Posted on 05/16/2012 5:43:50 AM PDT by icwhatudo
Mitt Romney has moved out to an eight-point lead over President Obama in North Carolina after the two men were virtually tied a month ago.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State shows the putative Republican nominee earning 51% of the vote to Obama’s 43%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
That’s a big change from last month when Romney posted a narrow 46% to 44% lead over the president in Rasmussen Reports’ first survey of the race in North Carolina. Democrats have signaled North Carolina’s importance as a key swing state by deciding to hold their national convention in Charlotte this summer.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I don’t understand how you can vote for Gary Johnson and not Romney. I am assuming you can’t vote for Romney because you think he’s too liberal, but if you look at Gary Johnson views overall he is much more liberal than Romney.
I can live to fight another day under Romney, I can’t under Obama.
That’s exactly right.
Having Thompson on the ticket should really help in WI.
Barry is going to regret the homo love fest when he loses OH because married women bailed on him. He is about to learn how important the institution of marriage is to women.
It seems it is all going to come down to FL which makes Rubio the obvious VP.
“...2010 was the warm up for whats coming....”
Let’s hope so, brother...
Let’s hope it’s a veritable electoral TSUNAMI that washes the WH and Congress clean of this admin.
We have much work to do...”even a journey of ten thousand miles begins with but a single step...”
“...unprecedented voting fraud and ...”
Hence the move on Republican governors in swing states (like PA) to enact and pass Voter ID laws.
It will help to curtail the fraud that the Dems are famous for, especially in places like Philly.
Your Gary Johnson vote will mean much more to Obama than it ever will to Gary Johnson.
To Gary Johnson it means he might get .00000001% of the vote instead of .0000000000001% of the vote .
To obama it is just the same as if you had voted for obama himself. Every conservative vote that is taken away from Romneys total and given to Gary Johnson is just as if you check marked obama himself.
So if obama does pull off a miracle and win in 2012 than you can rest easy knowing that you collaborated with Kos kids and DUmmies to get the messiah relected.
Excellent post. Thanks for bringing reality and common sense into the debate.
The winner of 2012 will have to win 2 out of the following 3 states (it’s as simple as that ):
Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida. The rest are details.
You’re exactly right.
I am not planning on voting for Romney but the rock bottom percentage for a democrat president is about 40-42%.
In reality, demographically you are right, but geographically, Florida is still a Southern state. And....it will vote for Mitt Romney, come November, 2012, IMHO.
No way. They can't afford end their support of the first gay, black president. Never happen.
This friend will probably cave
You are exactly right.
Not to mention the MSM pollsters/ALL pollsters, always come through for the dems in the end...none of them,I repeat None of them can be trusted!!!!
I believe Goode is originally from NC. Perhaps he'll eat into some of the Romney vote in NC and perhaps the worse president in US history will squeak out a victory again in NC.
Same senario goes for VA.
“Election 2012: North Carolina President North Carolina: Romney 51%, Obama 43%”
To me, these numbers indicate a tight race. This is gonna be a close one.
Whoa, you say, Romney has an 8-point lead, how can that be close?
This is -North Carolina-, these days a “red state” (yes, I remember the Solid South of 50 years ago). The fact that Romney has only 51%, a bare majority, shows that his support is tepid, at best.
And, conversely, look at “Obama’s base” — right around 43%. There is a “committed core” of at least 40-45% who are not going to abandon “the one” for any reason. And again, these numbers should be viewed in the context that NC is a relatively “conservative” state.
Things could change between now and the conventions and the election, but I believe the numbers we’re seeing today probably aren’t that far off from how the final tally (i.e., the “popular vote”, nationwide) is going to rack up.
That is to say:
- Romney will will the national popular vote, but by a relatively small margin, say, 51-54%
- The numbers will be heavily skewed in both the blue states (big turnout for Obama) and the red states (similar turnout for Romney).
- The election will hinge on about 7 or 8 battlegrounds. I predict that Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, and little New Hampshire may become “the keys” (and Romney will need these four to win).
- The electoral college vote may be the closest in history.
