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Analysts Give Cruz The Edge For Tonight's Debate
88.7 KUHF-FM ^ | July 17, 2012 | Laurie Johnson

Posted on 07/17/2012 1:37:13 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

The run-off election between Ted Cruz and David Dewhurst is July 31st.

Conventional wisdom says whoever wins that race will also win in November and be the state's next U.S. Senator.

Joe Householder, with Purple Strategies, is quick to point out he's a Democrat. But as a political strategist he says this run-off is working in Cruz's favor.

"Run-offs, especially on the Republican side, are the elections that usually draw people, the kind of folks who I like to say drive by the school every Saturday to make sure there's not an election. And those are the folks that Ted Cruz is counting on."

Householder says Cruz has been effective at turning this race into a cause for tea party voters, while Dewhurst hasn't been able to tap into that same enthusiasm.

Bill Miller is a long time political analyst in Austin. He agrees that Cruz has more momentum going into tonight's debate and calls the race remarkable and surprising.

"I think that Dewhurst...if the primaries had been held in March with a normal turnout, he would have run without a run-off. But that's not what happened. So you know right now Ted Cruz looks like he might be our next senator and no one saw it coming, least of all David Dewhurst."

Both analysts say they expect tonight's debate to be aggressive and heated, with Dewhurst on the attack against Cruz.

The candidates will debate in Dallas tonight at 7pm. You can hear that debate live here on KUHF.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: conservatism; cruz; dewhurst; ussenate
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KHOU

Dewhurst, Cruz square off tonight at 7 p.m. on KHOU 11 - by Brad Watson / WFAA - khou.com

DALLAS -- Tuesday night is your last chance to see Republican U.S. Senate candidates David Dewhurst and Ted Cruz square off.

They will be in the WFAA studios in Dallas Tuesday night at 7 p.m. for the Belo Debate, which will be broadcast statewide. You can watch it live on KHOU 11 or on www.khou.com.

The Cruz-Dewhurst face-off comes less than a week before early voters make their choices — offering little time for either candidate to recover from any misstep.

This is a a close race. Dewhurst got the most votes in the May 29 primary, beating Cruz by double digits, 45 to 34 percent.

But the runoff turnout will likely be smaller, and surveys of likely voters last week showed more of them favor Cruz, and he now appears to be the front-runner."....

1 posted on 07/17/2012 1:37:23 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: All

.....”This fierce, multi-million race for Texas’ first open U.S. Senate seat in a decade has become increasingly nasty, touching on everything from honesty to hypocrisy. Political observers expect the winner of the Republican primary to win the November race, since Democrats haven’t won a statewide office in Texas in nearly 20 years.

In the midst of a slew of negative advertising on both sides, two recent telephone polls show Cruz leading Dewhurst - one by Public Policy Polling that shows Cruz with 49 percent to Dewhurst’s 44 percent and one by Citizens United Political Victory Fund that puts Cruz at 48 percent to Dewhurst’s 38 percent.”.....

http://www.star-telegram.com/2012/07/17/4105962/final-cruz-dewhurst-debate-showdown.html


2 posted on 07/17/2012 1:41:54 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I think that Dew-worst is running a winning campaign for TED CRUZ.

Keep up the great work, Lt. Governor!


3 posted on 07/17/2012 1:45:22 PM PDT by Howie66 (I can see November (2012) from my house.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

So exciting. GO TED!


4 posted on 07/17/2012 1:46:42 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (Voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil.)
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To: Mountain Mary

bump 4 laytah


5 posted on 07/17/2012 1:49:20 PM PDT by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true)
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To: Howie66
I think that Dew-worst is running a winning campaign for TED CRUZ.

I will be voting for Cruz in the run-off. I agree that the negative ads have probably helped Cruz; particularly the one where they cut Cruz off in mid-sentence. Dewhurst's original ad was quite good-the one that went "some people say it takes courage to cut spending. I disagree. Courage is what my dad (WW2 bomber crewman) had. We just need to do what's right".

He stopped running that one and went with the "Cruz is a tool of the Chi-coms" strategy. I hope Cruz cleans his clock.

6 posted on 07/17/2012 1:53:13 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

bfl


7 posted on 07/17/2012 2:13:58 PM PDT by katykelly
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Can’t wait to vote for Ted. We are sick of Dewhurst calls here. Husband already voted by mail since he can’t walk very far. Rest of us vote July 31.


8 posted on 07/17/2012 2:36:29 PM PDT by Hattie
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks Cincinatus’ Wife.


9 posted on 07/17/2012 3:22:01 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Watch Online Here

TV
Austin – KVUE, TXCN
Beaumont-Port Arthur – TXCN
Corpus Christi – TXCN
DFW – WFAA, TXCN
El Paso – KVIA, TXCN
Houston – KHOU, TXCN
Laredo – TXCN,
Lubbock – KJTV
Rio Grade Valley – TXCN
San Antonio – KENS, TXCN
Texarkana – KXCN
Waco – KXXV, TXCN
Wichita Falls – TXCN

Radio
Houston – KUHF
Lubbock – KTXT

10 posted on 07/17/2012 3:43:49 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Environmental Extremism Eventually Endangers Everyone)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
I think that Dewhurst...if the primaries had been held in March with a normal turnout, he would have run without a run-off. But that's not what happened. So you know right now Ted Cruz looks like he might be our next senator and no one saw it coming, least of all David Dewhurst.

Looks like the RINOs think they have the means to assure this never happens again: Early primaries, open primaries if necessary.

11 posted on 07/17/2012 3:49:33 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The Slave Party Switcheroo: Economic crisis! Zero's eligibility Trumped!! Hillary 2012!!!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; Sidebar Moderator

Can you move this Texas Senate Debate(Cruz vs. Dewhurst) to Breaking News for the Live Thread?


12 posted on 07/17/2012 4:56:18 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Environmental Extremism Eventually Endangers Everyone)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
I think this link will work for the

LIVE FEED

13 posted on 07/17/2012 5:04:24 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Environmental Extremism Eventually Endangers Everyone)
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To: DrewsDad; Cincinatus' Wife

Thanks. Should be a good debate.


14 posted on 07/17/2012 5:12:46 PM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: DrewsDad

I think Ted’s doing a good job.


15 posted on 07/17/2012 5:14:04 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Liberty Valance

I think this format with the in your face interrupting moderators helps Dewhurst more than the previous debate.


16 posted on 07/17/2012 5:14:57 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Environmental Extremism Eventually Endangers Everyone)
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To: DrewsDad

Cruz is going to the Constitution for the illegal immigration fight. Bravo!


17 posted on 07/17/2012 5:19:16 PM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: Liberty Valance

Ted needs to take the cost of securing the border to the Fed.


18 posted on 07/17/2012 5:20:54 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Desperate Dave must not prevail! Rhino Alert!


19 posted on 07/17/2012 5:24:16 PM PDT by NYTexan
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To: NYTexan

I wish both of them would beat up on the Fed for our immigration woes.
Dewhurst is very weaselly.


20 posted on 07/17/2012 5:27:29 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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