[MeanGreen2008]

He has a point. Gallup’s numbers are so far from everyone else that it’s difficult to believe. Hoping it’s true, but we’ll have to wait and see.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Gallup is being sued by Eric Holder. Why would their polls be more favorable to Gov. Romney than the other major pollsters?

[fortheDeclaration]

They know the other polls are oversampled +D.

They also know which way the momentum is shifting.

Clearly, the last debate did nothing to stop Romney's momentum.

With each debate the American People get more comfortable with Romney as President.

[scbison]

I think Gallup is picking up tea party surge that other pollsters are not. .”Feels a lot like 2010 and scott walker recall.

[Arthurio]

I remember back in 1996 when almost every pollster was predicting that Clinton would win by 20+ percentage points. I think one had Clinton up by 25 points over Dole!

Only one lone pollster hit it on the money and showed Dole losing by 8% That was Zogby. Of course, he has managed to live down his reputation ever since.

So yes, one lone pollster all out on its own can be and in times past has been right, and the rest of the herd wrong.

That said, Gallup (like Pew) has a past history of wild swings in its numbers.

[Sooth2222]

The two most accurate pollsters in 2008 were Pew and Rasmussen. Pew had likely voters 49% R, 45% O after the first debate. Rasmussen has it tied at 48% today.

Gallup has been polling presidential elections since FDR.

Do you weight these polls more heavily, or the same as a poll by an ex-Catholic college in Poughkeepsie NY using questionable methodology? (Silver seems to be weighing results from Poughkeepsie more heavily.)