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Stock Market Picks 90 Percent of Presidential Elections
Yahoo Finance/ US News ^ | Feb 24, 2012 | Lauren Fox

Posted on 02/26/2012 10:13:13 PM PST by Innovative

Since this article is originally from US News, which cannot be excerpted, no excerpt, but brief description in my comments section. For more detail, please see article at the link.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; obama; stockmarket
Some interesting statistics. They say that if the market is up in the two months prior to the election, the incumbent party wins. This has been 90% accurate since 1900. Pretty good predictor, it seems.

But still nothing is 100%. So we'll see.

1 posted on 02/26/2012 10:13:24 PM PST by Innovative
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To: Innovative

In the past we had good employment numbers with the rise in the DJIA. This time old rules do not apply.


2 posted on 02/26/2012 10:19:32 PM PST by Fee
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To: Innovative

This would be a true thing if volume in the market was up. That would mean that people on the streets are making enough coin to invest and save. The fact is that even though we have DOW 13K, volume is very low. People are still scraping by. Unemployment is still high, foreclosures are high, gas prices are high, food prices are high and people are still underwater on their home loans. These things fly in the face of the logic that these DJ number will matter a hill of beans.


3 posted on 02/26/2012 10:27:55 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: Innovative

Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?


4 posted on 02/26/2012 10:40:52 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: Innovative

My record is over 90% making a call in September of an election year. Geez.


5 posted on 02/26/2012 10:41:27 PM PST by Patrick1 (" Let's all pray Kim Kardashian's divorce won't have an impact on her craft.")
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To: vbmoneyspender
Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?

No.

6 posted on 02/26/2012 10:43:30 PM PST by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

With the exception of federal workers and Goldman Sachs employees, I’m figuring very few people will say yes to that question in 2012


7 posted on 02/26/2012 10:47:14 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: Lazlo in PA

Right you are....This is a low volume stockmarket with lot of that volume being high frequency trading so who is actually benefiting from it? Lot fewer people than in past years


8 posted on 02/26/2012 10:51:09 PM PST by dennisw (A nation of sheep breeds a government of Democrat wolves!)
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To: Innovative

So, lets see...if Helicopter Ben Bernanke prints enough money to keep the DOW moving up, Obama is a shoe-in.


9 posted on 02/27/2012 2:34:13 AM PST by broken_arrow1 (I regret that I have but one life to give for my country - Nathan Hale "Patriot")
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To: Fee
I cannot believe that anyone on Free Republic is NOT thinking to the point that they would buy into this obvious propaganda piece... “I want you to mine the data and find any stat that can be spun to help our boss obama”.

Gas will be above $5... it is in many places today (premium)... inflation is raging at groceries, in clothing and utilities... cars are aging yet we will not go into debt... and people are scared and we are in a depression... small businesses are dying every day and the trend is accelerating... and the market has been propped up with TRILLIONS in bail out dollars and federal reserve dumping and QE etc etc etc... it is a bubble... and bubbles pop.

LLS

10 posted on 02/27/2012 4:27:19 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (Hey repubic elite scumbags... jam mitt up your collective arses!)
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To: Innovative
If in September we begin to feel comfortable Obama will lose I would expect investors would feel more comfortable to take on risk. If that becomes the case the market will rise.
11 posted on 02/27/2012 5:07:34 AM PST by JIM O
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To: Innovative

I remember after Reagan was elected in 1980 that my brother mentioned the statistic that every single president elected in a year ending in zero died in office. So Reagan would too.

‘Cept Reagan didn’t.

I’ve seen a roulette wheel hit “red” 25 times in a row.


12 posted on 02/27/2012 5:37:24 AM PST by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: cuban leaf
‘Cept Reagan didn’t.

He came pretty close. He owed his survival to modern medicine.

13 posted on 02/27/2012 6:40:49 AM PST by Reeses
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