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Breaking: Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four
Susquehanna Polling ^ | November 2, 2012 | Erie County Republican Party

Posted on 11/02/2012 7:50:40 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin

Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four Posted on November 2, 2012 by eriecogop

Susquehanna Polling and Research results for Pennsylvania released today shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama 49% to 45% among 1376 likely voters. Two percent are undecided and 3% are for other candidates.

In the same sample Republican Tom Smith leads Senator Casey by two percentage points in the race for the United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania. Smith is at 48% to Casey’s 46% according to this poll.

Diana Irey Vaughan (R) is tied with McCord at 45% each, David Freed(R) trails Kane by 45% to 47% and Maher(R) leads DePasuale 45% to 44%.

This poll shows the highly competitive nature of all statewide races where there are no highly favored candidates and it also reveals that Pennsylvania is definitely in play for both the presidential and senatorial races which will determine control of the direction of this nation between two differing visions on energy independence, education, international trade, balancing the budget and support for small businesses.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; election2012; obama; pa2012; pennsylvania; poll; romney
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To: CWW

Clearly, all their base are belong to us.

If PA gets called early enough, I’m going to bed at a decent hour.

I’ll have earned my rest after a long day at the polls.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 8:00:17 PM PDT by GEC (We're not drilling in ANWR because....)
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To: chiya

Wow, major good news for R. You have seen several analyst all saying PA is in play for real this time. And even WashPost indicated it was trending R.


22 posted on 11/02/2012 8:00:39 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: Deagle

Look, it has long been recognized that the corrupt MSM’s propagandizing on behalf of Democrats easily gives them about a 15 point bump.


23 posted on 11/02/2012 8:01:21 PM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
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To: Arec Barrwin

BBBBBBIIIIIIIIIPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!!!!!!


24 posted on 11/02/2012 8:01:26 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Arec Barrwin

EVERYONE keep working to get out every R vote!
There are a lot of gravestones in Philly and every one of them could cast 4 or 5 Obama votes!


25 posted on 11/02/2012 8:01:31 PM PDT by faithhopecharity
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To: Arec Barrwin

I hope this is true.

VOTE!! Everyone!


26 posted on 11/02/2012 8:02:06 PM PDT by LittleSpotBlog
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To: CatOwner
Ari Fleischer ‏@AriFleischer 15.6% of PA is older than 65, second most in nation. (FL 1st) Bush beat Kerry w seniors by 5 pts. McC beat O by 8. PA in play
27 posted on 11/02/2012 8:02:20 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
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To: Arec Barrwin
Pennsylvania or not, fear not for Tuesday night. I've been following presidential campaigns since I was a boy in 1972. The last weekend of the campaign, you can always spot the winner. They have that bounce in their step and they are going out of their way to act very presidential - already beginning to assume their new role of president-elect.

You can also spot the loser as well. Four years ago at this time, John McCain had those slumped shoulders and that fake "Jerry Sandusky" smile on him as he went through the motions of his final rallies.

Well I saw some video of the beaming Mitt Romney tonight at that Ohio rally and that was the look of a winner. Evidently he has been told by his team that the internals are looking very good and that he can expect to be the president-elect in less than 100 hours from now.

If Pennsylvania falls into place, that will be icing on the cake. But regardless of which way PA goes, Romney is on his way.

As an aside, if PA goes to Romney, we will likely see MI, MN, NV, and WI go to Romney as well. If that is the case, we all need to send Axlerod some dull razors.

28 posted on 11/02/2012 8:03:02 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: Arec Barrwin

*** WOO HOO!***


Vote Romney/Ryan

29 posted on 11/02/2012 8:03:20 PM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: SE Mom; penelopesire; maggief; onyx

Mittmentum....SWEET dreams! GO PA GO!


30 posted on 11/02/2012 8:04:27 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Obama: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then.)
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To: Arec Barrwin

Look, I know they aren’t polling in NY/NJ right now, but my gut tells me that enraged voters will log protest votes over the incompetent government emergency response.

If that happens, and I think it will, look for NY and NJ to go RED.


31 posted on 11/02/2012 8:04:29 PM PDT by Gulf War One
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To: Arec Barrwin

Regardless of the direction of the overall assessment, we need the internals and the turnout model to understand the results and its implications.


32 posted on 11/02/2012 8:04:33 PM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: Arec Barrwin

These are the same results of an earlier Susquehanna poll. You’d think there would have been some movement one way or another in the past two weeks. But no, same exact numbers. I heard these guys on the radio justifying their last poll and they made it clear that they were the most accurate pollster when it comes to PA, and that the turnout models being used by others don’t reflect what’s really happening. I like it.


33 posted on 11/02/2012 8:05:33 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: Arec Barrwin
Susquehanna called Toomey - Sestak in 2010 exactly
I remember reading that a few weeks ago. When Rasmussen and a couple of others showed Toomey with a 4-5 pt lead on the final weekend, Susquehanna showed it tightening way up to about a half point. They tried to tell Toomey, and Pat just lectured them about how they were wrong. I guess he takes their calls now, eh? Great news!!
34 posted on 11/02/2012 8:05:36 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Vigilanteman
If Pennsylvania announces for Romney/Smith early on Tuesday night, I won't know whether to stay up and celebrate or go to bed early and get a good night's sleep.

Mrs. ConservativeInPa said she is going to buy a bottle of Champaign this weekend. Personally, I think she wants to get me drunk and take advantage of me.

35 posted on 11/02/2012 8:05:50 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: Professional

What made Hanna so sucksque?


36 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:16 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Arec Barrwin

I don’t know how accurate this poll is, but I can tell you with certainty that 0 is beginning to panic. All night long I’ve been seeing pro-abortion Obama ads with clips showing the world how opposed Romney is to abortion and Planned Parenthood. Clearly the target audience is rich suburban women. Don’t know how effective the ads will be since the economy around here is in the toilet. I guess we’ll just have to stay tuned. I really think PA is going to be a nailbiter.


37 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:19 PM PDT by old and tired
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To: Professional

I dated a Hanna who liked to su...

No, another time.


38 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:55 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: Professional

What made Hanna so sucksque?


39 posted on 11/02/2012 8:06:58 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Arec Barrwin

If Pennsylvania goes for Romney, then it is game over.


40 posted on 11/02/2012 8:07:00 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied.)
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