Rassmussen Election 2012 (10/22): Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 46%

Rassmussen ^

[Perdogg]

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are in a near tie in Wisconsin’s down-to-the-wire U.S. Senate race.

[fwdude]

What same person in the world wants to vote for that ugly dyke.

[Combat_Liberalism]

These results from Rasmussen looking better for TT than some other polls I’ve seen. Does anyone know who has the financial edge in this campaign?

[Dr. Sivana]

Thompson has run an uninspired post primary campaign.

Baldwin has been largely unknown outside of her district and Thompson did not succeed indefining her.

Baldwin knows enugh not to go "Molly Yard" in a statewide campaign. She's no dummy. But she will still lose.

Even her campaign signs "look" conservative:

[Beagle8U]

It matters little now who has the financial edge, most voters have their minds made up.

More ads now wont change a thing unless there is some big scandal.

[ConservativeDude]

Well, I’ve voted in my state (not WI). At 8 am the doors opened, and a guy behind me said, aptly, “I’ve been waiting four years for this.”

Well said.....I think all of us who were there before 8 felt the same way. There were about 20 waiting for the doors to open.

[Perdogg]

Rasmussen Monday. Romney 49-47. Swing state Romney 49-46.

[afraidfortherepublic]

Wisconsin Senate poll

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.

[ConservativeDude]

Steady as she goes!!!

[Buckeye McFrog]

not impressed that a schlub like Tammy Baldwin can keep it this close

[ConservativeDude]

That’s a one point obama drop in swing state. Dipping slightly below his normal..47%...

[SharpRightTurn]

Too bad the Republicans couldn’t have fielded a better candidate that “moderate” Tommy Thompson, but he won the primary and it looks like he just may eke out a win.

[nhwingut]

Quite the turnaround. Wasn’t Thompson down 6-7 a couple weeks back, and complaining that Romney was a drag on his chances?

Thompson can thank Romney’s debate performance.

[bigbob]

You have to understand that in WI there is always a lot of posturing, the red (rural) areas will be solid behind Tommy while the blue (urban) enclaves will take big ahead of time, but when they go in the voting booth, remember what has happended: solid Republican swing in 2008 (including showing Feingold the door), the whole Act 1 and Walker recall business, supreme court and recall elections...every one of which has been won by the Republicans. Baldwin’s support is concentrated in the blueest of areas like Madistan, and she will not win.

[KansasGirl]

Why is it a tie when an R is up 2, but when a Rat is up 2, they are winning.

[Red in Blue PA]

That’s called journalist math.

[carlo3b]

What same person in the world wants to vote for that ugly dyke.

Even a DUTCH BOY, WOULDN'T put a finger in THAT.. :)

[JediJones]

Tommy was a 14-year governor of the state, “having been elected to an unprecedented four terms.” Tammy appears to be an undereachieving leftist hack like Obama. Why is this race even close? What kind of negatives are they hitting Tommy with?

Tommy vs. Tammy. It’s clear who’s the best man for the job.

[Mouton]

I would be surprised if the commie won this race. The good news there is that should secure the state for Romney too. By my reckoning he needs to shore up about 34 votes for the win. This would be an important 10.

[Dr. Sivana]

Tommy was a 14-year governor of the state, “having been elected to an unprecedented four terms.” Tammy appears to be an undereachieving leftist hack like Obama. Why is this race even close? What kind of negatives are they hitting Tommy with?

Tommy is a 14 year governor and former HHS head who has spent a lot of time out of state over the last few years. In some ways, he is just viewed as a warm over. Not as mbad as Mondale in Minnesota was, but Baldwin gets to campaign as a fresh face.

For better or worse, Thompson has been pushing his being the architect of the Medicare prescription drug benefit, pointing out that Baldwin ran against it. This puts him in the position of running not as a Scott Walker reform type, or even a Mitt Romney policy wonk type, but more of a Geroge W. "Miss me yet?" type. That might be good enough to win the election, and I think he will. It just doesn't make for the blow out it should have been.

Don't underestimate the fact that Baldwin had no primary opposition and had many weeks of exposure while we were exhausted from the Walker recall attempt followed quickly by a four way primary. Thompson wisely kept his fire muted during the primary, but couldn't change gears quickly. There is also no straightforward way to get the warped proclivities of Baldwin to the "not into politics" general public without risking a big backlash.

Baldwin attacks Thompson on the usually, "he'll destroy Medicare", etc.