[xzins]

To make matters worse, Romney is losing electoral tally by 225 to 170. Obama needs 45 electoral votes to hit the 270 victory mark, and is leading in toss-up states of Ohio, Michigan, and Virginia which total 47. He's also behind in Wisconsin making it 57.

Still too close and too far out (5 months) to call, but Obama is up in the RCP's Likely Voter polls as well as the Registered Voter polls.

[woweeitsme]

Polls, schmolls...none are really worth anything yet. They won’t really be valuable until Sept/Oct...and then I’d likely only trust Rasmussen.

[xzins]

If Romney is down by 3+ points at the end of October, I would tell conservatives not to waste their votes on the hand-jammed pick of the GOP-e and to vote the conservative candidate Virgil Goode of the Constitution Party in order to send a resounding message.

[silverleaf]

not to worry

a plain vanilla RINO VP will add energy to the GOP ticket

McCain’s former campaign advisors are all over this right now, steering the Romneybots into not repeating the “Palin mistake”

sarc

[ilgipper]

Obama looks to be in the mid 40s. Not a good place to be for a candidate with no record to run on. The campaign against him has not even begun in earnest. Can he win? Yes. Will he? Unlikely. My only concern is the electoral votes in the midwest. If Obama concentrates all his money on Ohio, can he win it by a hair. That is a distinct possibility.

[deport]

To make matters worse, Romney is losing electoral tally by 225 to 170.

---

That is the key stat as we elect on the basis of EC votes not popular votes. But popular votes do indicate acceptance.

[abercrombie_guy_38]

Romney and the GOP MUST go over Obama like there’s no tomorrow . Otherwise, it’s his to lose.

[Jim Scott]

No fan of Romney but it is astounding to me that Obama, with all of his blatant failures and the poor state of the U.S. economy is leading in the polls, even by a few percent. He should be trailing Romney by 10 points, at least.

If the citizens of America are too apathetic and distracted to realize what a disaster this man has been - assuming they have no clue as to his Marxist political philosophy - and re-elect him in November, this country will have, in effect, committed national suicide.

This frustrates me and millions of other Americans who know we'll all go down with the ship that was once a great hope for the world and one of the most successful nations that was ever formed. All because too many took too much for granted, lost sight of the truth and allowed our internal enemies to distract us, lie to us with complete impunity and, in effect, destroy us while we paid them to do it. God help America.

[Perdogg]

I am sorry a lot of the polls aboved cited oversampled democrats, every one knows that. Meaning that 0bumma is down about 5-points.

[Yashcheritsiy]

AFAIAC, Romney needs to drop out now and stop stealing votes from Virgil Goode.

[Diogenesis]

Romney is the chosen LOSER by the DNC, GOPe, and MSM
to continue Obama’s reign as Tyrant,
OR to create the a new, equivalent Tyrant.

What would be the likelihood that conservatives
would make their candidate the author of
BOTH gay marriage AND RomneyCARE/ObamaCARE
who, in his guise as Gov.Loser.Romney also tanked
the entire Mass. economy (to 48th in US re: job growth).

BOTTOM LINE:
Romney has no chance — and the MSM
has not even BEGUN to release its stored material.

[Raycpa]

If we factor out RV polls and just look at Likely voter polls, then it appears Romney is leading by an average of 3.

Rasmussen Tracking 5/21 - 5/23 1500 LV 45 44 Obama +1

Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3

Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1

The average is watering down the likely voter results.

However, if we look at sequence it could appear that Romney peaked about 5/14 and fell sharply this week. But these being different polls such an observation is not valid.

[Drew68]

I imagine polling will be neck and neck until election day. As a country, we’re pretty equally divided between the givers and the takers. Plus, I believe gas prices are a major influencing factor and right now they’re dropping which only helps Obama. Gas falls below $3 a gallon and people will forget all about gay marriage.

[WILLIALAL]

Real Clear Politics average polling is the worst place to gather info. There is no bench mark to qualify any poll in their average. If some reputable name puts out a bogus poll, it is added to the average.
Stay away from this site if you are poll watching. Stick with one or two polling firms that use likely voters.

[LibLieSlayer]

We tried to warn the gop/e.

LLS

[Hawthorn]

>> Obama is up in the RCP’s Likely Voter polls as well as the Registered Voter polls <<

Wrong, wrong, wrong. The average Romney lead for the three LV polls is 1.67%.

Moreover, if we take the grand average for ALL of these polls, LV’s plus RV’s, Øbama’s support currently stands at only 45.5%. Therefore, given the rule of thumb that the undecideds usually break about two-to-one against the incumbent, IMHO these polls are forecasting a 53-47 victory for Romney.

[The Duke]

I’m more concerned with conservatives taking then Senate than the White House.

[tsowellfan]

Newt would have been way ahead by now. Rick Santorum must be happy

[jwalsh07]

I think Romney will win but the polls are a reflection of a country that has half of the citizens pulling the wagon and half riding in the wagon. Unless this changes America will continue on it’s inexorable path toward socialism and eventual collapse whether Romney wins or not.

[Impy]

Aside from a couple recent Rasmussen polls every poll of likely voters (including a Rasmussen in between the 2 that showed Obama up) have showed Romney up.

With the undecided vote expected to break against Obama I’m confident Romney would win narrowly if the election was today, but it’s not today.