Skip to comments.Romney and Obama dead even in key swing states, according to new poll
Posted on 05/07/2012 11:37:19 AM PDT by mandaladon
With six months to go before Election Day, a new poll finds Mitt Romney in a dead heat with President Barack Obama in 12 key political battleground states.
A USA Today/Gallup poll of 12 expected swing statesColorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsinfinds Obama leading Romney by just two points among registered voters, 47 percent to 45 percent. The results are well within the poll's plus or minus 4 percent margin of error.
That's a major difference from the same poll conducted in late March, when Obama held a 9-point lead over Romney among battleground state voters.
On the question of who would best handle the economy, Romney holds a clear lead over Obama. Sixty percent say Romney would do a "good" or "very good" job handling the economy over the next four years, compared to 52 percent for Obama, according to Gallup.
But Obama still has a key advantage over Romney when it comes to connecting with voters. Fifty-eight percent view the president as "likable," compared to only 31 percent for Romney. Asked which candidate "cares about the needs of people like you," Obama had a 10-point lead over Romney, 50 percent to 40 percent.
While the race has tightened since Romney unofficially claimed his party's nomination, there are still warning signs for the GOP ticket. The poll found that Democratic voters are more enthusiastic about the general election than Republicansa shift from earlier this year.
According to Gallup, 55 percent of those supporting Obama say they are "extremely" or "very enthusiastic" about November's election, compared to 46 percent of voters backing Romney. That's a 9-point drop in enthusiasm among Romney supporters since January and a 5-point gain among Obama backers.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
But there were warning signs for Obama: According to Politico, Romney held a 10-point lead over self-described independent voters, an important voting bloc this fall, and a 6-point advantage over voters who said they were most likely to turn out at the polls this November...............
Not looking good for Zero.
On your way, Obama!
That’s “registered voters”, many of whom won’t show up at the polls in November.
That headline just cries out for another comma.....
It is not looking good for Hussien. To win in November, he should be well above 50 now and comfortably leading Romney by 2-digit percentage points in these states. He is clearly not.
While people in this poll say that Hussien is more likable, they strongly prefer Romney on economic issues....which is really going to be driving this election.
Yet the poll stays that dems are very enthusiastic in supporting Hussien.....yet Hussien spoke to a half empty arena at Ohio State on Saturday.
ZERO is in big trouble!!
Obambi opened his campaign in Ohio yesterday to a half empty stadium.
Did the poll take place in the Democrat Underground?
.....four more years.....
.....maybe a little blow......
.....maybe a skinny dope still snorting blow......
I saw Romney led the Kenyan commie by 10 points even in this poll...which tells me to get them "tied", Gallup needed to OVERSAMPLE Democrats in a big way.
Romney and Obama dead, even in key swing states.
I saw Romney led the Kenyan commie by 10 points AMONG INDEPENDENTS even in this poll...which tells me to get them "tied", Gallup needed to OVERSAMPLE Democrats in a big way.
I took care of that.
It's the deceptive @ssholes in the media and the other pathological liars within the democrat party that will disallow us from ever knowing the truth on ANY of this "polling."
means to IGNORE this poll.
Likely voters or VERY Likely voters are the only polls worth even looking at.
Registered political/regulator class folks, eh? Have fun with that. Many of them will be laid off and/or foreclosed against before the election, not that politics will be relevant after the election.
The Marxist's campaign is in DEEP trouble.
And I intend to do everything I can to make it go even deeper here in the Buckeye State!
Romney and Obama dead??????
In deep trouble, but A LOT can happen in 6 months and Obama will pull every trick in the book to ‘improve things’ between now and the election. Much of the ‘improvement’ will be merely a mirage perpetrated by the media for Obama but there’s TONS OF GULLIBLE SHEEP IN AMERICA, UNFORTUNATELY.
No more freeping while driving for me. I glanced down at breaking headlines and read the words:
“Romney and Obama dead in swing states”
... almost hit a school bus. Mercy.
Heh. See post #21.
Door to door begging for attendees. I love it.
We just have to make sure that even more are taken away by November.
The most destructive man in the history of this country MUST be removed, and we, in Ohio, will do our parts to make sure it happens.
