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PRUDEN: All the signs say itís Romney
The Washington Times ^ | November 2, 2012 | By Wesley Pruden

Posted on 11/02/2012 4:11:35 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Four days out, it looks like Mitt Romney.

October has come and gone with no surprise, with just a slow, plodding accumulation of signs and portents suggesting that “the One” who has come will soon be gone.

The polls are tight, and the numbers are steady, but it begins to feel like 1980 again, when a tight race between President Carter and Ronald Reagan broke open over the last weekend. His own pollsters went to Mr. Jimmy and Miss Rosalynn on Monday morning to tell them that “the numbers just aren’t there.”

If President Obama has taken such a meeting, there’s no hint of it. Both the Obama and Romney camps naturally predict victory, but the president’s men are a little more emphatic than their numbers warrant, which suggests they may be working hard to keep hope alive.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2012; romney2012

1 posted on 11/02/2012 4:11:42 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

O is campaigning in Boulder, CO and Miami FL.

Romney is going to OH, PA and WI.

The schedules of the two campaigns says it all.


2 posted on 11/02/2012 4:13:32 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
Romney is going to OH, PA and WI.

Also MI and MN.

339-199

3 posted on 11/02/2012 4:21:35 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

But Long John Nate Silver has Obama’s chances of winning at 80%


4 posted on 11/02/2012 4:26:12 AM PDT by GWB00 (Barbara Streisand barely made it out of high school.)
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To: GWB00

Nate Silver hasn’t been paying attention to the political calendar.

Oh well - its his loss!


5 posted on 11/02/2012 4:29:31 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Why, what does it say?


6 posted on 11/02/2012 4:33:31 AM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
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To: MNDude

Romney romps in swing states, O appeals to base in Blue territory.

Tick tock.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 4:37:38 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Boy, the kooks are out in full force in the comments.

Is the Times usually inundated with the Delusional Left like that?


8 posted on 11/02/2012 4:52:31 AM PDT by Kingosaurus
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I think the premise of this article is basically true.

Now there have to be people in the liberal press who will try to covertly tip off their audience about what they see is about to happen. They can’t just come out and say it forthrightly, because it might “depress the turnout” or be seen as disloyal to say such things before election day.

So what should we look for in the liberal media as evidence that they know what is about to happen?

How will they cover their asses (prediction wise) and let the insiders of their group know what really is going on? What should we look for for confirmation that they know it is coming?


9 posted on 11/02/2012 4:52:57 AM PDT by ChronicMA
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To: ChronicMA

You’ll get “tells” - such where the candidates appear and where they’ll be during the weekend.

But the MSM will NEVER abandon Obama. He’s their creation.


10 posted on 11/02/2012 4:56:46 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Has anyone heard of any reports from Obama voters saying their electronic voting machine changed their vote from Obama to Romney? This is really not meant to be a rhetorical question.


11 posted on 11/02/2012 5:08:49 AM PDT by ImNotLying (The MSM bears a close resemblance to the world's oldest profession!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

it’s not over yet.


12 posted on 11/02/2012 5:12:59 AM PDT by Cronos (**Marriage is about commitment, cohabitation is about convenience.**)
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To: ImNotLying

there was paranoid troll with a report in the opposite direction, but I disbelieve these sorts of reports.


13 posted on 11/02/2012 5:15:02 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: Kingosaurus
Is the Times usually inundated with the Delusional Left like that?

The New York Times - yes. All the time.

The Washington Post and Politico are even worse, if you can believe it.


14 posted on 11/02/2012 5:24:07 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: canuck_conservative

“Is the Times usually inundated with the Delusional Left like that?

The New York Times - yes. All the time.

The Washington Post and Politico are even worse, if you can believe it.”

But this is the Washington Times. Wondering why the nutty Left would even bother.


15 posted on 11/02/2012 5:25:42 AM PDT by Kingosaurus
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To: USS Alaska

still, let’s not get cocky. We need to get out and vote, vote.


16 posted on 11/02/2012 5:26:21 AM PDT by Cronos (**Marriage is about commitment, cohabitation is about convenience.**)
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To: goldstategop; MNDude

This is beginning to look like a repeat of ‘04, where and Bush were fighting over ground that should have been Kerry’s because they went for Gore big-time in ‘00.


17 posted on 11/02/2012 6:01:14 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Plese, God, let there be a version of “the generals tell Hitler (Obama) he will lose the election. . . and it be true.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 6:16:29 AM PDT by RatRipper (RE Obama: Romney just can't beat the lying, commie SOB bad enough to suit me. . . .)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

From your lips to God’s ears.


19 posted on 11/02/2012 6:18:44 AM PDT by stoneyhll (If I am to err, let me err on the side of freedom)
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To: goldstategop

Silver’s probably doing what the big banks did with the mortgage-backed derivatives... selling them to their customers but shorting them in their own trading accounts.

