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The Oil Scarcity Myth
Townhall.com ^ | March 17, 2012 | Bob Beauprez

Posted on 03/17/2012 4:13:24 AM PDT by Kaslin

Rapidly rising gas prices at the pump have turned up the heat on Barack Obama.  Interestingly, the Administration that just three years ago said it was committed to policies that would cause energy prices to “skyrocket” and get our gas prices “to the levels in Europe,” now says there isn’t much they can do about rising costs to consumers.

One of the many falsehoods that the President and his anti-fossil fuel allies like to perpetuate is that the U.S. is about run out of reserves.  “But you and I both know that with only 2% of the world’s oil reserve, we can’t just drill our way to lower gas prices – not when we consume 20% of the world’s oil,” Obama said yet again in his weekly radio address last Saturday.  He repeatedly makes this less-than-truthful claim to obsessively press his anti-oil and gas agenda and justify wasting billions on green energy fantasies. 

Obama's basis for his 2%-of-the-world's-oil-reserves claim is the narrow definition of “proven reserves” – a measure based on currently producing fields only, rather than identified but undeveloped known reserves which are far more vast. The 22 billion barrels of “proved” reserves, according to the federal government’s Energy Information Administration “are a small subset of recoverable resources.”  Obama conveniently forgets to mention that part.  That he knowingly repeats the less than truthful claim for the purpose of perpetuating a misconception is shameless. 

Various reports from Obama’s own government including the Energy Department, the Congressional Research Service, and the Energy Information Agency as well as a plethora of private analyses tell a dramatically different story.  To be sure, technological challenges, cost of extraction, and political barriers will prohibit some part of the oil buried deep beneath the earth from being harvested, but Obama's representation is pure baloney and he knows it.  For a detailed summary of a more accurate assessment of our reserves click here for a feature story from today’s Investor’s Business Daily.  If you want the condensed version in graphic form, see below.  Please take note that Obama would have you believe all we have left is depicted by the tiny red triangle at the top of the pyramid.

Courtesy of Investor's Business Daily


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: abiogenic; thomasgold
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1 posted on 03/17/2012 4:13:26 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Obama finally has things going the way he wants them, but it might effect his election so he is trying to soft soap America. He has gotten away with it for 3 years, and will probably get away with it again.

Tired of his lies. Tired of democrats selling us out. Tired of Republicans going along to get along.


2 posted on 03/17/2012 4:28:13 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: Kaslin
Is our oil owed to those who hold our debt? Wonder what the answer is or does America own our oil? Should have drilled right after carter (the peanut). Someone is certainly loving these high prices. Since most Americans do not own oil wells, most of us (including me) are fricasseed.
3 posted on 03/17/2012 4:30:10 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Please God, Protect and Bless Our Men and Women in Uniform with Victory. Amen.)
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To: Kaslin

In 1980, the U.S. had oil reserves of roughly 30 billion barrels. Yet from 1980 through 2010, we produced over 77 billion barrels of oil. In other words, over the last 30 years, we produced over 150 percent of our proved reserves.

The track record of the Federal Government and the industry in general to quantify the future with regards to oil and gas would have me betting on the “over” rather than the “under”.


4 posted on 03/17/2012 4:33:06 AM PDT by Recon Dad (Gas & Petroleum Junkie)
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To: Kaslin
the messiah has not been taken in by the Myth.

he just blatantly lies about it. in his Marxist upbringing, it is not only a good idea it is a requirement to RULE! He has stated that he wants European type oil pricing...he would love a country full of bicycle riders who owe everything they have to the state....

Control baby!

(“Obama is prepared to really take power and begin to RULE from day one”..... Valerie Jarret co-chair of the Messiah's transition team.)

5 posted on 03/17/2012 4:37:39 AM PDT by Vaquero ("Sic semper tyrannis")
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To: Kaslin

Here’s an even broader picture......