Please........PLEASE come to see Obama! Followed by doors slammed in their faces. :)
Colorado - Obama, won’t even be close
Florida - must-have for Romney to win
Iowa - another Obama state
Michigan - will be close, but Obama wins it
Nevada - will go red for Romney
New Hampshire - not a big state, but Romney needs this one to win
New Mexico - now a “Euro-minority” state, will “go blue” for the rest of its days
North Carolina - should go Romney, he can’t win without it
Ohio - another must-have for Romney, this one will be close
Pennsylvania - a hard fight, but Obama edges this one out
Virginia - now a “purple state”, Romney needs this one
Wisconsin - despite the great efforts of Scott Walker, will go blue for Barack
That’s the way I see it.
Romney may win, but it may be one of the closest electoral contests in history.
Personally, I think all those swing-states mentioned above are very winnable by the GOP this year. Should that occur, and all other states from 2008 remain the same, it will result in a 342-196 EV victory for the GOP.
Axlegrease is sitting in his new $1.7 mil house in Chicago thinking “I’m the luckiest SOB in history. I’m gonna get Baraq re-elected with 16% real unemployment, $4 gas, and recurring $1.4 trillion deficits.”
The first four words of the headline had my hopes up.
But alas, just another poll story.
I can’t tell you how excited I am with the possibility of replacing a liberal progressive Demmocrat with a liberal progrssive Republican. Especially, when I think about SCJ appointments. I can hardly sleep at night just thinking aobut it.
Carter was up over Reagan in most polls until election night.
Expect a Carter-esque landslide...unless Romney F’s it all up.
wtf? Who did this map, a 6 year old?
GA is NOT ‘leaning republican’... He||, there isn’t even a staewide office held by a DEMONrat... SOLID RED!
Not looking good for Romney either. Remember, if its close, they’ll steal it.
"very enthusiastic" voters
Question, why do the Republicans let states like Iowa and New Hampshire determine the slate of potential presidential candidates? Why not begin in swing states like Ohio instead?
How can this be? MR was so damaged from the primary and barry is so likeable> sarc
I like the first four words of the title...
Romney’s been campaigning for over 5 years now and he’s only even with Obama?
Anyway they both can lose? I see this and does not excite me one way or the other. What a disaster this election is going to be. Who cares about Romney or Obama.....both 100 percent the same.
If he were 20 points ahead...you would still criticize him.
If he were 20 points ahead...you would still criticize him.
If he were 20 points ahead, I’d be living in another country. There aren’t that many libs here.
This map is more realistic than the RCP averages which include many Obama push polls. Some other things look encouraging such as all the upper midwest states which are undecided but , Solid or Lean Obama in the RCP averages. One Out-Liar like Georgia, we can deal with
Romneys been campaigning for over 5 years now and hes only even with Obama?
That’s an absolutely stupid statement. And you know it.
I find it hilarious that the Democrats are choosing to live in a cocoon. Obama is so deeply unpopular right now, the economy is in the trash, the youth and black votes are uninterested now, the religious have been insulted, and many women voters see through the fake controversies that George Stephanapolis and the White House concocted and yet they have this pollyanna belief that they are going to cruise to a win. At this rate, Romney is going to win in a landslide.
Dang, I thought they were dead.
Some things to consider:
1) President Obama hasn't even begun to unleash his campaign cash, which far exceeds what all Republicans and Republican super-PACs spent in the primary — combined.
2) For the next few months, Republicans will be largely out of the news now that the primary is over.
3) Romney won the primary by massively outspending his Republican opponents. He won't be able to do that against Obama.
4) If the maps are correct, they indicate that most of the states Romney won in the primary prior to Santorum and Gingrich dropping out are states Obama will win in the general election. That should tell us something.
5) If Romney wins, he'll have to do it without his home state of Massachusetts. The same will probably be true of Michigan. Can anyone tell us the last time a candidate won the presidency while losing his own home state?
Bottom line: Maybe Romney can win, but if he does, it will be very, very difficult — and mostly because Obama has done such a terrible job.
5 states to win. 5. Bobo's team has already abandoned Indiana. How many Presidents are re-elected without 10+EV states they held the first time around? What were the results of the bellwether 2010 election?
Where is Obama's path to victory?
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