Obama 348, Romney 190: UAH astrophysicist, who got it right twice before, predicts electoral results

The Huntsville Times ^ | Tuesday, October 02, 2012 | Challen Stephens

[Condor 63]

There is little suspense left in our presidential horse race, even in most of the so-called swing states, says astrophysicist and statistician Wes Colley.

The way he measures the poll data and his deceptively simple median method, which have correctly predicted the last two presidential elections, show President Obama has locked up Ohio and Virginia and cemented a small, but stable lead in Florida.

Bottom line: Obama is well on his way to re-election.

"I think the operative word is disaster if you're a Republican," said Colley on Monday. "I think the operative word is confidence if you're a Democrat."

"These things can swing a lot. But it would have to swing a lot a lot."

[Political Junkie Too]

which have correctly predicted the last two presidential elections

Wow! That's some track record!

-PJ

[AU72]

I’ll see what he says Nov. 7.

[SkyDancer]

The US is doomed.

[Publius Maximus]

Prediction only as good as the polls he's averaging.

Word if your Democrat: Oversampled. Translation: Overconfidence.

And that's how it should be going into the election.

[mountn man]

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

[Flightdeck]

Sorry Wes. When you put rabidly dishonest BS in your models, you get BS out.

[clintonh8r]

Hey, genius Colley: What’s the “operative word” if you’re an American, huh?

[Gay State Conservative]

The last two were easy.How did this “astrophysicist” do in 2000?

[rwfromkansas]

Nevermind today’s Politico poll with Romney leading in the swing states.

[Jim from C-Town]

“In ‘04, we only missed Hawaii.”

Well, if you can not predict Hawaii, DEMOCRAT all the time, what good are you?

[apillar]

Well that's it! I'm just not voting. The election is over, some astophysicist I never heard of says it is. /sarcasm

[TexasFreeper2009]

190!?!

that would mean Obama wins North Carolina, which is impossible.

[dinoparty]

I successfully predicted the outcome of the last two Presidential elections too. It was based on bowel movements on the day 16 days before the elction.

[angcat]

LOL

[TexasFreeper2009]

SHOCK POLL

Romney now up +4 in toss up states!

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/03/politico-romney-up-four-in-toss-up-states

[mikrofon]

This is politics, not rocket science...

(or brain surgery, unless you count lobotomized Libs)

[olezip]

"I think the operative word is disaster if you're a Republican," said Colley on Monday. "I think the operative word is confidence if you're a Democrat."

I think a lot of people, maybe in the tens of thousands, correctly predicted the last two elections. It did not take rocket science.

Maybe I am wrong. Maybe hundreds of thousands of people correctly predicted the outcome of the last two elections. Colley is one of them. I wonder what the other 999,999 people think about this one. They are on a par with Colley.

[dps.inspect]

Hell, I predicted the last election soon as McLame became the nominee... on the one before that I had a pretty good feeling old horse face didn’t have a chance, just because he was on the same plane of political existence as ol’ plugs, Bite-Me. You’d have to have been be an amoeba to have gotten at least one of those wrong.

[Sooth2222]

"In '04, we only missed Hawaii."

Wait, they predicted HAWAII was going for Bush in 2004??????