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Election 2012: The Core Four States: Obama 46%, Romney 43%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | May 2, 12 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 05/03/2012 8:37:56 AM PDT by xzins

With the Republican primary race all but settled, President Obama still holds a slight lead over likely GOP nominee Mitt Romney in combined polling of the key swing states of Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia.

New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying of Likely Voters in the so-called Core Four states finds that Obama picks up 46% support to Romney’s 43%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,271 Likely Voters in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia was conducted on April 16-30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. .Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012election; elections; florida; nobama2012; obama; ohio; romney; romneytruthfile
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Just a little more than a month ago Santorum LED Obama in each of those 4 core states and Romney was losing to Obama...then and now.

This suggests that Santorum's base -- a large pro-life, pro marriage social conservative base -- did not transfer their loyalty to Romney.

As predicted, Romney stands a very large chance of losing the social conservative base.

1 posted on 05/03/2012 8:38:06 AM PDT by xzins
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To: xzins

If true I will forever blame the social conservatives for further burying our cause. The newly appointed SUPREMES will forever hail wrath upon them.....


2 posted on 05/03/2012 8:45:14 AM PDT by Republic Rocker
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To: xzins

Yeah, yeah, Romney is losing six months out. Fact is, the Kenyan Commie isn’t polling at 50%. And any incumbent not at that mark is in trouble.


3 posted on 05/03/2012 8:48:10 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Republic Rocker

Typical Republican! Already ginning up the “Blame the SocialCons”. It will be Mitts fault if he loses because he is a poor campaigner who is sodden and has no personality along with him going moderate instead promoting conservatism which he is incapable of doing


4 posted on 05/03/2012 8:54:12 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: Republic Rocker

They don’t care. They are not permitted by faith and conscience to support a pro-abortion, pro-gay marriage candidate.

Everyone knew they were a large voting block.

I for one will be campaigning against both Romney and Obama in Ohio and campaigning for Virgil Goode, the Constitution Party Candidate, a true conservative!

Virgil Goodes’ Stand on the Issues at link:
http://www.ontheissues.org/VA/Virgil_Goode.htm


5 posted on 05/03/2012 8:54:29 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Obama Disses the Operators Who Took Out Bin Laden in Afghan!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Exactly...he is under 50% at a time when the media is talking about Osama Bin Laden day and night...

I think Obama is in trouble.


6 posted on 05/03/2012 8:55:11 AM PDT by Tulane
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To: reaganaut; greyfoxx39; Tennessee Nana; SoConPubbie

Ping to article.

Romney already showing weak in major electoral states.

The fears of conservatives are being realized in romney’s weakness.

He will reject the base and campaign for liberal votes. That has been the prediction. It makes sense for a liberal such as him.


7 posted on 05/03/2012 9:02:31 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Obama Disses the Operators Who Took Out Bin Laden in Afghan!)
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To: Republic Rocker

Correct.


8 posted on 05/03/2012 9:15:01 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: xzins; mrreaganaut

As MrR says, “Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line.” It is sad to see that happening here on FR, so many compromising and just falling in line which is what Mitt has been counting on from the beginning. They are playing into the liberal’s hands.


9 posted on 05/03/2012 9:17:39 AM PDT by reaganaut (I am a Christian first, a Conservative second and am out of the GOP if Romney gets in.)
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To: xzins

Poor RINO

Well, he`s your problem now GOP. YOU try drag the leftist over the finish line.


10 posted on 05/03/2012 9:17:39 AM PDT by Para-Ord.45
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To: xzins

I have stopped giving a darn about the general and have already chalked it up as a loss no matter who wins. My fear is that Romney will crater so badly that he will crush the GOP down ticket.


11 posted on 05/03/2012 9:18:06 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: Tulane

Yes, a war is remains to be fought to defeat Obama, but Obama is not winning at this time. He is at 46% with 4% undecided. He would have to win all of the undecideds to get to 50%.

Additionally, there are 7% for ‘another candidate’. There is no ‘other candidate’ on the left to siphon votes off. These are conservatives or moderates who are not yet over the bruising primary. Some are likely Paul fans who are unlikely to pull the lever for Obama. They will go third party, stay home, or decide Romney and the GOP is better than Obama.


