other polls.
I trust this poll. I think Romney will win PA. Crappy McCain got 44%...Romney can definitely get a few more points than him.