Posted on 07/30/2012 1:11:04 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
A Public Policy Polling poll released Sunday evening reports Ted Cruz has a 52 percent to 42 percent advantage over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst on the eve of Tuesday’s Texas GOP Senate runoff.
From PPP’s analysis:
Cruz's victory is driven by 4 things: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters, a generational divide within the Texas Republican ranks, and the lack of regard the party base currently holds for Rick Perry.
Cruz is ahead by a whooping 75-22 margin with Tea Party voters, more than making up for a 56-39 deficit to Dewhurst with voters who don't consider themselves members of that movement. There has been too much of a tendency to ascribe any Republican primary upset over the last few years to Tea Party voters, but this is one case where it's well justified.
Cruz has a 63-33 advantage with voters who describe themselves as 'very excited' about voting in Tuesday's runoff election. He also has a 49-45 advantage with those describing themselves as 'somewhat excited.' The only reason this race is even remotely competitive is Dewhurst's 59-31 lead with voter who say they're 'not that excited' about voting. It's an open question whether those folks will really show up and if they don't it's possible Cruz could end up winning by closer t0 20 points.
The greater excitement among Cruz voters can also be measured by their eagerness to get out and cast their ballots during the early voting period. Cruz leads 55-40 among those who say they've already voted, so Dewhurst will likely need a huge advantage among election day voters to overcome the deficit. But Cruz has a 49-44 lead with those who have yet to vote too.
POLITICO’s Dave Catanese, reporting from Texas, also notes.....
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
My prayers are with Texas TEA. I just read an article that urges democrats to crossover and vote for dewhurst. Lord love a duck!
This might be a great day for TEA.
Already voted early for Cruz. Couldn’t wait.
Thank you for the heads-up and link.
The Left is calling on Democrats to cross over and vote for Dewhurst!?
I guess they’ll really have to beat the bushes for those Dems who didn’t vote in the primary (and in July 31 run-off those will be scarce).
It is my understanding that a voter can’t cross over to vote for a different party than what they voted in the primary (and visa versa).
But TURNOUT is the key!!! And the bigger the turnout the bigger the message to the GOP-e!
Her support for Cruz is helping to make his GOP-e bud Dewhurst go down in flames, nyuck nyuck!
At least that's what I heard this weekend.
Just sayin.
We really need to load up the congress and senate with Tea Party conservatives to keep him in line and show the talking heads we are still alive. Otherwise, they will be crowing that Romney is a staunch conservative and that would make us some sort of two headed monsters that no one should pay attention to.
I believe to vote in the runoff you would have had to vote in the Republican primary.
Absolutely correct. The more conservatives in Congress the more they’ll have to compromise toward our direction. Every bill in the new Congress needs to be amended to include laws for liberty.
22% of TEA Party voters support Dewhurst?
I’m voting for Cruz tomorrow but can anyone give me info on anyone else I should vote for tomorrow. I really haven’t been keeping up with any of the other races?
If you voted Rat in the first round you will not be allowed to vote in the GOP runoff.
“ABILENE, Texas - You might be asking about the process involved in a run-off election?
We checked with Taylor County’s Election Office and here are the facts:
- Voting in a run-off is open to anyone, even if you didn’t vote in the primary election.
- If you voted in the primary you must vote in the same party run-off.”.....
.......”If you didn’t vote in the May 29 Primary Election you can still vote in the Runoff Election. If you voted in the Primary you have to vote in the same Party’s Primary.
If you can’t find your 2012-13 voter registration card (it is yellow), you can still vote, just bring your Texas driver’s license or photo ID.”.....
If you are in Senate district 25, you definitely want to vote for Donna Campbell.
Poll responders aren’t always smart or truthful.
If you're in TX25, vote for Wes Riddle for Congress. The Riddle/Garrison race is a Cruz/Dewhurst race in miniature. Garrison is another GOP insider who thinks it should be his turn at the trough. Riddle is the real deal Constitutional patriot.
Go Cruz!
“Cruz’s victory is driven by ...: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters,...” It must have killed them to write this. :-)
“Cruz’s victory is driven by ...: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters,...” It must have killed them to write this. :-)
CW, might be good to review what the TexSOS says on VoteTexas.gov.
Their site seems to say the only restriction is you can not vote in both runoffs.
It will be interesting to see the final tally tomorrow night as indications are that Cruz has the momentum at this stage. Early in person/mail ballots are down by some 100,000 over the primary totals for the largest 15 counties in Texas. The entergized voters are more likely to vote in this runoff when there is a small number of races on the ballot and almost no local candidates in runoffs.
I’m not from Texas and just follow this on FR. What is attractive about Dewhurst to TEA Partiers?
Oh Hell, there was someone yesterday on FR saying he saw the DewHurts ad saying Dew had been in the Mil and Cruz had not, and that was good enough for him to vote DewHurts.
You’ve got me. Maybe they are lying to pollsters or they don’t have a clue?
Dewhurst is eGop, Cruze is the TEA party choice.
Texas doesn’t register voters by party. If you did not vote in the primary and are a registered voter you can vote in the runoff of either party. If you voted in the primary you can only vote in the runoff for the party in which you voted in during the primary.
Texas Election Code:
snip
Sec. 172.125. ADDITIONAL PROCEDURE FOR ACCEPTING VOTERS IN RUNOFF.
