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Georgia Primary: Gingrich 33%, Santorum 28%, Romney 20%, Paul 9% (Rasmussen)
Rasmussen ^ | 2/23/12 | staff

Posted on 02/23/2012 9:42:03 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich leads the pack in the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the Republican Primary race in his home state of Georgia. A new telephone survey of Likely Georgia Republican Primary Voters shows Gingrich with 33% support, followed by former Senator Rick Santorum at 28%. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney runs third with 20% of the vote, and Texas Congressman Ron Paul trails with nine percent (9%). Two percent (2%) like some other candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: georgia; gingrich; newt; rasmussen
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Looks like Newt will easily take Georgia
1 posted on 02/23/2012 9:42:13 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

The favorable margin for Newt will only get larger after last night’s AZ debate. His opposition have hit their high water marks.


2 posted on 02/23/2012 9:45:45 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Mitt at a distant third looks good.


3 posted on 02/23/2012 9:45:46 AM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Romney has a way of whittling down Gingrich leads with attack adds. Hopefully that doesn’t happen here.


4 posted on 02/23/2012 9:45:53 AM PST by RC one (the majority of republicans agree, anyone but Romney.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I wouldn’t describe a 5 point lead as easily winning ones home state but then again I’m not a big fan of Newt. Though I am certainly a big enough fan to vote for him over Obama should Newt prevail.


5 posted on 02/23/2012 9:46:09 AM PST by jwalsh07
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Yes and look for his numbers to get better after last night.


6 posted on 02/23/2012 9:47:45 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Romney is running about $700,000 in negative ads against Newt in the state, and Newt I believe, has run ZERO Georgia tv ads against Romney.


7 posted on 02/23/2012 9:49:48 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Newt Ginrich is going to be here where I live in Kennewick, WA area today at 11:00 a.m.. I would like to go see him but at my age it isn’t going to happen. They said you need to be there no later than 9:00 a.m. Very little parking at the Red Lyon hotel, so would have to park elsewhere and walk. Then inside there will be no seating so have to stand while Newt gives his speech. :-(


8 posted on 02/23/2012 9:52:50 AM PST by Spunky
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Georgia has a lot of retired Northern Liberals and attracting new industries with an influx of workers.

The media is driving these numbers away from Newt - by ignoring or writing him off.

Note that Romney is still referred to as the ‘front runner’. Santorum is getting the religious/social conservative vote. FWIW Savannah’s Catholics and Jews have always had an awesome alliance.

http://savannahnow.com/coastal-empire/2006-11-21/interfaith-movement-turns-200-says-rabbi


9 posted on 02/23/2012 10:00:19 AM PST by sodpoodle ( Newt - God has tested him for a reason...... to bring America back from the brink.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I wouldn’t call 5% easy, but I would expect notwithstanding this poll that he should be able to win Georgia.

The key is to have Santorum 2nd, and not Romney. It doesn’t look like Gingrich is going to break 50% for the state, I guess he could break 50% in some districts.

There are 31 statewide delegates, assigned proportionately with a 20% threshold, so it would be great if Santorum was built up more, or even Ron Paul, to drive Romney below 20%. Trashing Santorum in Georgia would be extremely counterproductive. 3 statewide go to the winner, the other 28 are assigned by direct proportion (so if the poll here was the actual outcome, statewide Gingrich=15. Santorum=10, Romney=7.

There are 42 district delegates, divided into 14 districts. For each district, if a candidate has 50% they get all 3, if not 2 to first, 1 to second. If every single district was split like this poll, that would be 28 gingrich, 14 santorum, but obviously with a 33/28% split, it is unlikely the ratio is the same; also Romney with 20% may well have 1st in a couple of democratic-leaning districts.


10 posted on 02/23/2012 10:00:57 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: TexasFreeper2009; All
Willard the Lib is doomed in Georgia!

Other new polls today:

---

Michigan Republican Presidential Primary @Detroit Free Press/WXYZ

Santorum 37, Romney 34, Paul 10, Gingrich 7

NEWTORUM +10 OVER Willard the Lib (BIG thanks again to Newt for not contesting Michigan hence allowing conservatives to help Rick)

----

Pennsylvania Republican Presidential Primary @Franklin & Marshall

Santorum 45, Romney 16, Gingrich 9, Paul 7

NEWTORUM +38 OVER Willard the Lib

11 posted on 02/23/2012 10:04:27 AM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: CharlesWayneCT

That should have been Gingrich 14, Santorum 10, Romney 7.

The key is to shut Romney out of delegates as much as possible, which means driving his total support below 20%.

Unfortunately, this is one of the few polls that shows Santorum above Romney in georgia. The RCP average is Gingrich 34%, Romney 23%, Santorum 20%.


12 posted on 02/23/2012 10:05:19 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: sodpoodle

It’s odd how those migrating northern liberals bring their liberalism south, but the North remains even more liberal when they move out.


13 posted on 02/23/2012 10:08:06 AM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: CharlesWayneCT

There is a pretty consistent GOP-Establishment vote in GA. Many like to follow the party’s recommendation instead of thinking for themselves.


14 posted on 02/23/2012 10:09:32 AM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: CainConservative

Pennsylvania actually has all their delegates officially “unpledged”, and most (59) are elected by district separate from a presidential “preference” vote. One would expect that candidates have slates of delegates for each district, and that voters would select the slate corresponding to their preference.

If so, it is possible if Santorum has such a large lead that he would actually be the plurality winner in all 18 districts, and take all the delegates, but in reality it is likely that someone will beat him in one or more districts.

The rest of the delegates are selected by the central committee, and will probably just vote for whoever has the most delegates when they get to the convention.


15 posted on 02/23/2012 10:10:58 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: CainConservative

It’s going to be hard for the PA Republicans to win their liberal state in the fall. I would imagine huge Democrat opposition there to Santorum if he were the upset nominee.


16 posted on 02/23/2012 10:11:38 AM PST by Theodore R. (Forget the others: It's Santorum's turn, less baggage, articulate, passionate)
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To: Theodore R.

I doubt it’s the migration - more likely voters are media driven. Keep hearing how mitt is the front runner - leads the less informed to believe what they hear.


17 posted on 02/23/2012 10:22:40 AM PST by presently no screen name
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Go Newt

Let's hope Mittens loses MI too

.

18 posted on 02/23/2012 10:24:11 AM PST by Elle Bee
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To: Red Steel

yes, that’s what I think will be the biggest impact from last nights debate. Newt secured Georgia for sure after last night (which he was in danger of losing before)


19 posted on 02/23/2012 10:30:54 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Newt also likely take Tennessee after last night’s debate.

Gingrich will be in Nashville next Monday.


20 posted on 02/23/2012 10:37:39 AM PST by Red Steel
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