Skip to comments.Why the Long Face, Democrats? If You're convinced that Obama will win, why so depressed?
Posted on 11/02/2012 1:38:29 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
When leading pundits, pollsters and prognosticators seem to agree that the re-election of President Obama is all but inevitable, why do grassroots Democrats seem so anxious and depressed?
If the presidents most ardent supporters feel soul-deep certainty that their candidate has richly earned another term in office, then how is it that they universally acknowledge that hell draw far fewer votes than he did as an untried freshman senator four years ago?
A revealing report by Joe Garofoli in the San Francisco Chronicle found local liberals so freaked out about the prospect of President Obama losing his re-election bid that they cant sleep at night. Cant talk about anything else. Cant stop parsing the latest polls. In a particularly alarming confession, one retired educator said shes become so distraught she cant exercise. David Plouffe, a top Obama strategist, found such panic attacks so common among his fellow Democrats that hes even coined a name for the victims: he calls them bed-wetters.
In a sense, the recent media mantra about Chris Christie rescuing or saving the Obama campaign reflects the same sense of desperation about the presidents prospects. Why would a confident, successful chief executive who has masterfully concluded his triumphant term ever require rescue from the boisterous governor of New Jersey? If a few warm words about from a combative, partisan Republican look like a life preserver for Barack Obama, it would seem to suggest that he was, in fact, previously drowning.
But even before the presidents show of compassionate command in dealing with Superstorm Sandy, the most important swing state surveys showed a clear advantage for Obama. The New York Times ran a front page story six days before the election on Quinnipiac Polls that showed Obama ahead in Florida, Virginia and Ohioand with a surprisingly comfortable five-point lead in the all-important Buckeye State. The political futures/betting site Intrade has consistently rated the odds for Obamas re-election above 60 percent, and often reaching 70 percent. Nate Silvers prestigious 538 blog for The New York Times has crunched all available numbers and rates the presidents chances for Electoral College victory at around three to one. Most importantly of all, a Halloween Gallup Poll of more than 1,000 adults found a big majority who expected the president to win re-election, with only 32 percent predicting success for Mitt Romneyan even lower number than the 36 percent who sensed GOP victory six months ago.
Nevertheless, Republicans look and sound notably more energized and exuberant than their Democratic counterparts as they swagger with self-assurance toward the electoral finish line. They point out the recent expansion of the swing states map, with one-time Democratic strongholds like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Minnesota suddenly rated as toss-ups, and receiving money and attention from both parties. The GOP also notes that the Quinnipiac Poll giving Obama a big lead in Ohio showed Romney with a similarly comfortable advantage (five points) among Ohio independentsand in a state so closely divided between Republicans and Democrats the candidate who carries independents will almost certainly prevail. Moreover, new unemployment numbers due for release on Friday wont help the president much if they show another slight decline, but can hurt him badly if they push up once again above 8 percent (as many economists expect)putting a serious, last-minute dent in the administration argument about steady, relentless improvement.
Meanwhile, the sharply contrasting tone of the two campaigns as they make their closing pitches to the American people hardly suggests greater confidence on the part of the Democrats. Though Romney talks of big change and grand plans for the future, the Obama machine continues to emphasize the harshest possible personal attacks on the character of the GOP nominee. Most recently, Democrats have even pushed the absurd idea that Mitt wants to abolish FEMA and to leave disaster-stricken citizens to their own devices. While the Republicans released the single most optimistic and inspiring ad of the whole campaign (a little masterpiece of mood and editing called Momentum) the Democrats continue with the surly, hostile, aggrieved attitude that served the president so poorly in the third (and final) debate.
In any sort of competition, the side that displays more visible anger and indignation is only very rarely the side thats actually winning. The president cant inspire his weary troops with a sense of purpose and certainty when he occasionally calls to mind David Plouffes memorable phrase and comes across like the bed-wetter in chief.
Sensing the trickle-down negativity from Obamas high command, many loyal Democrats have become bitterly critical of the presidents political leadership even as they grit their teeth and signal an intention to vote for him again. Frank Bruni of The New York Times, for instance, slammed the candidates off-putting truculence that undercut his high-minded, big vision brand and revealed a school yard nastiness unworthy of a hope and change presidency.
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they sure dont “seem” depressed around here :( they think with the latest numbers its all over... I really hope they are wrong. The damage Zero will do with another term is beyond comprehension.
I was hoping the polls would start to break for Mitt but it seems like they are breaking the wrong way :(
If pundits and the mediaPAC thought Obama has a slim chance they would already be crowing that Romney isn’t even close ... just like the runup to the first debate.
Landslide Romney/Ryan 2012.
The truth is the Democrats are surly and negative. Republicans are positive and happy!
Eho would you want to see to win? Its human nature to go with happy folks.
I like our chances - and quite frankly, with the way Obama has been running his campaign in the closing days of this election, I will be surprised if he wins!
Good! And when O loses, I hope their heads, literally, explode.
You Freeper Concern Trolls need to go get a life!
I made a $20 bet with the Liberal at my office back in July.
I’ve consistently offered to add a zero to make it $200.
He won’t take me up on the offer. That shows how little confidence the left has in their odds.
“I was hoping the polls would start to break for Mitt but it seems like they are breaking the wrong way :(”
Where were you on the day of the Wisconsin Recall? Because that day every media outlet (including Fox) predicted the race was TOO CLOSE TO CALL.
I think they’re more concerned about our views of 0bama being validated than they are about 0bama and their ideology being repudiated.
Unlike Democrats - I will still be happy - win or lose!
You never see them smile. I wouldn’t trade places with them and if their guy should eke out a victory, it will be a victory from hell!
O and they truly deserve eac other.
I actually feel bad for these people. They bought the “hopium” thinking Bronco was something he is not.
Things were looking bleak for SEIU members as hopes of lucrative payback for their support of Dingle Barry slip away.
Beware, concern trolls in full force this weekend!!!
Go on intertrade and make 3:1
All wee-weed up!
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