(a) For a runoff primary election, the voter registrar shall enter on the list of registered voters a notation beside each voter’s name indicating the preceding party primary for which the voter was accepted for voting, if any.
(b) An election officer at a runoff primary election polling place shall determine whether the name of a voter offering to vote is noted on the list as having been accepted for voting in another party’s primary. If the voter’s name is so noted, the voter may not be accepted for voting at the runoff unless the voter executes an affidavit stating that the voter did not vote in the primary or participate in a convention of another party during the same voting year.
Added by Acts 1993, 73rd Leg., ch. 728, Sec. 67, eff. Sept. 1, 1993.
http://www.statutes.legis.state.tx.us/Docs/EL/htm/EL.172.htm
David DEWhurst is our current Lt. governor and has proven himself to be a RINO in spades!
Ted Cruz is a grassroots, constitution loving, CONSERVATIVE who speaks well and very persuasively!
My clan is supporting Ted Cruz!
The GOPe is really scared of the TEAs and the power they’re amassing just look at how they are going after Palin and Bachman
Dewhurst was invited to speak before our tea party group and refused. Cruz came, brought his father who introduced Ted and is a very impressive man himself, and Cruz gave a great presentation. It is my understanding Dewhurst refused to meet with most other tea party groups as well.
One can vote July 31 in the Republican primary (1) if he did not vote in the May 29 Democratic primary, or (2) if he did not vote in either primary on May 29.
This 21 percent probably does not even know what “TEA” stands for, totally uninformed ones.
Already voted for Cruz.
Another reason Cruz is ahead. . .probably due to backlash in response to the over-the-top very nasty and vile negative character assassination attacks by Dewhurst.
Just plain awful. . .to use a crying mother who’s son committed suicide. . .and to blame Cruz for that. . .
That ad was despicable, that ad had to be an embarrassment to at least some of the outsiders who endorsed Dewhurst, such as Huckabee and Michael Reagan. I doubt those two expected Dewhurst to pull low-life stuff like that when they endorsed him.
I had originally decided that whomever won would be fine, but I'm thinking Dewhurst doesn't have anything of substance to offer.
Open primaries, where Democrat can cross-over and influence Republican nominations, have got to stop. Can’t Texas Republicans put an end to them?
“If you’re in TX25, vote for Wes Riddle for Congress. The Riddle/Garrison race is a Cruz/Dewhurst race in miniature. Garrison is another GOP insider who thinks it should be his turn at the trough. Riddle is the real deal Constitutional patriot.”
My first choice in TX-25 was former Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams, but he didn’t make the run-off. Michael Williams was the true grassroots, TEA Party conservative in the race. Riddle appears to be the candidate of Ron Paul and his acolytes, and, frankly, I’d rather have Roger Williams that another Paulistinian in Congress.
Dewhurst needs to be crushed to humiliate the GOPe.
VOTE CRUZ AND DEVINE (for Texas SC)
Sorry, my brain broke traction there for a moment. My apologies to Garrison. Roger Williams is indeed Riddle's opponent, supported by the same crowd as Dewhurst. Garrison was one of the primary candidates who didn't make the cut but has endorsed Riddle in the runoff.
I've met Wes. He founded Central TX Tea Party. I don't read him as a hardline Paulista but the southern end of TX25 seems heavily Paul country so I don't think it hurts to have his endorsement.
Go Ted Go!
I guess the most addled-brained smear campaign in the history of Texas politics isn’t going to work out for Dewhurst ...did any of you Texans’ hear that Ted Cruz is a Lawyer? A TRIAL LAWYER?
Vote for Devine for Justice Supreme Court, Place 4. Devine is a strict constitutional constructionist who received national acclaim by refusing to remove a painting of the 10 Commandments from his courtroom and defeated a related lawsuit by liberal activists. Vote for Craddick over Chisum for Railroad Commissioner. When Chisum was asked about the wasteful $2.4 billion demonstration project in Ector County to sequester CO2 to help "global warming", instead of condemning the boondoggle, he replied that “we might as well get the project otherwise it would go to someone else.” Parker is preferred for Railroad Commissioner, unexpired term.
LOL, there was someone on here yesterday that posted a thread supporting Dewhurst, and that is the only thing he had to defend his support. His post started out like a radio seminar caller, and I am not quoting directly, just paraphrasing ... "At first I was going to vote for Cruz .... but OMG, I found out he was a trial lawyer!!!!" It was a pathetic attempt, and nobody bought it.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2912068/posts
In Texas, anyone can vote in either primary. However, when you vote in a primary, they stamp your voter registration card with either Republican or Democrat. In run-offs, you have to vote in the same one you voted the first time. You get a new card every year, so you can change in the new year, but once you are stamped, that’s it for the year. I used to vote in the Dem primary because whoever won that was elected in the fall. Thank goodness that no longer applies.
You are very right. I just about screamed at the TV set when I heard Cheney say rotten things about Sarah Palin this weekend on FOX. I don’t know why these old “has beens” have to shoot off their nasty mouths when no one wants to hear from them.They had their time now it’s time for someone else.
Maybe he consulted Mary Cheney’s “wife” before he ripped Sarah. Overall, he was a good VP, but like Bush, he never defended America against the assaults of the left. Sarah always does, to her great credit. Bob
The voter reg. card is for two years, but there is usually no election in the odd year except for constitutional amendments or maybe city elections in some localities.
I voted for Chisum and Smitherman in the primary? Why should I switch? I think Craddick and Smitherman will win the nominations.
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