12 posted on 05/03/2012 9:18:23 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: xzins

I was told yesterday that history shows that ANY President’s poll numbers at THIS point in the election process (May)...predict where he will be in November....evidently the numbers won’t rise from here....for Obomba....that means...he will stay at about 46% (where this person told me he is now...FWIW)


13 posted on 05/03/2012 9:24:55 AM PDT by goodnesswins (2012..."We mutually pledge our Lives, our Fortunes, and our Sacred Honor")
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To: reaganaut
It is sad to see that happening here on FR, so many compromising and just falling in line which is what Mitt has been counting on from the beginning.

What's your solution? We can't control who the nominee is at this stage. Mitt will be the nominee at the convention, and it is realistically Romney or Obama being sworn in next January. I understand all the pitfalls of a Romney presidency...I am not excited about it at all. The devastation of another term of Obama is not an option. 2-3 Left-wing Supreme Justices, further economic devastation, permanent Obamacare just to name a few.

14 posted on 05/03/2012 9:27:36 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: GonzoGOP
My fear is that Romney will crater so badly that he will crush the GOP down ticket.

That's why I'm putting the emphasis on the down ticket races. Our goal is not just to defeat the particular big government liberal currently occupying our White House, it's to defeat big government liberalism. If the choice really is Obama/Romney, then we cannot defeat liberalism at the executive level and we must defeat it in Congress. We need, far more than ever before, to get every conservative to the polls in November so that we can repeat the Congressional landslide of 2010. We need a House that will propose and pass responsible spending bills with a balanced budget. We need a Senate that will reject liberal activist judicial nominees and demand a judiciary that defers to the Constitution of the United States as the "Supreme Law of the Land". It's our job as voters to make that happen in spite of the GOP-e shenanigans.

15 posted on 05/03/2012 9:36:32 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Can we afford as much government as welfare-addicted voters demand?)
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To: reaganaut

OK...so what do we do now? We didn’t manage to get the GOP to nominate a conservative, so do we vote third-party, or do we resign ourselves to the moderate?

I don’t have the answer, but I can understand the reasoning behind voting for Romney to get Obama out.

I mean, going from radical leftist to managerial statist is a bit of an improvement, I suppose.


16 posted on 05/03/2012 9:41:37 AM PDT by B Knotts (Just another Tenther)
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To: B Knotts

Obama at 46% is still a disaster for him.


17 posted on 05/03/2012 9:48:25 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Republic Rocker
If true I will forever blame the social conservatives for further burying our cause.

Oh, somebody call the whaaaaambulance on this one.
Romney is a liberal. I don't care how big of an R anyone places after his name, the guy is a say anything politician that goes against the very fiber of being Conservative and you want to hold OTHERS responsible for that? Nice projections there, rino.

18 posted on 05/03/2012 9:48:44 AM PDT by Michael Barnes (Obamaa+ Downgrade)
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To: xzins

Obama doesnt need 50% in November

In 1992 Clinton got 43% Bush I had 36% and Perot got 19%

The undecided are probably Conservatives and if they wont go for the liberal Romney they sure wont go for his twin Obama...

All Obama needs is what he has now...

and his lead will get larger after the convention should Romney manage to bulldoze his way to the finish..


19 posted on 05/03/2012 9:52:23 AM PDT by Tennessee Nana (Why should I vote for Bishop Romney when he hates me because I am a Christian)
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To: B Knotts

I am voting for Virgil Goode, leaving the GOP to die a painful death. I am voting my conscience and trusting God.

Like Daniel under Nebuchenezzar, I will stand by my faith and principles and pray.

If we can get conservatives to support a real candidate, then we take away the power of the GOP elite. If we don’t take down that oligarchy we will keep getting more and more liberals posing as Republicans. Every election in the last 20 years they have put up more and more liberal candidates. They need to learn their lesson and that will only happen if we make them irrelevant.

http://www.ontheissues.org/VA/Virgil_Goode.htm


20 posted on 05/03/2012 10:03:15 AM PDT by reaganaut (I am a Christian first, a Conservative second and am out of the GOP if Romney gets in.)
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