Posted on 10/09/2012 6:28:48 PM PDT by NoobRep
Polling withdrawel ping.
The man speaks with incredible confidence. Some of these guys that really understand the polls and look at them from a different perspective can pretty much say, as this guy did, that the data prior to debate and after means Obama can’t win those states.
Proof?
Ignore my last post.
First of all, if this is true, it is idiotic.
Even if it looks like Romney is a sure winner in those states today, as we have just seen, things can turn around very quickly.
As for the bigger picture, I still think Ohio is THE key. Whoever wins there, wins the whole thing.
Here’s what he said—says that Obama was 46% before debate which is a very poor place to be for an incumbent because of difficulty to climb to 50 (already a known quantity). He says they’re looking at the polling data in Virginia and Florida and it’s overwhelming (to Romney).
I called NC a month ago...
And I’m no pollster...
Loudoun and Prince William counties are the more typical swing counties. Many of the repubs have long fled Fairfax.
The "undecided" voters usually break against the incumbent. If you like what Obama has done in the last 4 years, wouldn't you have already decided to vote for Obama? If not, is there anything that Obama could possibly do in the next few weeks to convince you that he hasn't done already? I think that's the logic here.
Defense contractor workers can help offset some of the dem vote, but it will be tough. If you are correct and Romney wins Fairfax County, Virginia will be a blowout state for Romney by a huge percent.
The Shenandoah Valley area votes about 65 to 70% Republican in a bad year. I would not be surprised to see Southwest Virginia voting at 75 to 80% Romney. If Romney takes Fairfax County, he will win the state by 15 to 20 points.
Isn't that the goal? To give the GOPe a lesson? To give them right to gloat, "I told you so?" For them, pardon my French, to get climax from their mental masturbation?
Whew! You really sounded certain!
“whoops big mistake. Make that read
Its going to swing back to Romney in 2012. (It won’t be close either.)”
Geez, you almost gave me heart failure, lol!
A lot IS going Romney’s way now.
But he’s talking about approximately a 10 point swing from small Obama lead to overwhelming Romney lead in just about a week.
Well, it’s his rep on the line and he knows it.
A poller I follow has the House Republican candidates doing a lot better in the past week too. Maybe the nightmare will end.
If Suffolk is still polling in Indiana, they’re really wasting their time and money; that state went into the Romney column a long time ago.
thanks for the mini heart attack with that typo
Stafford County now has about 150,000 people. Even though many are leftists from up north many more are conservative refugees from Fairfax and Prince William counties.
Stafford County will still go for Romney and by a pretty decent percentage.
As a side note, I wish Stafford still had only 50K people and was almost entirely conservative but we can’t turn back time.
“That was one scary statement. Thanks for making the correction!”
LOL! Same Here!
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