Skip to comments.Romney SHOULD be winning, but isnít. Why is that?
Posted on 09/10/2012 12:52:53 PM PDT by madprof98
With unemployment still over 8 percent, household income continuing to fall and trillion-dollar deficits stretching out as far as the eye can see, the 2012 presidential race shouldnt even be close. In fact, economic-based political models suggest that Mitt Romney ought to be strolling to an easy victory.
And yet Romney is losing. When your campaign pollster is forced to release an OK, Nobody Panic! memo, as Neil Newhouse did today, its never a good sign.
The same is true of the race to control the U.S. Senate. Of the 33 seats being contested this year, only 10 are held by the Republicans. That means that going into this election cycle, the GOP had 23 chances to pick up the four additional seats they need to claim a Senate majority. Given the publics deep disenchantment with Congress and the willingness of wealthy conservatives to pump big money into those races, the GOP had every reason to be confident that Mitch McConnell would replace Harry Reid as Senate majority leader come January.
And yet that dream may also be slipping away.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.ajc.com ...
The percentage of Americans receiving a monthly check from the Government is rapidly approaching 50%.
Same thing Reagan/Carter. Don’t listen to the liberal media.
As the saying goes “the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day”, there is a story out there via Dick Morris about how David Axelrod has been pushing and intimidating Gallup after one of their polls didn’t look so good for 0bama, in fact the inJustice Department is pursuing legal action against Gallup based on the accusations of a ‘whistleblower’ who coincidentally worked on the 0bamunist campaign in ‘08.
Nearly Half Of Americans Live In Households With Government Aid
Families were more dependent on government programs than ever last year.
Nearly half, 48.5 percent, of the population lived in a household that received some type of government benefit in the first quarter of 2010, according to Census data. Those numbers have risen since the middle of the recession when 44.4 percent lived households receiving benefits in the third quarter of 2008.
The share of people relying on government benefits has reached a historic high, in large part from the deep recession and meager recovery, but also because of the expansion of government programs over the years. (See a timeline on the history of government benefits programs here.)
Means-tested programs, designed to help the needy, accounted for the largest share of recipients last year. Some 34.2 percent of Americans lived in a household that received benefits such as food stamps, subsidized housing, cash welfare or Medicaid (the federal-state health care program for the poor).
If we can’t defend liberty with ballots..................................................................
And when they’re running “Vote As If Your Life Depended On It!” ads on the black network? That’s a sure sign of confidence.
Here’s the Democrat prayer....
“Oh Tinkerbell! Blow some magic dust up my nose!”
In other words, most voters are idiots.
There’s more stupid people in America than we could have possibly imagined.
Yeah, it would be really tragic if the millions upon millions of hollow point bullets that have been ordered by the feds ended up being used against them, I mean hey: ‘Fast & Furious’ proved it can happen, right?
Romney is only losing if you believe the polls...which by the way, are worthless.
I don’t believe this election will even be close.
Uh, ‘cause the only poll that counts is more than a month away and the peeps like to play with the pollsters?
Because his pitch and product are not demonstrably and measureably different and a real improvement over his competitor.
Rodney is just so “So Yawn”....
Shouldn’t we be asking why Obama is polling so high despite all his bad ideas?
Polls are more to shape public opinion than to uncover and report public opinion -- UNTIL faulty reporting could affect the polling companies' future.
The week or so before election day will be when the companies forget helping their favorites and concentrate on accuracy -- that's when their asses are on the line. History will remember those polls.
Figures commie Uncle Sam would use a Hi-power. Didn’t the artist know how to draw a 1911?
I think you are correct. The defeatism around here is unusually high lately.
Is Romney really losing when he polls 1-3 pts behind Obama during Obama’s post convention dead cat bounce in polls that oversample Dems by 4-6 pts?
Of course, historically, the polls haven’t meant a thing at this point in the race against an unpopular incumbent.
Seriously, is he losing? Or is Bookman just suffering some cognitive dissonance because he can see the reasons that Romney is actually winning, but can’t bring himself to realize that The One is going to lose?
And bear in mind that Obama’s outspent his fundraising on petty, easily disproved ads while Romney’s amassed a huge amount of cash and is about to spend it.
That is true, and that would be a great thing for R/R to include in their interviews. This wonderful safety net will not be there if we don’t get government spending under control.
Of those on government checks, it is not just moochers. Some need help, others are on social security, which they paid for. Others are on disability or unemployment and not happy about it. Then, there is a huge chunk of people milking the system.
