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Mitt Romney’s Electoral College Advantage
City Journal ^ | 5 July 2012 | Tim Groseclose

Posted on 07/06/2012 8:03:33 PM PDT by neverdem

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I doubt that the popular vote is close.

1 posted on 07/06/2012 8:03:42 PM PDT by neverdem
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To: neverdem

Shades of Bush/Gore, Kennedy/Nixon. Not good. The Dems will kick scream get violent.


2 posted on 07/06/2012 8:07:39 PM PDT by Clock King
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To: neverdem

Rasmussen is the one I trust most. And right now, he’s got Romney up +2 nationally and either tied or ahead in almost all of the major battleground states.


3 posted on 07/06/2012 8:10:30 PM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: neverdem

If that happens we’ll have race warfare for Christmas.


4 posted on 07/06/2012 8:12:01 PM PDT by lightman (Adjutorium nostrum (+) in nomine Domini--nevertheless, Vote Santorum!)
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To: neverdem

If we have another 2000 election I’ll probably suffer a heart attack. I barely made it through that one.


5 posted on 07/06/2012 8:13:02 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (In honor of my late father, GunnerySgt/Commo Chief, USMC 1943-65)
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To: Clock King

hmm ~ did you realize that when the Democrats ran the more Conservative candidate immediately after the Eisenhower years THEY WON!


6 posted on 07/06/2012 8:14:00 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: MrChips
Its Mitt's to lose

He does have more money than Obama unlike Mc Cain and his losers

Sarah Palin could have won it they would have given her real power

7 posted on 07/06/2012 8:14:20 PM PDT by scooby321 (h tones)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fear not. I think they have done away with hanging chads.


8 posted on 07/06/2012 8:14:49 PM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: neverdem

Additionally, if the electoral college did not have a majority of votes for one candidate, then it goes to the house where each state delegation gets one vote: more state delegations are majority republican than majority democrat, so the republicans would win.


9 posted on 07/06/2012 8:15:17 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: scooby321

Hope he has the sense to get a VP with the quality of Sarah.


10 posted on 07/06/2012 8:16:54 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Obama: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then.)
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To: MrChips

I’ve read Tim’s book and strongly recommend it. He is a scientist who tests his hypotheses and who deliberately weights his model against his hypotheses to compensate for how own bias.


11 posted on 07/06/2012 8:28:29 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: scooby321

Romney is losing it right now before our very eyes.

He has let Obama define him as an “outsourcer” all summer long without responding, and it has stuck. Most polls, save Rasmussen, now show Obama with a lead outside the margin of error.

Obama got a huge assist from John Roberts as well. His ridiculous rulings on immigration and healthcare caught Romney off-guard, and Mitt’s responses were very uninspiring.

He is definitely playing catch-up now.


12 posted on 07/06/2012 8:29:11 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: neverdem

Obama won’t win the electoral or the popular vote.


13 posted on 07/06/2012 8:37:44 PM PDT by pallis
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To: comebacknewt

Yeah, that’s why Romney has set records fund raising...he’s uninspiring and losing.


14 posted on 07/06/2012 8:38:33 PM PDT by MissouriConservative (Voting Anyone but Obama in 2012.)
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To: neverdem

I hope I’m wrong, but I doubt Mittens has a snowball’s chance in hell.

Right now, his campaign is making McCain’s look mean and vicious by comparison. I don’t think he’ll be able to articulate a conservative message or deliver a political killing blow.


15 posted on 07/06/2012 8:41:52 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: LS

I will read anything that gives me hope. The thought of Obama’s re-election truly scares me to death.


16 posted on 07/06/2012 8:42:18 PM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: KoRn
Right now, his campaign is making McCain’s look mean and vicious by comparison.

I guess you missed Pawlenty's speech on CSPAN from Pennsylvania... "...Reading from his teleprompter... flapping his jaws..." Yeowch!
17 posted on 07/06/2012 8:50:38 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: comebacknewt
He is definitely playing catch-up now.

By taking vacation while Bambi basks in the glow of his SCOTUS victory?

18 posted on 07/06/2012 8:54:30 PM PDT by lightman (Adjutorium nostrum (+) in nomine Domini--nevertheless, Vote Santorum!)
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To: MrChips

Given the Roberts Dependence Day decision, it’s best to plan for Zer0 to get a second bite of the apple.


19 posted on 07/06/2012 8:58:03 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Clock King

My thoughts exactly.


20 posted on 07/06/2012 9:00:25 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty - Honor - Country! What else needs said?)
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