Quinnipiac: Obama 46, Romney 43

Politico ^ | 7-11-12 | Alexander Burns

[raulgomez05]

Driven by a yawning marriage gap, and a 2-1 lead among single women, President Barack Obama gets 46 percent of American voters to 43 percent for Gov. Mitt Romney, largely on the support of singles, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

Married voters back Romney 51 – 38 percent, while unmarried voters back President Obama 54 – 34 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Among married voters, Romney leads 54 – 35 percent among men and 49 – 42 percent among women. Among single voters, Obama leads 47 – 38 percent among men and 60 – 31 percent among women.

[ThunderSleeps]

Polling data can be manipulated in oh so many ways. From the nature, order, and wording of the questions... To what questions are even asked, to who is asked.

Heard on the radio yesterday that a Wapo/ABC poll has hussein and Mitt tied at 47% each. Then the guy took the poll apart. Seems that in the demographics for the poll the people that responded self-identified as democrat (33%) and republican (%24).

This is a wildly unrealistic and non-representative sample. As was noted on the radio, there has never been a national election where democrats came out "+9" Or 9% higher turnout than republicans. As was noted, even in 2008, with all the energy and hoopla around hope and change, they managed just +7. In the 2010 election, when there was more republican fire and far less enthusiasm from 'rats the turnout numbers were dead even, 35% each (remaining 30% independents).

Given the lack of support for hussein's insane policies today, the economy, the deficit, etc. does anyone realistically think the 'rats will pull even in turnout, let alone be able to pull off an unprecedented (and I mean really without precedent, not the way hussein mis-uses unprecedented) turnout relative to the republicans? (barring of course widespread and obvious voter fraud)

Of course not. What is likely is another even turnout, or maybe even a slight +1 to +3 percent advantage to the republicans. So the Wapo/ABC poll is incredibly biased - to the tune of about 10% to 12% off any reasonable numbers. Yet, with even that wildly uneven playing field, the best they can do is put their boy dead even with Mitt. If Mitt's campaign gets their act together and hammers hussein on all the areas he is oh so vulnerable in... start thinking landslide.

PS - same Wapo/ABC poll with the +9 bias put hussein's immigration policy and economey etc. as unpopular by double-digits.

[Zhang Fei]

Poll questions and results at the following link:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1770

[kidd]

This is a poll of registered voters, not likely voters.

This poll is meaningless

[listenhillary]

So all the Democrats previously skipping the convention are demanding tickets and accommodations now? Cool!

[rktman]

The compass is spinning out of control with the younger generation being guilted (indoctrinated in school and college) into their thought patterns for something we had nothing to do with. WE DIDN’T DO IT! It was 150 years ago so get over it. As long as there are van joneses and sharptons and jacksons and uncle obie (Half-rican American POTUS) pushing their agenda for reparations etc., this will never stop.

Helping keep mankind warm for 65 years.

[Lazamataz]

I give Quinnapiac SOME credit. At least they didn’t sample like this:

Democrats: 98%
Republicans: Negative 27%
Independents: 25%

Like these bogus polls usually do. It will be interesting to see how they played the numbers this time, because Quinnapiac is unique (well, no, PPP is the same) in their mendacity.

[Lazamataz]

Only by four points, though. With these nefarious OpinionMaker polls, that’s almost a gimmee.

[DarthVader]

A friend of mine and I talked about this last night. Polls = Propaganda

[Wallace T.]

Nothing really new here. Unmarried people, especially women, favor the liberal candidate at a greater margin than married people. You can attribute this to moral relativism, which is more prevalent among the unchurched, who are more likely to be single than married, or to economic reasons, as single people are more likely to have lesser or nonexistent family ties than married people and thus are likely to see government (Federal, state or local) as a surrogate family. This is particularly true for single mothers with lower incomes.

There is no immediate or long-term solution to this problem for moderate to conservative candidates. Focusing on the economic problems exacerbated by the Obama administration will reduce the pro-Obama leanings of this group, some of whom may be upper income and will not be thrilled with higher taxes and lessened quality of health care under Obamacare.

The country is basically polarized. Romney will spend little money in the Northeast (except maybe Pennsylvania) or the West Coast. People in the Southern states, except Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia, or the Plains States (except Iowa and Minnesota) will see few Obama ads. Since the 1980s, neither party has conducted a true 50 state campaign, political rhetoric notwithstanding.

[rightwingcrazy]

Rasmussen reports the current party affiliation percentages as 35% R, 34% D, 30% “Other”

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation

Quinnipiac may be accounting for the Fraud Factor to get their 38% Democrat participation rate.

[GlockThe Vote]

I love how you have to dig so deep for the internals of these polls to get to the truth.

Why do these orgs put out such garbage polls?

[ZULU]

It IS a close election - and that is both BAD and INCREDIBLE.

On the OTHER hand, the jerk who runs the Quinnipiac College Poll is a left-wing liberal Democrat with a political agenda all his own and he engineers his biased polls to advfgance that agenda.

See:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/staff

Maurice (Never trust a guy named “Maurice” is the father of rock solid conservative GOP Legislator Michael Patrick carroll of New Jersey - must have had VERY interesting dinner conversations).

[txrefugee]

Having no husbands, single women are voting to have the government take care of them. They are too “special” to find the “ideal man” they think they deserve, and they will make everyone else in the country pay for this mistake.

[Venturer]

To me these pollsters are a form of Media.

The Media is owned by Obama.

I wouldn’t trust their reporting that the sun will come up tomorrow morning.

[Venturer]

Many of them are even reportedly not going to the Convention.

Now when a Washington politician turns down hospitality rooms and free booze, there is definitely a problem.

[Carriage Hill]

Un-fricking-believeable how gullible and dumb they truly are, despite their pathetic self-bleatings to the contrary. And they breed and vote!

[OrangeHoof]

Quinnipiac = Clinton pollster. They tend to oversample Democrats and usually overstate the Democrat advantage by 2-3 percent. They may be “independant” but result after result always weights in favor of the Democrats against the reality of the final count.

[Zhang Fei]

From July 1 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,722 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points.

This is a registered voter poll, which typically overstates Democratic voter %'s by several points, at minimum.

[X-spurt]

Probably not nearly as close as politico and all the liberal Spin Doctors are trying to dirty the water with these over-sampled dem polls and polling “people who watch network TV”.

Sorry, it ain’t gonna work. Dem’s usual blocks are disallusioned and many will “be too busy” to vote.

The best poll at this point is donations. Nobama is not doing so well. But who knows, soros could come to the rescue at the last minute with another of his millions of $23 cash debit card scam lke in 08 (unlikely as quiet as he’s been, he may be reading the writing on the wall and is working on an escape plan thinking Conservatives will come after him big time after the election).

[X-spurt]

Why do these orgs put out such garbage polls?

Because with some feeble minded folks who are over-impressed with what other people think, the Spin works.