We know we won’t get the votes of the later group, but we can get the majority of every other group. If the economy implodes, the safety net is going to be gone. The Dem/media are going to pretend all is peachy keen and just scare people about everything being taken away. The fact is, endless government is the only thing that threatens the real safety net. No one is talking about ending or cutting any legitimate aid. We need to a growth economy to reduce independence from the government, we need to clean up the waste, and we need to change the 50 year old Medicare program and 80 year old social security program so that it survives and doesn’t bankrupt the country. We need to get back to being aggressive on these issues, and get off the defensive.
And by November it should be 60%. See no reason to believe that Romney will win. The GOP is letting us down with a plan of attack that is old and worn out. Unless a fire is lit under Romney and his Pac to attack King Obama we are in trouble.
Romney was chosen by the MSM and Soros and the
DNC because he would depress the vote,
would not adopt a conservative plank and therefore
could probably not win, even BEFORE
he re-adopted this week his hated RomneyCARE.
America will not vote lightly
for the originator of ObamaCARE
when 80% despise it.
Even Massachusetts will not
go for Romney.
The MSM and Soros and the DNC
were wiser than than the GOP in picking Romney.
I marvel that anyone thinks that ballots will affect a Marxist Regime and that somehow, this election is going to be open, honest and of respect to the rule of law and the Constitution, when this regime have already shown the exact opposite.
But that's what cognitive dissonance does.
No one is willing to ask the question: why does the media and Obama essentially act as though Obama has already won?
The answer is found in the history of every Marxist and Marxist regime that has achieved the same level of power that Obama has.
Ballots are not gonna save us. Prevents a people from looking at the true and hard reality they are faced with - because as scripture says of this generation - they would rather believe a lie and enjoy the comfort of it.
The headline is misleading and in a meaningful way.
He writes, “Romney should be winning...”.
Winning? That is the wrong word. There is only one contest and it occurs on election day. What we have to date is polls. The polls are run by various organizations and are not votes cast by citizens. Obviously.
You probably saw the recent articles that showed that at the same time back in 1980, Carter was up by 4% over Reagan. Reagan won by 9% and took 44 states.
So, Mr. Bookman, the question is not “Why isn’t Romney winning?”. The question is why do the polls always favor liberals;)
The sleeping giant has awakened.
Because elections are not a gradual thing like a baseball or football season. Elections will occur on November 6 and once the votes are counted, we'll know who the winner is. The goofyass "polls" are all over the place and really don't mean anything. Right now, these "polls" are being used by Barry's state controlled "media" as a way to swing the voters over to their "messiah". The author needs to lighten up and shouldn't get excited. These "polls" didn't get 2010 right. What would make them right this time? This is the Error of Obama. EVERYTHING that happens is "unexpected". Barry is going to get his ass "unexpectedly" kicked in November. Americans are fed up. IMHO.
The 2Ø12 team thanks you for your support
Why? Because it is all about who counts (or reports) the votes.
That’s what I think myself, but we seem to be outnumbered on this thread. I did like one of the comments at the AJC, though, and I think it’s revealing. The guy asked if anybody had seen Romney/Ryan stickers on cars. I haven’t, and I live in a town where EVERYBODY votes GOP and a state where nearly everybody does. Yet the only stickers around are Obama-2012, mainly on cars driven by black people or hippies with Co-Exist signs tattooed on their foreheads.
He’s talking in numbers rather than getting the voter personally connected and involved.
Just today I saw a news clip where he was using a Ross Perot numbers board to explain things.
This not encouraging.
2) Illegal aliens illegally voting
3) No-cost propaganda arm (CNN, NBC, ABC)
These are the three reasons. Take this election back in time, and Romney would win win by 20 points. Dems are cheating more than usual.
Republicans don't tend to vandalize cars.
I believe he is not winning because he has failed to set the context for the election. I believe it the wrong approach to say that the contest is over jobs. I believe the contest is over the survival of the country. That means the survival of the country free of the specter we all know from The Grapes of Wrath.
All we hold dear will be destroyed if our fiscal house is not brought under control. Obama will wreck the country financially, legally, morally, and as a civil society. Obama has not failed because he is a nice guy who has been ill advised, Obama has failed because he is a radical redistributionist, a Marxist who wants to "transform" our system at any cost. He is an ideologue who believes in breaking as many eggs as necessary to make his omelette.
