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Which State Distorted Jobless Claims Data
Wall Street Journal ^ | 10/11/2012 | Sarah Portlock

Posted on 10/11/2012 9:48:27 AM PDT by bjc

“One omission by one state–you wouldn’t think it would be a big deal, but in this case it drove the number down by 10%,” said analyst Stephen Stanley with Pierpont Securities.

Economists are speculating the state could be California, the most populous state in the nation.

“It was likely a state with a large population and we suspect that it was California based on the occasional massive swings that have occurred in its claims data in the past,” said Daniel Silver, an economist with JPMorgan, in a note.

“In short, this reading is worthless in terms of informing on the general economy,” Mr. Stanley wrote in a research note.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: duplicate; jobless; jobs; statistics; ui; unemployment
A quick look at the Californbia data shows that (a) no September data has been posted for California and (b) based on past 12 years in California the September number should be 66,000 new unemployment claims suggesting that the magic number of 400,000 new claims may have been breeched. If one was a cynic, one might suspect the delay was not an accident.
1 posted on 10/11/2012 9:48:27 AM PDT by bjc
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To: bjc

Probably the USUAL Suspects(CA, NY, IL or MA).


2 posted on 10/11/2012 9:50:38 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: bjc
California was the first state to adopt the Slacker Manifesto:

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3 posted on 10/11/2012 9:54:13 AM PDT by MichaelAsher54
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To: bjc
"In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happens, you can bet it was planned that way." Franklin D. Roosevelt

If one were a cynic...

4 posted on 10/11/2012 9:56:27 AM PDT by null and void (Day 1360 of our ObamaVacation from reality - Obama, a queer and present danger)
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To: bjc

Using this method, I’d almost expect Obama to achieve full unemployment. Simply stop counting the unemployed. Notice that the problem of the homeless, so often reported during Republican administrations, has largely disappeared. Obama and the MSM, using techniques of the Stalinist era, can create a utopia this way.


5 posted on 10/11/2012 9:58:55 AM PDT by elhombrelibre ("I'd rather be ruled by the Tea Party than the Democratic Party." Norman Podhoretz)
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To: elhombrelibre

I should have said, “Using this method, I’d almost expect Obama to achieve full employment. Simply stop counting the unemployed. Notice that the problem of the homeless, so often reported during Republican administrations, has largely disappeared. Obama and the MSM, using techniques of the Stalinist era, can create a utopia this way.”


6 posted on 10/11/2012 10:00:13 AM PDT by elhombrelibre ("I'd rather be ruled by the Tea Party than the Democratic Party." Norman Podhoretz)
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To: elhombrelibre

If the person in charge of generating the weekly/monthly statistics at a state employment dept is on vacation when the reports are due, then later revisions result.


7 posted on 10/11/2012 10:14:00 AM PDT by aimhigh
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To: bjc

My guess is California.


8 posted on 10/11/2012 10:21:09 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: CPT Clay

Agree they hope to get funding from the dems in D.C. and they will do anything for a buck.


9 posted on 10/11/2012 10:26:37 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: bjc

If a publicly traded company, IBM, for example, failed to include the results of one of its largest divisions in one of its earnings reports, the officials responsible would be sent to jail. It’s a crime to misrepresent a company’s financial situation. Why else are so many former Enron officials rotting in jail today?

And it’s much worse when a government department like the BLS excludes a major state from its employment figures, since many more people around the world base their investment decisions on U.S. employment figures than on earnings reports of individual companies.

In addition, whereas there’s a possibility that IBM’s excluded division may have had positive earnings, which would have bettered IBM’s overall earnings report, there is NO CHANCE that leaving out ANY state’s newly unemployed would have bettered the BLS’s new-unemployment-applications report.

That’s because EVERY state has newly unemployed each week, particularly large states, so leaving out any state’s newly unemployed makes the entire country’s unemployment situation look better.

Where are the journalists who spent months excoriating Enron over its cooked books, writing endless tomes about its officials’ malfeasance, now when the country’s government has committed the same crimes on an even greater scale?


10 posted on 10/11/2012 10:27:01 AM PDT by Bluestocking
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To: CPT Clay

how many electoral votes are they worth?


11 posted on 10/11/2012 10:54:56 AM PDT by TurboZamboni (Looting the future to bribe the present)
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To: bjc

As I stated early this morning... it was California and confirmed by Fox and Rush.

LLS


12 posted on 10/11/2012 11:19:47 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: bjc

As I stated early this morning... it was California and confirmed by Fox and Rush.

LLS


13 posted on 10/11/2012 11:21:08 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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*


14 posted on 10/11/2012 11:28:41 AM PDT by PMAS (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing)
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To: bjc

We are fast approaching banana republic standards. The more these government agencies lie to the people, the more they undermine the rule of law and the people’s faith in our republic.


15 posted on 10/11/2012 11:55:19 AM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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