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Romney hits 50%, leads by 4 in PPP/Daily Kos national poll
Hot Air ^ | 16 Oct 2012 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 10/16/2012 7:15:37 AM PDT by mandaladon

Last week, I approvingly linked the Daily Kos’ report on the PPP poll it commissioned when it showed Mitt Romney leading by two point, 49/47. Markos Moulitsas responded with some snark on Twitter, wondering if I’d link future polling from his site, and I said I probably would. Since I am a man of my word, here is the latest Daily Kos/PPP weekly polling result — which turned out to be even more painful than the first for Markos:

Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos & SEIU. 10/12-14. Likely voters. MoE ±2.5% (10/4-7 results) The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?Obama 46 (47) Romney 50 (49)

At a time when other polls are moving back in the president’s direction, our own weekly poll by Public Policy Polling saw the opposite—a two-point Romney gain. Per day:

Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49 Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47 Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55

That Sunday sample, about a quarter of the total, was entirely responsible for Romney’s favorable numbers. That’s why the good pollsters collect data over multiple days, to smooth out such irregularities. And at 400 respondents (or so), Sunday had a single-day MoE of 4.9 percent. Lots of polls float around with worse. On the other hand, Saturday’s sample MoE was 3.92 percent, while Friday’s was 3.97 percent. And with no external news even suggesting the big Sunday collapse, it certainly smells like an outlier.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; elections; kos; obama; romney
This lends some credence to the Mitt-mentum theory of a preference cascade already beginning. That’s not to say the election is over, but it does mean that it’s no longer Mitt Romney that needs a game changer. It’s Barack Obama..........Exactly my thoughts.
1 posted on 10/16/2012 7:15:42 AM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon

Barack really doesnt have a game changer. His record and politics are not liked. Romney just needs not to make a huge
blunder.

btw this was already posted:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2945491/posts

But I don’t mind seeing it again :)


2 posted on 10/16/2012 7:23:20 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: mandaladon

Are we now trusting a PPP/DailyKos poll? Just for a debate? Just before the BIG OBAMA COMEBACK?


3 posted on 10/16/2012 7:23:36 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: mandaladon

I doubt even a “crisis” would save Ibama this time around.


4 posted on 10/16/2012 7:24:20 AM PDT by Leep (Forward! to serfdom)
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To: snarkytart

obama is sticking with his class warfare/attack the rich game. People aren’t buying it. As an example: I work in midtown where a new high rise building has been under construction for the past couple of years. Those are all union workers putting that building up. I can assure you that it’s not government built. The average middle class American knows that it’s the innovators, entrepreneurs, investors and capitalists who keep the economy going. The government simply borrows and prints money. That’s why we can’t get ahead. 1.3% GDP four years in to his administration is disgraceful.


5 posted on 10/16/2012 7:28:14 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: InterceptPoint
Are we now trusting a PPP/DailyKos poll? Just for a debate? Just before the BIG OBAMA COMEBACK?

I tend to agree with you. We should not even have poll threads here on FR, they are less than useless. It's been explained ad naueseum how they are not statitically reliable, even Rassmussen. There is one fact, this is not 2008 and Obama is in real trouble, enough trouble where I think he will be soundly defeated. The wipeout is coming for the Democrats.

6 posted on 10/16/2012 7:36:29 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: InterceptPoint

PPP setting up the “huge comeback” meme for the media after the debate, just like they were told to do.

“Hi, I’m from the media! This is what makes Democrats look their best today...”


7 posted on 10/16/2012 7:40:18 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: mandaladon

I wish the election was today. So much could happen in three weeks.


8 posted on 10/16/2012 7:52:10 AM PDT by Hildy (F"When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser." - Socrates)
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To: mandaladon

I wish the election was today. So much could happen in three weeks.


9 posted on 10/16/2012 7:52:10 AM PDT by Hildy (F"When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser." - Socrates)
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To: mandaladon

I think the setup is in for tonight. Romney is walking into a meat grinder.

That doesn’t mean the libs will get what they are hoping for, but it does mean that Romney will have to perform at 100%. I have a feeling this “moderator” is going to be trying to set him up all night. She will be Obama’s surrogate hit man.


10 posted on 10/16/2012 7:53:51 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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To: mandaladon

Interesting RCP won’t post this one on the national poll list, but will include yesterday’s WaPo poll that had a D+9 sampling.

Ditto for the Wenzel Strategies surveys that show Romney or other Republicans leading.

Any insights into the RCP decision logic for selecting which polls to roll into their averages?


11 posted on 10/16/2012 7:56:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: snarkytart
Help us spread this graph below.

Put another way, about 4 million fewer people are working today than when Obama took office. And as you can also see, since Obama’s “recovery” began there are even fewer people working then in the worst of the recession he inherited. And Obama claims he created 5 million jobs. That is a lie , maybe in China but LOST 4 million jobs and the workforce grew by 8 million so it should have created 12 million jobs instead of losing 4 million( this is just to break even with the great depression it inherited). yet the media and Obama’s burro of labor statistics says the unemployment rate going down. amazing.

http://blogs4mitt.wordpress.com/2012/10/01/the-graph-all-obama-supporters-must-confront-far-fewer-people-working-today-than-four-years-ago/

http://blogs4mitt.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/obama-labor-participation-rate.jpg?w=640&h=245


12 posted on 10/16/2012 8:06:15 AM PDT by rurgan (Sunset all laws at 4 years.China is destroying U.S. ability to manufacture,makes everything)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Really but I think it is Obozo who has been set-up. Read this:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2945550/posts

BTW CC has been put on notice by legal authority to not take that kind of tack on the debate. She is to only moderate time and recognize citizens to ask questions. Nothing more, nothing less.


13 posted on 10/16/2012 8:06:23 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: mandaladon

Pump him up in polls today; dump him after Obama “wins” the debate. I think there is a method to the liberals’ madness.


14 posted on 10/16/2012 8:36:32 AM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: SaraJohnson

I found the comments over there to be delicious. HAHA


15 posted on 10/16/2012 8:47:35 AM PDT by commonguymd (The enemy within is our MSM. War starts there imo. twitter @commonguymd)
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To: DarthVader
BTW CC has been put on notice by legal authority to not take that kind of tack on the debate. She is to only moderate time and recognize citizens to ask questions. Nothing more, nothing less.

I hope you are correct. The way I read it, she was told to do that, but they admitted that if she ignored them, not much could be done about it. And we can be sure the audience and questions will be selected to hurt Romney.

I agree with the AOS piece on how Romney can pretty much stuff Bengazi way far up Obozo's butt. And do it politely.

BUT....WILL HE ACTUALLY DO IT?

16 posted on 10/16/2012 10:07:30 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s
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To: mandaladon

Can anyone name Democrat candidates campaigning with Obama? The DCCC an DSCC have told their members that being associated with Obama will less to a sure loss in a competitive race.


17 posted on 10/16/2012 10:24:05 AM PDT by SeaHawkFan
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