Can Any of These House Underdogs Survive?

Rothenberg Political Report ^ | 6/8/12 | Stuart Rothenberg

[Impy]

However, his new district has a higher percentage of Republicans

Very incorrect, the democrats drew it for them to win. It went from a district Obama won by 56-43 (56-44 for Bush in 2004) to one he won by 62-37. And Walsh has been swimming in bad press for the past 2 years.

[Impy]

Unfortunately she seems to be a stronger candidate than I thought when I all knew about her was that she was an alderwoman.

[AuH2ORepublican]

Then again, I just saw ths poll by Public Opinion Strategies (a GOP firm, but still) released on May 30 that shows Schilling leading Bustos by 51% to 36% while Obama leads in the IL-17 by 51%-41%. http://capitolfax.com/ILCD17KeyFindingsMemo-1.pdf

[Impy]

Then again, I just saw ths poll by Public Opinion Strategies (a GOP firm, but still) released on May 30 that shows Schilling leading Bustos by 51% to 36% while Obama leads in the IL-17 by 51%-41%.

That is most welcome news. Good for Romney too, Obama won the redrawn seat by 60-38 in 2008. I'd by surprised if Schilling won that easily but it gives me hope he can win.

[PhilCollins]

I agree that Democrats drew the new 8th District to win it, but they won’t be successful. Currently, all 8th Dist. voters have a republican congressman, Walsh, Dold, Hultgren, or Roskam. The majority of those voters have a republican state senator, Dillard, Murphy, Millner, or Pancau. The majority of those voters have a republican state rep., Mathias, Morrison, Harris, and Ramey. All of that district’s county commissioners are Republicans.

[campaignPete R-CT]

whatever conservative goes 3rd party vs. Bass should be given the highest honorary position in the Jennifer Horn 2014 campaign.

[Impy]

I’d rather have Bass win and then die or get arrested for tax fraud or something.