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1 posted on 09/29/2012 8:21:38 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

BS!


2 posted on 09/29/2012 8:23:35 PM PDT by bcsco (Bourbon gets better with age...I age better with Bourbon.)
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To: smoothsailing

After Nov 6th, Rasmussen will have some splaining to do.

It will be fun.


3 posted on 09/29/2012 8:24:09 PM PDT by Puckster
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To: smoothsailing
I am confused here.

Don't Rasumssen's own polls show that the idenfification edge is now with Republicans?

I hate the Media. I think most polls are biased. But I also don't want to be "spun" by my own allies. Where are we to get truly objective analysis?

4 posted on 09/29/2012 8:28:54 PM PDT by Lysandru
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To: smoothsailing
I just do not see the excitement from the Democrat base. The desire t vote is very strong with the Republicans though.

We shall see how the debates go

Though I am starting to see more O’Bumbler/BomeHead Signs.

5 posted on 09/29/2012 8:29:13 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: smoothsailing; profit_guy
Profit guy posted the details of Ras's latest tracking poll...

Amazing this guy has a 96% approval rating among blacks. 68% strongly approve of the clown. The unemployment rate has hit them harder than any demographic except, perhaps, the young. And yet they're standing by him. Nuts.

7 posted on 09/29/2012 8:30:29 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: smoothsailing

Oh, great. More good news. sarc/


9 posted on 09/29/2012 8:34:31 PM PDT by chessplayer
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To: smoothsailing
What did Rasmussen predict the turnout for the 2010 election would be and what were the percentages? Hmmmm.
10 posted on 09/29/2012 8:34:39 PM PDT by MasterGunner01
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Geez, I wonder if anyone here has read past the headline?

What’s being reported here is good news. Everyone had been assuming that Rasmussen was weighting it plus 4 Republican. He has it weighted +3 Rat, and Bambi is still ahead by only 1 or 2 points.

The polls showing Bambi with ludicrous leads have been +11 or +12 rat.


17 posted on 09/29/2012 8:38:06 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: smoothsailing

Ras is hedging his bets but his D+3 turnout model doesn’t square with a 14% enthusiasm gap of Republicans over Democrats from today’s Gallup/USAToday poll. If Gallup is wrong, it’s not wrong by 14 percentage points!

From Gallup’s site:
October 2004, Dem and Rep enthusiasm were equal, and Republicans won
October 2008, Dem=71%, Rep=51% enthusiastic, and Democrats won
this Last week 2012, Dems=48%, Reps = 64% enthusiastic, and who will win??


18 posted on 09/29/2012 8:38:26 PM PDT by plushaye (Election 2012 Prayer Force)
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To: smoothsailing

Beware the Nincompoops.


24 posted on 09/29/2012 8:40:47 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (Obama at the UN: The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam.)
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll Ping.


27 posted on 09/29/2012 8:41:48 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: smoothsailing

This is all mind numbing. I don’t think I’m stupid, but I don’t understand this at all.

It appears to me that Rasmussen contradicts its on information. See: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation


28 posted on 09/29/2012 8:42:05 PM PDT by jimbobfoster
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To: smoothsailing

Dear God in heaven,

Please help these FR folks get through October intact. Cuz they are losin it big time.

Thank you Lord.

Amen


30 posted on 09/29/2012 8:43:52 PM PDT by SaintDismas
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To: smoothsailing

Listen my dear FRIENDS.. All of these people may be honestly expressing the facts as they are seeing them today.. The one thing I know for sure is I WILL NOT LET THIS THING HAPPEN BECAUSE I DIDN’T DO EVERYTHING I COULD TO SHOVE IT BACK AT THEM.. HARD!!!

I told my kids that I would personally kick their butts if they didn’t get to the polls and at least bring someone with them..

I’m digging deep and sending money to a swing state candidate, house and senate.. Also I am volunteering at a poll in a heavily Democrat district..

NOT ON MY WATCH!


31 posted on 09/29/2012 8:44:34 PM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: smoothsailing
That’s what it’s been for nearly a generation (37 and 39% Dem; 32 to 37% Rep); that’s probably what will happen on November 6.

Meanwhile...

Drop in Ohio voter registration, especially in Dem strongholds, mirrors nationwide trend

"The Democrats' drop in registered voters coincides with a gain in independent voters...There are about half a million more independents now than there were just for years ago."

And guess which way the Indies are going?

Scott, put away the bong.

33 posted on 09/29/2012 8:45:13 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: smoothsailing
“For the last 20 years, between 37 and 39 percent of voters on Election Day have been Democrats,” says the pollster. “Republicans have ranged from 32 to 37 percent. Right now, our sample looks like 36 percent Republican versus 39 percent Democrat.”

Hey, Scott! What about 2010? Was it all the "independent voters" that destroyed Democrats across the country at every level of government? Have things gotten any better since then or worse? Worse. Is Obamacare still a threat? Even more now than ever. Has Barry turned out to be more hope and changey or even more wacko racist and divisive? He's shown himself to be a do nothing but golf and blather guy campaigning as though he's the challenger instead of the incumbent with a really, really bad record. Do you think the 2010 voters are just going to stay at home? Since WWII there has been only 1 Democrat to win a second term--Bill Clinton, and he was running against an elderly "It's my turn now" candidate on a record that had been secured by hard choices forced on him by the 1994 Republican takeover of the House.
36 posted on 09/29/2012 8:46:56 PM PDT by aruanan
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To: smoothsailing
Also, MASSIVE DECLINE in Democrat Voter Registration in 8 Swing States

Ohio is not alone [in Dem registration decline]. An August study by the left-leaning think tank Third Way showed that the Democratic voter registration decline in eight key swing states outnumbered the Republican decline by a 10-to-one ratio. In Florida, Democratic registration is down 4.9 percent, in Iowa down 9.5 percent. And in New Hampshire, it’s down down 19.7 percent.

37 posted on 09/29/2012 8:47:14 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: smoothsailing

I think even Rasmussen has no clue what he is talking about this time around. In 2008 it took a perfect storm of anger at Bush, unusually high enthusiasm by young people who thought Obama was “cool”, blacks who foolishly thought that Obama was going to put gas in their cars and pay their bills, and whites on the left (and even some on the right) who felt warm and fuzzy about voting for a black president. It is impossible for support for Obama to be any higher than it was in 2008. Impossible.

Since then, we have the incredible rise of the Tea Party, disillusionment of blacks and the youth vote, and the opening of the eyes of most whites to what Obama truly represents. We have a crumbling economy, and international relations in utter chaos, yet Rasmussen and other pollsters seriously believe that we are going to see a similar result in 2012 to that in 2008? Complete and utter nonsense.

Obama will lose; the only question is the magnitude of the loss.


38 posted on 09/29/2012 8:47:34 PM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
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To: smoothsailing

That doesn’t jibe with current registration figures at all. Are they suing him, too?


42 posted on 09/29/2012 8:51:09 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: smoothsailing
Rasmussen pollsters, hard at work: 1st pollster: Our results, man--they look like BS. 2nd pollster: You know, you're right. They smell like BS too! 3rd pollster: Now that you mention it, they taste like BS as well. ALL: Good thing we didn't step in it! 1st pollster: But I can see November from here. 2nd pollster: I can smell it! 3rd pollster......
43 posted on 09/29/2012 8:51:37 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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