In 1944, U.S. proven oil reserves were 20 billion barrels — about the same as they are today. Yet, between 1945 and 2010, the United States produced 167 billion barrels of oil. In other words, the United States produced over 8 times more oil than the amount of proven oil reserves it had in 1944. How can that be? The answer is that proven oil reserves are not stagnant because people keep looking for oil. Proven oil reserves keep changing, are officially recorded every year, tallied country by country, and published in the Oil and Gas Journal, among other publications. And due to U.S. entrepreneurship and ingenuity, more reserves are found and proven each year.

What happens is one or more of the following: 1) technology is found that converts hard-to-produce resources into proven reserves, 2) oil prices increase to allow more expensive types of oil to be produced, and/or 3) companies are able to purchase additional leases and explore for new basins of oil. An example of the first case where technology enables oil resources to become proven reserves is hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling used to produce shale oil resources, most notably in North Dakota. North Dakota now ranks third among the states in oil production.[iii] Its proven reserves have increased 25-fold in 13 years, and are likely to grow much larger.


6 posted on 03/17/2012 4:41:31 AM PDT by Recon Dad (Gas & Petroleum Junkie)
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To: no-to-illegals

I can tell you that several International companies (some based in Germany) hold title to Powder River Basin coal.


7 posted on 03/17/2012 4:56:57 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Beware the Sweater Vest)
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To: Recon Dad

“The track record of the Federal Government and the industry in general to quantify the future with regards to oil and gas would have me betting on the “over” rather than the “under”.”

To say nothing of the fact that pumped out, dried up wells in the Gulf of Mexico have been found to be “refilling” some how.


8 posted on 03/17/2012 4:57:44 AM PDT by TalBlack ( Evil doesn't have a day job.)
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To: Recon Dad

“What happens is one or more of the following: 1) technology is found that converts hard-to-produce resources into proven reserves, 2) oil prices increase to allow more expensive types of oil to be produced, and/or 3) companies are able to purchase additional leases and explore for new basins of oil. An example of the first case where technology enables oil resources to become proven reserves is hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling used to produce shale oil resources, most notably in North Dakota. North Dakota now ranks third among the states in oil production.[iii] Its proven reserves have increased 25-fold in 13 years, and are likely to grow much larger.”

Or as in our case ya drill a little deeper then the Wolfberry and we find the Canyon Sands. We’ve been drilling Wolfberry wells here for many years, then we decided to go down to 9000 ft and see whats there, we hit the Canyon Sands at about 8500 ft and these wells are coming in at close to 400 bpd and holding a around 60 bpd after a year. This was on our old Wolfcamp stuff that was pretty much played out in this area. Seismic did not show this, so I guess what I’m trying to say is, you don’t really know what you have until ya start puching holes.


9 posted on 03/17/2012 5:04:51 AM PDT by Dusty Road
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To: Dusty Road
Or as in our case ya drill a little deeper then the Wolfberry and we find the Canyon Sands. We’ve been drilling Wolfberry wells here for many years, then we decided to go down to 9000 ft and see whats there, we hit the Canyon Sands at about 8500 ft and these wells are coming in at close to 400 bpd and holding a around 60 bpd after a year. This was on our old Wolfcamp stuff that was pretty much played out in this area. Seismic did not show this, so I guess what I’m trying to say is, you don’t really know what you have until ya start puching holes.
______________________________________________

The Russians abandoned the old fossil fuel phony theory years ago while the ‘peak oil’ propagandists kept peddling the same old line. Peak oil is nothing more than the precursor to global warming and carbon tax junk science war on carbon. What they will come up with next remains to be seen. Back to the Russians. Their theory is that crude is a natural occurring substance found in the molten center of the earth and works its way out to the ‘relative surface’ of the earth through fissures in the mantel. That is why the the Russians have been drilling down around the 10,000 foot level for a long time. Anyone ought to be able to figure out you do not find many dead dinosaurs down at 10,000 feet.

10 posted on 03/17/2012 5:42:43 AM PDT by iontheball
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To: iontheball

“Their theory is that crude is a natural occurring substance found in the molten center of the earth and works its way out to the ‘relative surface’ of the earth through fissures in the mantel.”