Hold your right hand high in the air. Wave it and yell loudly “Look here! 80%!”

And under the table with your left hand you quietly bet on the 20% outcome...


20 posted on 11/02/2012 6:56:03 AM PDT by muffaletaman (IMNSHO - I MIGHT be wrong, but I doubt it.)
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To: goldstategop

Silver’s probably doing what the big banks did with the mortgage-backed derivatives... selling them to their customers but shorting them in their own trading accounts.

Hold your right hand high in the air. Wave it and yell loudly “Look here! 80%!”

And under the table with your left hand you quietly bet on the 20% outcome...


21 posted on 11/02/2012 6:56:07 AM PDT by muffaletaman (IMNSHO - I MIGHT be wrong, but I doubt it.)
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To: Cronos

I vote and I poll watch in W PA. I go into one of the most corrupt precincts in the area and watch the RATS piss and moan because poll watchers make cheating much harder.


22 posted on 11/02/2012 6:58:11 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
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To: muffaletaman

You know, I’m so sick of hearing about Nate Silver. The only reason he carries any weight is that he predicted all but one state correctly in 2008. I heard nothing at all about him prior to that.

The real truth is that Nate Silver is nothing more than a manifestation of what statisticians call the lottery principal. Basically, that principal states that if you do something enough, events of low probability will occur simply by chance. In this case, Nate Silver was certainly NOT the only person trying to make predictions about the 2008 election. There were probably hundreds of bloggers out there trying to predict the state-by-state results.

So what are the odds of correctly predicting all but one state by chance alone? First of all, realize that there typically are only a handful of states where there’s an actual prediction to be made. Most results are pretty clear. For the sake of argument assume that there were 8 states where the results were uncertain and that these were true tossups. Given those assumptions, the probability of flipping a coin and predicting at least 7 of them right is about 0.4%. Pretty unlikely, but here’s where the lottery principal comes in. If you had 20 people trying to flip coins to predict the election, the probability of SOMEBODY doing as well as Silver is 35.6%. Obviously, the more people you had doing the predicting, the better the odds that SOMEONE would get it right or nearly so. The fact is that Silver was just this lucky someone last time around. If he does equally well this year, I would give him more credence, but predicting a single election well means nothing.

BTW, it’s much the same for mutual fund managers and stock brokers. There are lots of people trying to predict the stock market; by chance SOMEONE in a given period of time is going to look pretty good. That does not mean you should trust them to invest your money for you, especially if their advice doesn’t pass the “smell test” which is how I would describe Silver’s prediction this time around.


23 posted on 11/02/2012 7:39:49 AM PDT by stremba
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
The question before us is the same as the one in 1776:

Do we begin to assert our independence, or do we submit to slavery to big government?

Further, our actions going forward must be to do what America's citizens did after declaring their independence: they insisted that their elected leaders submit themselves to a written Constitution's limits and bounds.

"The liberties of our Country, the freedom of our civil constitution are worth defending at all hazards: And it is our duty to defend them against all attacks. We have receiv'd them as a fair Inheritance from our worthy Ancestors: They purchas'd them for us with toil and danger and expence of treasure and blood; and transmitted them to us with care and diligence. It will bring an everlasting mark of infamy on the present generation, enlightened as it is, if we should suffer them to be wrested from us by violence without a struggle; or be cheated out of them by the artifices of false and designing men. Of the latter we are in most danger at present: Let us therefore be aware of it. Let us contemplate our forefathers and posterity; and resolve to maintain the rights bequeath'd to us from the former, for the sake of the latter. - Instead of sitting down satisfied with the efforts we have already made, which is the wish of our enemies, the necessity of the times, more than ever, calls for our utmost circumspection, deliberation, fortitude, and perseverance. Let us remember that 'if we suffer tamely a lawless attack upon our liberty, we encourage it, and involve others in our doom.' It is a very serious consideration, which should deeply impress our minds, that millions yet unborn may be the miserable sharers of the event." Samuel Adams - Essay in the Boston Gazette, October 14, 1771

"When designs are form'd to raze the very foundation of a free government, those few who are to erect their grandeur and fortunes upon the general ruin, will employ every art to sooth the devoted people into a state of indolence, inattention and security, which is forever the fore-runner of slavery." Samuel Adams - Article signed "Candidus," in Boston Gazette, December 9, 1771

"If the public are bound to yield obedience to laws to which they cannot give their approbation, they are slaves to those who make such laws and enforce them." Samuel Adams - As Candidus in the Boston Gazette, January 20, 1772

24 posted on 11/02/2012 9:34:43 AM PDT by loveliberty2
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