Posted on 10/26/2012 6:16:32 PM PDT by Arthurio
On Wednesday October 24th and Thursday October 25, 2012, The Hoffman
Research Group surveyed a cross section of Oregon voters to ascertain voter preferences in the 2012 Presidential election.
The resulting data found President Barack Obama currently leading Governor Mitt Romney by a 47% to 42% margin.
When pushed, undecided voters broke toward Mitt Romney almost 2 to 1.
The random sample of 615 Oregon voters surveyed 42% Democrats, 34%
Republicans and 24% Unaffiliated voters. The statistical margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 3.9%. Attention was given to Oregon’s rural or urban divide and maintained appropriate balances with regard to party, gender and age within seven geographic regions.
The Hoffman Research Group, a division of Gateway Communications Inc. has been measuring the views and opinions of Oregonians since 1984.
Of those who have voted: 47% Republican Mitt Romney 47% Democrat Barack Obama 6% Neither Candidate / Refused
(Excerpt) Read more at media.oregonlive.com ...
That is very interesting. O’Bumbler polls at only 47% in OR. There is that number again, 47% where have I heard that before?
A D+8 sample in Oregon?
Maybe not an unrealistic sampling for this blue state...
Anyone from Oregon can verify this?
Obama’s down 5 points on a D+9 poll??? In a BLUE state? Bwahaha!!!!
So, a +8 Dem poll when at best it should probably be +2 which makes Romney up by +1
**Sorry, I mean ROMNEY’s down 5...
I spent the week working in southern Oregon. If it weren’t for Portland and college hippies in places like Ashland, this state would be all R. Portland just runs that state.
But it does make a person feel good that there are people in parts of Oregon that are as strongly opposed to this garbage as I am. The clients I worked with were virulent anti-Obama to a person.
Assuming all these blue state polls are accurate, I don’t see how Obama, while losing a lot of support, is equaling (or bettering) his ‘08 Ohio showing. Something doesn’t jive here.
Born and lived in OR for most of my life and everywhere that isn’t Portland, Eugene, and Bend is VERY conservative.
If it weren’t for wacky Portland, we wouldn’t have Portlandia!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE_9CzLCbkY&feature=player_embedded
I think that’s probably right for OR.
Obama would fit right in at the Portlandia feminist bookstore.
The same is true for Washington State. If you remove the Seattle metropolitan area from the mix the state is conservative.
For some reason this holds true for WA, Oregon, and California.
Something about the mountains stops the liberalism from spreading eastward in these states.
600 in the poll, a +8 Dem sample and an error of 4%! This isn’t a poll, it’s reading tea leaves!
Tied amoung those that already voted...wtf
The Oregon senate IIRC is +1 Republican and the house is split down the middle. (somebody correct me if I’m wrong) The last Governors race had a very poor R candidate. With Romney’s coattails, this could be a very close election in OR.
With the vote by mail fraud factored in I still think Obama wins, but hopefully the US house will pick up 1 or 2 more Reps from Oregon. Only a couple more weeks till we all find out.......
And the sample had to include 42 percent Democrat turnout to get that result. Is that what is to be expected come November in Oregon?
This is the state Rush keeps throwing out there. I wonder if there is some serious inside info there? For a rep to win a state like that you would have to be low key. Can’t wake up the big city/college loons and let them know it’s competitive.
If Gary Johnson wants some recognition, siphoning off a bunch of pothead votes from Zero in OR is a perfect opportunity. I hope he can make a campaign stop or 2 up there. Ditto for the Green Party candidate.
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