Posted on 09/26/2012 12:50:43 PM PDT by Red Steel
It’s too early to draw strong conclusions, but it’s a good bet that early voting in Ohio will surpass 2008 levels. More than 10 percent of Ohio’s registered voters — 723,000 including military personnel and overseas residents — have mailed applications for absentee ballots to county election boards, according to the office of Secretary of State Jon Husted. In 2008, about 30 percent of Ohio voters cast absentee ballots by mail or voted early in person.
This year’s early in-person voting begins Tuesday.
-snip-
Much of the early action is in Cuyahoga (Cleveland) and Hamilton (Cincinnati) counties. In Hamilton, absentee ballot requests are running ahead of the 2008 pace by 3 to 1, according to Board of Elections director Amy Searcy. As of this morning, her office had received 58,727 requests. Of those, 9,453 were from voters who requested Democratic ballots in primaries this year, and 17,824 from voters seeking Republican ballots. The rest were nonpartisan.
The nearly 2 to 1 partisan split mirrors current registration in the county, which is about 98,000 Republican and 45,000 Democratic. ...
“There are a lot more people who identify as Democrats,” she said. “It’s all a snapshot.”
-snip-
Romney rally this morning in the central Ohio town of Westerville, Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) urged the crowd to cast early ballots.
“I’ve got a question: How many of you still have an application for an absentee ballot? Let’s see those hands, you’ve gotta do it,..."
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I’m seeing Obama ads in Massachusetts too. Maybe they are targeting NH voters but it’s expensive to run ads on Boston stations - you’d think they’d focus on NH stations. Obama is supposed to have the Northeast locked up but I don’t see a whole lot of Obama stickers like I saw in 2008.
76000 dems requested ballots in Cuyahoga. 34000 repubs requested ballots in Cuyahoga. Difference is 42000 and Obama beat McCain by 458,000 to 200,000 in 2008. So a 258000 difference has shrunk to 42000. This is not enough for Obama. These voters are the hardcore voters also. Some time to make up the difference until November 6th but I doubt he’ll reach his Cuyahoga margin from 2008 of 258,000. If I had to guess his margin will be around 100,000 in Cuyahoga but we’ll see. Another wrinkle is how all these unaffiliated voters are casting their ballots - that I really want to know.
And also remember everyone got mailed an application to request an absentee ballot in Ohio - this is different from 2008. So those who are interested are sending in their requests and reflects voter intensity.
Not to worry....there are carloads of ballots that will be "found" as necessary, loaded by Union Thugs and ACORN-types, just in case it gets too close for The Messiah.
The Ads Im seeing here in SoCal are all on cable stations(dont know if that makes any difference) Hallmark Channel, TV Land, HGTV..I would figure its expensive to have Ads playing here too, why bother if he already has the state won he’s just wasting money(Which doesnt surprise me since thats all Dems know how to do)
And yet Obama is still trailing, percentage-wise, compared to 2008 absentee ballot requests. From LS: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvEOdIaw0fPNdHVOZnFENDdDYVFTRi1UMlgxQ0F4OVE#gid=0
The apples-to-apples comparison is with 2008 absentee ballot requests. Obama is trailing there. From freeper LS: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvEOdIaw0fPNdHVOZnFENDdDYVFTRi1UMlgxQ0F4OVE#gid=0
For Hamilton County, this is a non sequitur statement gratuitously put in the article by the Wapo Compost writer. A 'huh' moment?
And how is it that the other day in polling Cayohouga Co came out so strong for obastard? WHAT THE HECK IS GOING ON HERE?
Well, in Cayohouga Co, I believe LS reported that the early voting Dems are so far under performing there versus 2008.
Early voting just gives the corrupt election officials that much longer to destroy the ballots from likely Republican voters!
Thanks, a bit more factual.
D way out number R and will probably continue that way in that state.
Total turn out so far is lower than 08 but are these numbers at the same time frame?
Too early to see much conclusively.
107,887 Total Absentee Ballots requested...
GOP - 23,694
Dem - 17,966
GOP advantage is now 5728
Is there a difference in the way early voting ballots are handled versus absentee ballots?
I thought absentee ballots only actually got counted if they could make a difference after the election day’s vote tally was completed. So if a candidate was up by 10,000 votes and there were 11,000 absentees ballots not opened, they wouldn’t be opened because it would be unlikely for them to go 90+% to the other guy.
So, are early vote ballots treated like that?
—— GOP advantage is now 5728 -——
All evidence indicates a yawning enthusiasm gap.
So, Obama is running ads in Blue states and I keep seeing where he’s out buying ads in toss up states versus Romney. Why is this? WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH ROMNEY? Where is the big ad explosion? If he out raised obama for the last few months, where is the money going?
76000 dems requested ballots in Cuyahoga. 34000 repubs requested ballots in Cuyahoga. Difference is 42000 and Obama beat McCain by 458,000 to 200,000 in 2008. So a 258000 difference has shrunk to 42000. This is not enough for Obama. These voters are the hardcore voters also. Some time to make up the difference until November 6th but I doubt he’ll reach his Cuyahoga margin from 2008 of 258,000. If I had to guess his margin will be around 100,000 in Cuyahoga but we’ll see. Another wrinkle is how all these unaffiliated voters are casting their ballots - that I really want to know.
The (D) 458k to (R) 200k in 2008 was absentee ballots or actual votes (or both)?
There is only one major NH station. WMUR(ABC)Manchester. If you want your ad on during the Patroits game, for example, you need to put it on the CBS or FOX Boston stations.
All absentee ballots are counted. Provisional ballots may or may not be counted.
Total votes for Cuyahoga for 2008.
What part of CA are you in? Could it be they’re buying in a CA media market that hits parts of NV?
Saw an article this morning about how in 1984, the media ran a poll in CA that showed Reagan up just a few points over Mondale. Nancy Reagan panicked, Ed Rollins told her not to worry, that there was no way it was accurate, but then did a poll at her urging. His poll showed Reagan up 16 points in CA.
BTW, about facebook...lefty friends have either gotten really quiet or really hysterical in the past few weeks.
Maybe the Dems found a way to request Republican ballots so they can cast absentee votes for Obama in the names of Republicans, and when those Republicans show up to vote they’ll be turned away because the record shows they already voted for Obama by absentee.
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