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Advantage Obama in hunt for 270 electoral votes
AP via SFGate ^ | 10/28/12 | THOMAS BEAUMONT, Associated Press

Posted on 10/28/2012 7:01:43 PM PDT by SmithL

AMES, Iowa (AP) — President Barack Obama is poised to eke out a victory in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed to win re-election, having beaten back Republican Mitt Romney's attempts to convert momentum from the debates into support in all-important Ohio, according to an Associated Press analysis a week before Election Day.

While the Democratic incumbent has the upper hand in the electoral vote hunt, Romney has pulled even, or is slightly ahead, in polling in a few pivotal states, including Florida and Virginia. The Republican challenger also appears to have the advantage in North Carolina, the most conservative of the hotly contested nine states that will determine the winner.

While in a tight race with Obama for the popular vote, Romney continues to have fewer state-by-state paths than Obama to reach 270. Without Ohio's 18 electoral votes, Romney would need last-minute victories in nearly all the remaining up-for-grabs states and manage to pick off key states now leaning Obama's way, such as Iowa or Wisconsin.

(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: asspressbias; hurricanesandy; ilovelucy; japan; obama; romney; skittles
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1 posted on 10/28/2012 7:01:44 PM PDT by SmithL
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AssPress is doing their part to reelect 0bama.


2 posted on 10/28/2012 7:02:23 PM PDT by SmithL
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To: SmithL

Iowa is “leaning” to Obama? Just after all four Newspapers of merit endorsed Romney?

If out of the blue, suddenly those toss up states are now “leaning to Obama” and yeah, this new math WOULD favor Obama


3 posted on 10/28/2012 7:05:27 PM PDT by Experiment 6-2-6 (Admn Mods: tiny, malicious things that glare and gibber from dark corners.They have pins and dolls..)
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To: SmithL

“There are no US Forces anywhere near Baghdad!”

Baghdad Bob - spokesperson for Saddam Hussein - March 2003....just before the statue was toppled.......!

Sorry AP - just saying it doesn’t make it so!


4 posted on 10/28/2012 7:08:02 PM PDT by VikingMom (I may not know what the future holds but I know who holds the future!)
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To: SmithL

Horse manure. No way is Indiana leaning Romney. It is in the bag for Romney.

So are most of those states leaning Obama.

AP is full of Ocrap.


5 posted on 10/28/2012 7:08:39 PM PDT by dforest
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To: SmithL

Horse manure. No way is Indiana leaning Romney. It is in the bag for Romney.

So are most of those states leaning Obama.

AP is full of Ocrap.


6 posted on 10/28/2012 7:09:42 PM PDT by dforest
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To: SmithL

LOL!

These people try so hard, dont they?


7 posted on 10/28/2012 7:10:03 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: SmithL

The map makes it look like Romney needs to wrest WI, OH, IA, PA or MI from The W0n.


8 posted on 10/28/2012 7:10:40 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2

Michael Barone picks Romney to win. Somehow I think he’s more credible than these AP clowns.


9 posted on 10/28/2012 7:13:48 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: SmithL

The analysis can be boiled down to this — whichever candidate loses Ohio, loses the election. Obama needs it every bit as much as Romney does.

Sure, there are scenarios out there where either of them could win without it, but they are very dubious.

We are in decent shape there. Obama is below 50% in most of the polls and the momentum is clearly with Romney.

One more strong week, and we should be able to get there and retire the worst President in the history of our country.


10 posted on 10/28/2012 7:16:04 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: SmithL

If they’re willing to lie about or ignore all the relevant news about Benghazi, then for them lying about or ignoring all the relevant data about this election is a walk in the park.


11 posted on 10/28/2012 7:16:09 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: SmithL

This is satire, right?


12 posted on 10/28/2012 7:27:14 PM PDT by siamesecats (God closes one door, and opens another, to protect us.)
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To: All

I never thought the Supreme Court would pass ObamaCare. But they did. Now, if O wins, I will be so demoralized. I hope our leaders have the strength to unite us to fight on. I pray.


13 posted on 10/28/2012 7:27:48 PM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: SmithL
AP via SFGate      





14 posted on 10/28/2012 7:29:52 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: SmithL

My takeaway from this article is that the Obama camp already know it has lost Florida.


15 posted on 10/28/2012 7:30:44 PM PDT by cdga5for4
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To: SmithL

My takeaway from this article is that the Obama camp already know it has lost Florida.


16 posted on 10/28/2012 7:31:09 PM PDT by cdga5for4
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To: cdga5for4

No sampling breakdown. Who knows how truly bad it is for Hussein.


17 posted on 10/28/2012 7:33:59 PM PDT by Kozy (Calling Al Gore)
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To: SmithL

I haven’t been paying much attention to each state’s election laws or the electoral math counts but haven’t there been changes to something on the order of 10 states’ laws to split the electoral vote along popular vote lines within the state (or at least apportion electoral votes)? Have the math counts been taking that into consideration or have they still been using the “winner takes all” measure?


18 posted on 10/28/2012 7:35:01 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Obama likes to claim credit for getting Osama. Why hasn't he tried Khalid Sheikh Mohammed yet?)
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To: comebacknewt
"The analysis can be boiled down to this — whichever candidate loses Ohio, loses the election. Obama needs it every bit as much as Romney does."

If the polls, poll analysis, and trends are to be believed, Obama needs Ohio much more than Romney does. I don't think Obama can win without Ohio, but I believe that Romney can.

19 posted on 10/28/2012 7:39:11 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: a fool in paradise

It’s still winner-take-all in almost every state.


20 posted on 10/28/2012 7:44:10 PM PDT by SmithL
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