Of course, I would like to see a blowout. But I don’t believe that’s gonna happen. We now live in a “divided nation”, and the two factions are growing apart, not closer....
Well don’t really watch TV news, so don’t know what any of the talking heads on CNN, FOX , or the networks are saying, but there is certainly a risk of overplaying the gay marriage thing.. you come across hard, and you can look bad and it damages you.
The country doesn’t want it, Obama says he’s for it.. you don’t need to say anything other than “Obama is welcome to his Oppinion”... Public knows where it stands on this issue, and now Obama has finally stated publicly what everyone has known anyway from day one on this issue.
This issue can’t even pass on a ballot in uber liberal California, Obama is playing rope a dope with it, and fortunately it looks like Romney isn’t taking the bait.
Im not holding onto any fantasies, the primary is over, Mitt is the candidate and nothing is going to change that.
What I have said is that Mitt isn’t going to make this an ideological election, he’s going to sit back, play boring don’t make a mistake, that’s it.
He’s not going to try to articulate the conservative world view, whether or not he agrees with it, because its not who he is, and frankly he’s not a person who can articulate it.
Only one guy could, he’s gone, and so it is.
Stop trying to start flame wars where none exist. I believe this election if it were fought by ideological ground with a candidate who could and would articulate the conservative, limited government, world view and knew how to handle the press, they would easily get 60%+ of the vote. Mitt ain’t that guy, so its not likely to wind up that lopsided, but its still going to be a lopsided affair.
Sadly because the election won’t be won or fought on ideology, the victory wont carry the weight into the next congress that ideologically the country has rejected social democracy and as such wins won’t be used to roll back a lot of the last 60 years of nonsense.
Ideology matters, but it won’t be in play, at least not on the right side of the isle for this election. The advantage gained won’t be pushed as it should be.
Now if you wish to discuss the primary and what happened with Newt, I will gladly do so, but that was not the point I was making, nor am I playing sour grapes.
Actually if OH goes you really don’t even need Fl.
Though I think FL will go back to red anyway.
As I stated earlier 2008 R results need 67 additional to win.
Red states get 6 out of the gate from redistricting, and Blue lose 6 thanks to the census. So you are a need of 61.
NC is going back to red, after basically recovering from a Meth High that caused them to do some stupid things last decade, like vote for Edwards and Obama. OH I believe will be solid red as well, which means OH and NC and Indiana will be red without question this time.. which gives you 44 plus the extra 6, you are at 50 already, so only 17 more are needed.
I think WI will go Red, IA probably will go red, (16) NM I suspect will as well. I think PA is truly in Play as well, as are others.
Obviously if FL and NC and OH go red, it really doesn’t matter with the rest, because there is your 60+ needed. Its certainly the path of least states swapping to get you there, but its definitely not the only path.
FL though gives me a little pause to count on, yes most seniors know this guys an idiot, but lots of new england liberals have moved in that state in recent years.. however even they can’t deny what their Retirement Quarterlys are telling em, and that’s that this administration has been an economic disaster.
I feel fairly comfortable saying NC, OH and IN will go red. I don’t think those are even up for debate.
I believe WI will as well, dems have spent the last how many years playing sour grapes up there, and folks have to be sick of it, regardless of the fact that WI has been hit harder than most by the Obama economy, or lack thereof.
VA? Don’t know the DC area still seems as crazy as ever, but I gotta believe VA isn’t completely broken yet, and will return to RED.. but haven’t seen any polling there, so who knows.
I do believe PA is in play, I can barely find anyone other than radical leftist, or blacks who will even admit they voted for the guy in 08 anymore. And those votes were never going anywhere but Democratic anyway. Most of the swing vote I interact with, have bailed on this guy big time, and the DEMOCRATIC state machine doesn’t exist anymore, the governors office is no longer cotrolled by dems, so you won’t have that boosting him here.
You know what I would like to see, I’d like to see NJ go Red, I think that would be a bigger statement than FL swinging back red.
However as long as obama has less than 270 EC votes, I really don’t care what path gets it there.. and honestly I don’t see any way he can get 270 this cycle.
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