Posted on 05/25/2012 4:53:47 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the U.S. Senate race in Indiana shows Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly and Tea Party-backed Treasurer Richard Mourdock in a tie.
Both men draw 42% support from Likely Voters in Indiana, according to a new statewide survey. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate while 14% are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This caught me off guard. I expect that Obama will drag Donnelly down, but it’s going to be competitive.
The man just doesn't connect with the voters.
We’re not going to lose this.
“.....It is important to note that this survey was conducted entirely online. Survey participants were selected at random from an panel provided by a third party.....”
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Say what?
Donnelley has the better-sounding last name, and polled at 29% vs Lugar's 50%. Bottom line is that there's a reason RINO's dominate outside of the south - they can win in the general.
I expected this. There’s no way this race is a slam dunk for the GOP. If Mourdock wins, and votes conservatively, then he could pull a Lugar and be there for years, but he has to win first.
Regarding winning in Indiana, William Jenner and Homer Capehart won well. Vance Hartke and Birch Bayh won well. Henry Frederick Schricker won as a fusion party candidate (nominated by both Democrats and Republicans).
If you take a very good look at the voting history of all the Indiana politicians with those surnames you'll find they were all much more Conservative than today's TEAParty types, all were very anti-Communist, and all had more than their fair share of Germanic ancestry.
You just imagine Lugar was a RINO ~ he was actually a lifelong Republican.
What ? Gov. Schricker was a Democrat and faced solid GOP opposition in both runs for Governor (for which he barely won in his 1940 race) and against BOTH Sens. Jenner & Capehart in 1944 & 1952 (for which he both lost).
I don’t know where you got the info that he ran as a “fusion” candidate. About the only person to run as such was Dick Lugar in 2006 when the Democrats didn’t formally field an opponent (surprise, surprise).
When Schricker first ran for Governor in 1940, he won by not even 4,000 votes (49.9-49.7%) over Glenn Hillis. In 1948 running for a second (non-consecutive) term, he got 53.6%, defeating Hobart Creighton. I’d scarcely consider his 1940 race “hardly any opposition.” Hillis’s bigger problem was the liberal Willkie, for whom he opposed (Willard is a lot like Willkie, another liberal Democrat pretending to be a Republican).
Then again, it’s worth pointing out that most IN Gubernatorial contests are never landslide affairs except in two instances... in 1819 when incumbent Jonathan Jennings took a record-setting 81% and not until 1992 when Evan Bayh won his second term with 62% over ex-Atty Gen Linley Pearson. No other time has anyone ever gotten above 60% of the vote.
Mourdock will win this race by a sizeable margin.
In general, in almost all American competitive elections (including those funny runoffs they used to run in the South) a landslide is somewhere about 53%.
Romney is gonna win Indiana. This same pollster has him up 48-42.
Mourdock is gonna win also. That huge undecided must be mostly Lugar fans. They aren’t gonna break for Donnelly.
I don’t want to say the race is “not competitive”, worst case I suppose it could be fairly close but I cannot see Donnelly actually winning. A punk Obama congressman who ran away from a rematch for his House seat over a two term State Treasurer in a Republican state that Obama is gonna lose? No.
“Mourdock is gonna win also...”
“A punk Obama congressman who ran away from a rematch for his House seat over a two term State Treasurer in a Republican state that Obama is gonna lose? No.”
Exactly - very well said!!!
BTW, the Democrats, after seeing how much money can be stuffed down a rathole in the Midwest this year will probably leave Donnelly with nothing but locally generated campaign donations ~ and like this guy is going to do what with what he can get out of Goshen? Do they still have that 12% unemployment rate?
Polls are not truth and these days they are fiction.
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