I know that Romney has been advised by his experts who are privy to very expensive data accrued from focus groups and insider polling which tell them that the election will be decided by independents and independents will decide against the candidate who causes discord.
One has only to look at recent polling numbers to see that that evidently is not the case. Obama has lied his way from beginning to end in this election and he has disparaged Romney with the most palpably absurd charges without any evident "blowback."
Yes, we know that Obama has been shielded from justifiable criticism by virtue of his skin color and we know that he has a lot of downfield blockers in the media. So Obama can get away with much that Romney should not dare. But Romney could have fielded an array of effective surrogates who could make the damning case against Obama.
Where are they?
Here on the west side of Cincinnati I have yet to see an Odogeatter yard sign, meanwhile i drive by dozens and dozens and see more every day.
I do not believe the oversampled polls. I know quite a few Odogeater 2008 voters (”I am not a racist, I voted for 0” voters) who will not be voting for him this time around while I know no McLame voters who will be voting for the dog eater this time.
1) We are a corrupt, ignorant and decadent people who have managed to squander almost everything that has been bequeathed to us.
2) Mittens is a weak candidate with few convictions other than that he should be president and whose brain trust is made up of Massachusetts insiders.
Exactly. The takers will soon out number the makers. That is why we are screwed no matter who wins.
Mona Charen had it right this morning on Bill Bennett’s show. The GOP never fought back against the meme that Bush ruined the economy in 2007 and 2008 and most people believe it. Even though it was a 2006 democrat Congress led by Frank and Dodd that caused the housing bubble which burst to threaten our financial system. Bush’s economy was 5.5% unemployment and 3.5% growth before that election. This is the BIG LIE in politics today and the media trumpets it still...that Bush ruined the economy. That’s why Willard can’t get any traction against the “failed policies of the past” propaganda.
Don’t forget the tens of thousands of lawyers The Won’s regime has hired to contest elections in all 50 states.
I don’t think this county has a clue of what time it is, or where we have arrived.
Everyone is putting their faith in a man, a party and a Cook County election process gone national.
The media and the polls are doing exactly what it does for the Machine that runs Chicago. Add half the population on welfare; most blacks on Obama’s plantation; a culture that is immersed in abortion, sexual sin and murder and disregard or openly boo God - and an avowed Marxist who was voted into power by the same - hellbent on ‘transforming’ us by ignoring the rule of law and reinterpreting the Constitution to suit his fancy.
The math here is not that hard.
And yes, of course the media is going to try to shape the election and public opinion. It’s what Propaganda Officials do for Dear Leaders of Leftist regimes.
Lucky for them, a majority of this people no longer think - but emote.
That fact takes on still more relevance when you consider that going all the way back to 1992, the Republicans have won a plurality of the national presidential vote exactly once. That once-in-20-years moment came in 2004, when George W. Bush rode the post-9/11 wave of patriotic fervor to a very narrow victory over John Kerry.
This statement could easily be revised. how about:
That fact takes on still more relevance when you consider that going all the way back to 1968, the Democrats have won a plurality of the national presidential vote exactly twice. Those twice-in-40-years moments came in 1976 and 2008. Clinton didn’t get pluralties either time he won.
^ THIS ^
There's a technical term for the sad, inevitable tendency -- every four years, like clockwork -- applicable to the side in any presidential contest whose adherents are forced to chant, idiotically: "... donnnnnnnnn't belieeeeeeeeeve the polllllllllllllssssssssss... donnnnnnnnn't belieeeeeeeeeve the polllllllllllllssssssssss...," over and over and over again.
That term; losers.
Four years ago, Team McCain's sycophants were mumbling the same insistent, zombie drone, all the way up to Election Day. Just sayin'.
Romney isn’t winning because the media says he isn’t winning. Romney will win if his voters get mad and not discouraged.
A lot of people don’t think they need a job these days.
Those gov’t checks, ie, borrowed money, keep coming in.
Of course, that’ll stop and pretty soon.
You, sir, just won post of the day.
A-Men, sir. A-men.
Rush said about the same thing .... predicting that the only polls not skewed for political effect will be the ones fabricated a few days before the election, when the pollsters will have to look to their reputations and start moving some numbers toward reality.
Which doesn't mean anything unless it is welfare related, people on SS, or military pay, or military retirement, are the most conservative of voters.
He is. The media lies, and there are plenty of people out there like me who don’t want to answer surveys on the phone. The obamanation who is causing desolation WILL lose!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.