I live in Colorado now (and did in 2008). Enthusiasm for Obama is WAY down, LOTS of 2008 Obama voters say they will vote “for the other guy” or stay home. I’d say Romney by 4% is pretty reasonable.
I had three Obama voters in my family. All express deep disappointment, One will “hold his nose” and vote for Romney, one will definitely not vote for Obama again, the other is very dispirited but can’t bring himself to vote for Romney, talks a lot about finding a 3rd Party candidate.
I agree, I live in the Denver area and it is a whole new ballgame this time around. Less Obama bumper stickers, less Obama yard signs, Less Hope and changey.