Only one problem with their theory, why is oil only found in ancient seabeds?


11 posted on 03/17/2012 6:03:55 AM PDT by Dusty Road
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To: Kaslin

There isnt a scarcity of oil.......nor is there a scarcity of printed money.....

Its the printed money and subsequent devaluation of the Dollar that is pushing fuel....

One place where the nutcase Ron Paul is correct on


12 posted on 03/17/2012 6:12:28 AM PDT by sbark
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To: iontheball

“Anyone ought to be able to figure out you do not find many dead dinosaurs down at 10,000 feet.”

LMAO! Oh you may find one or two along with the billions of tons of micro organisims that settle to the seabeds daily and have for hundreds of millions of years. The fact that oil sample produce fossil molecules is another tell. The sea’s are producing new beds of oil bearing deposits as we type.


13 posted on 03/17/2012 6:27:03 AM PDT by Dusty Road
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To: Venturer

“Tired of Republicans going along to get along.”

But why are they trying to get along with our pretend president?

And why has the Democrat Party become anti-American?

Are they all being blackmailed by President Obalgae?


14 posted on 03/17/2012 6:47:07 AM PDT by abclily
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To: iontheball

Anyone ought to be able to figure out you do not find many dead dinosaurs down at 10,000 feet.


Precursors to modern moles? Maybe they burrowed their way down there?


15 posted on 03/17/2012 6:52:12 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten

Dinosaurs are thought to be bird like, not mammal like.

I would argue the burrowing owl is the possible result of the burrowing dinosaur precursor

16 posted on 03/17/2012 7:04:55 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 ..... Crucifixion is coming)
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To: Dusty Road; iontheball
“Their theory is that crude is a natural occurring substance found in the molten center of the earth and works its way out to the ‘relative surface’ of the earth through fissures in the mantel.”

Only one problem with their theory, why is oil only found in ancient seabeds?


Two problems:

1. According to the abiogenic theory, crude does not originate in the "molten center" of the earth or in magma but from premordial methane trapped in the mantle under high pressure (also, as far as "fossil" goes, there are entire moons of liquid hydrocarbons).

2. Petroleum has been found in all sorts of geology (such as under basement rock), not only in "ancient seabeds." Methane, the feedstock of petroluem according to the abiogenic theory, seeps up everywhere. It's just that there are certain geological formations or geological conditions that can more easily trap petroleum, just as there are certain environmental conditions that facilitate the accumulation of methane, such as the cold and water pressure that trap undersea methane hydrates.

Thomas Gold's original monograph, The Origin of Methane (and Oil) in the Crust of the Earth, Thomas Gold, U.S.G.S. Professional Paper 1570, The Future of Energy Gases, 1993 And a collection of his papers is HERE.

You can also look at this (though, it may not work if you're not a member of a library with a subscription to the journal): Kropotkin, P. N. (1985) Degassing of the Earth and the Origin of Hydrocarbons, published in the International Geology Review, 27, 1261-1275. I'll see if my school has such a subscription. Freepmail me.
17 posted on 03/17/2012 7:05:33 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: bert

So all those commercials about ‘Putting a tiger in your tank’ were just plain wrong?


18 posted on 03/17/2012 7:17:39 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: Kaslin
We have so much oil here in North America that I'd like to see us ban the import of oil and mandate that we only use what we have here for X number of years and create and develop our own energy supply.

We would be far better off without all these foreign entanglements and wars for oil along with the manipulation from OPEC and the rest. That's the real quagmire we're stuck in.

You want a winning campaign issue? There it is. Take a poll, if you need to.

19 posted on 03/17/2012 7:28:00 AM PDT by GBA (Natural Born American)
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To: Kaslin

Another thing to keep in mind: The 800 billion barrels of kerogen in the oil shale is recoverable using current technology.


20 posted on 03/17/2012 7:38:49 AM PDT by sima_yi ( Reporting live from the People's Republic of Boulder)
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