That's the way I see it, at least at the present time.
It sounds like you think all these polls are fiction and that Romney would be elected if it was held today.
Even Rasmussen shows Romney behind overall, and Rasmussen also has Obama ahead in Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, though not by much.
A major component of the hope for Romney is the debates, and I predicted that we will have a better idea after they are over. However, some of Romney's statements, like the recent one that budget cuts will cause job losses, may trip him up. Of course, Obama has made plenty of idiotic statements, but apparently, the same standards don't apply to him.
Although recent Presidential elections have conformed to poll averages pretty well, unlikely events occur once in a while.
I see some nostaliga for W on my facebook page and want to puke.