Skip to comments.ARG Poll- Mississippi (Rom 34% Newt 32%, San 22%)
Posted on 03/12/2012 7:59:14 AM PDT by VinL
Mitt Romney leads the Mississippi Republican presidential primary with 34%. Romney is followed by Newt Gingrich with 32%, Rick Santorum with 22%, and Ron Paul with 8%.
In a similar survey conducted March 7-8, 2012, Gingrich was leading Romney 35% to 31%.
Romney leads Gingrich 36% to 33% among self-identified Republicans, followed by Santorum with 23% and Paul with 5%. Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Gingrich and Romney lead with 25% each, followed by Paul with 24% and Santorum with 18%.
Gingrich and Romney are tied at 33% each among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the March 6 primary, followed by Santorum with 23% and Paul with 8%. Romney leads Gingrich 46% to 15% among those saying they will probably vote, followed by Paul and Santorum with 13% each.
Gingrich leads with 38% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 23%, Santorum with 21%, and Paul with 8%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 46%, followed by Santorum with 23%, Gingrich with 16%, and Paul with 9%.
Gingrich leads among men with 38%, followed by Romney with 26%, Santorum with 20%, and Paul with 14%. Romney leads Santorum 43% to 25% among women, followed by Gingrich with 24% and Paul with 2%.
Details from the survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted March 10-11, 2012 can be found here.
Didn’t Newt effectively drop out of states where he could only hurt Santorum? Shouldn’t Rick return the favor right about now?
Somebody tell the more conservative counties to hold their vote totals until the big cities come in! Mitt’s getting the liberal areas that manufacture votes to put him over the top. See Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio. Moderates and liberals love close elections, where they can manufacture votes in the populous areas to win.
Waukesha county in Wisconsin defeated the liberals in the Judge election by holding back their votes until the cities released theirs.
“600 likely Republican primary voters” means +/- 4.5 points accuracy.
“Didnt Newt effectively drop out of states where he could only hurt Santorum? Shouldnt Rick return the favor right about now?”
RS is a sanctimonious weasel.
You’re right, that’s what the state GOP-e do- they control the ballots.
Imo, what seems positive is that Rick (in this poll) is fading a bit-— and in both states,Newt has very sound organization- he can get out his voter... hopefully.
“Gingrich leads among men with 38%, followed by Romney with 26%, Santorum with 20%, and Paul with 14%. Romney leads Santorum 43% to 25% among women, followed by Gingrich with 24% and Paul with 2%.”
This sentence says it all. The country is up for its punishment.
Maybe Newt should have hinted that Haley Barbour would be his VP consideration, instead of Perry.
I guess “conservatism” in MS means “establishment.” It’s probably the affection still or once held for Haley Barbour. Probably they also don’t know Gingrich was born in PA, which is not popular in MS, at least since July 1863.
Interesting that PPP has just the opposite but in either case the polls are within the MOE. It depends a lot upon on which candidate has the best GOTV effort, I’d guess.
Gingrich graduated from high
school in Georgia in 1961 and lived most of his life there...that’s what matters. As a child he traveled quite a bit due to his father being in the military and even lived in Germany for awhile.
It doesn’t matter where he is born as much as where he spent the majority of his life and calls home.
These polls are vexing a bit.
I only see Romney winning in Eastover
or on the Northern “visitor” coast
maybe some Country Club types here and there
but MS is extremely culture war in the white population
where Newt and Rick the Yankee are splitting the vote..lol
this is two polls now giving Romney far more track than I woulda ever figured
Rick is running neck and neck with Mitt in IL, according to recent polls.
He is falling behind in AL and MS.
If we are to believe the most recent polls, Santorum is now closer to a win in IL than in either MS or AL, and IL has more delegates.
Yet.....Rick is camped out in AL and MS, basically ignoring IL.
It is stuff like this that leads many folks to believe Rick is “taking one for the team” by targeting Newt instead of Romney.
MS has long been an establishment state. For years, they did as Senators John Stennis and James O. Eastland told them time after time. But they changed governors every four years until the 1990s. It was quite rare that an outsider won there.
“Vesty” is going to remain FOREVER scorned and loathed by the millions of us who saw him as a distraction and a ruse if Romney gets this nomination. The same might even go for Newt, but much more for Santorum, in my view.
He needs to take one not for the SANTORUM team, but for the team of the COUNTRY, for once!!
In all likelihood, if it comes down to the convention, watch for Santorum to “take one for the team” and cut a deal with Romney to throw delegates his way in exchange for VP on the ticket.
I could also see Wrong Paul handing his delegates to Romney in exchange for Rand getting the VP slot.
Once again, that leaves Newt as the best candidate of the bunch since he’s not willing to negotiate with the establishment. I just wish more people could see that.
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