Posted on 10/21/2012 5:55:10 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
Here's Why Google Could Disappear in Five Years: Pro
Published: Friday, 19 Oct 2012 | 12:25 PM ET
By: Cadie Thompson Technology Editor, CNBC.com
Google may be on its way out as the dominant player in search, according to one analyst — and could even "disappear" in as little as five to eight years if the competitive pressures that ultimately claimed other search giants start to take root.
In the wake of a surprisingly weak earnings report, Eric Jackson, Ironfire capital founder and managing member, said Google Google [GOOG 681.79 -13.21 (-1.9%) ] could easily find itself fending off the woes that eventually took hold at embattled Yahoo! [YHOO 15.84 -0.16 (-1%) ].
"They could disappear in five to eight years and disappear in the sense that Yahoo used to be the king of search. Now, for all intents and purposes, Yahoo has disappeared," Jackson said Thursday on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street".
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
P!
If true, Google just shot itself seriously in the foot.
Many moons ago I switched to Google from Yahoo specifically because they didn't pull such crap.
A search engine that gives preference to paying clients immediately loses all credibility.
Of course.. these products follow the course of all consumer products.... the public will tire and want the new new.
I stopped using Google about a year ago.
Got tired of the direction they tried to guide me into.
Google is not going away anytime soon.
I could probably make Google a bunch of money.
I’ve been noticing something lately on NRO and other sites that have side-ads, and something I really hate, popups.
The ads keep showing me sites I’ve looked up recently on Google, such as Choice Hotels and DeWalt Factory Outlet. Presumably because Google is tracking me and showing me ads they think I want to see.
Here’s the problem. I already have been to Choice Hotels. Why don’t the ads show me other hotel websites or sites touting other aspects of travel?
For the DeWalt Tools site info, why don’t they show other tool sellers?
Seems like Google’s tracking algorithms are terribly primitive. Amazon seems to do a much better job of extrapolating from a user’s search pattern to what else he might be interested in.
It's just on the shopping side. The organic search you use when you want to find something still appears per their page rank algorithm.
Don’t care.
I used Shopping simply because it was a place to find stuff for sale that wasn’t being advertised.
Now I won’t use it anymore, or at least much less often.
Don’t care.
I used Shopping simply because it was a place to find stuff for sale that wasn’t being advertised.
Now I won’t use it anymore, or at least much less often.
I don’t know if Google will last or not, but some pretty big names have come and gone. This is exactly why I don’t use the cloud to store my backup data. What happens to all that data when, if, (probably someday) Carbonite fails?
This is called “remarketing.” They follow you around the internet and keep showing you ads. It can be effective for high volume sites.
Plus, with searching from the address pane in latest browsers, I rarely even get to the Google search result window.
Thanks TigerLikesRooster.
If Zero wins the election, Google will be another government acquisition; all online forums will either require verified ID or will vanish; and there will be federal “outreach” workers in every neighborhood.
It always was being advertised. Merchants feed those products into Google's system. The problems was that because they didn't charge the merchant to do it,there was no barrier against merchants throwing tons of stuff into the system that they didn't have just to get site traffic. By making the merchants pay to list, Google cleared out a lot of spammy or error prone listings.
If you have already clicked on Choice Hotels, you are more likely to click on them again than to click on another hotel chain. Based only on your Choice Hotels click, they could reasonably assume that you are more likely to click on another hotel, car rental, etc, than to click on an ad for Joe’s Crab Shack, but Choice is still the most likely than anything else and clicks are what they get paid for.
These people are PhDs and experts at data mining, with immense data sets and the hardware to mine them. They know what works.
Giving search results pushing a leftist political ideology is not wise, either. Identifying your brand with radical Obama, socialism and the jihadist Arab Spring, is not wise either. But Google did it.
It's probably more accurate to say they think they know what works; the problem with some companies/cultures/people is that when they get some authority/credibility they cease to consider other, differing points of view. (How many PhDs believe in anthropogenic global "climate change"?)
If you're going with a "know what works"-type mentality then you're likely going to be a lot more like Niklaus Wirth and his metric for compiler quality (self-compilation speed) embraced to the degree that he had an entire subsystem ripped out because it violated the metric. The problem though is that a lot of people get invested in the designs of what they've already done and thus consider only micro-optimization rather than re-design; but this also applies politically too, people get invested in a party and some go off the deep-end, fanatically supporting a candidate that they otherwise would consider crap [*cough romney *cough].
Basically the mobile devices (smartphones) are going to screw google just give it time. Screw them the way it has and is yahoo and Facebook.
All because on mobiles>>>
a— advertizing is lot less visible so less eye-catching
b- advertisers know this thus a google cannot charge (does not charge) as much for this advertising
c— even if you do click through on a mobile device there is far less chance of you scrutinizing and imbibing what you land on and advertisers know this
Technology evolution. There aren’t many buggy-makers around anymore, either. Things are just moving more quickly than they used to.
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