Romney leads Paul in Des Moines Register Iowa Poll; Santorum surges

Des Moines Register | December 31, 2011 | © 2012, Des Moines Register & Tribune Co.

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Link only per FR rules.

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Topline numbers: Romney 24, Paul 22, Santorum 15, Gingrich 12, Perry 11, Bachmann 7, over a 4-day polling period.

The pollster notes that in the 3rd/4th day period, the top three change to Romney 24, Santorum 21, and Paul 18, saying “Momentum’s name is Rick Santorum.”

[CainConservative]

Santorum is going to win this. Newt gets his top four.

Perry and Bachmann, 5th & 6th must bow out Wednesday morning to STOP further splitting of the CONSERVATIVE vote.

This thing gets settled in South Carolina as always. Period.

[struggle]

Lol, 2500 registered voters, of which 600 said they actually would vote? Yeah, that’s reliable. </s>

[campaignPete R-CT]

about 30% of GOP registration ... shows up for caucus.

[wolfman23601]

Lets see what happens. This is a caucus, not a primary, meaning votes change. I think Romney and Paul will get 18-25 percent, but I think either Perry, Newt, or Santorum win by getting the anti Romney vote. I dont see all 3 within the margim of error, someone is going to pull all that. I support Perry, but I agree, if he finishes 5th, he should drop out.

[RitaOK]

It is a good thing to stop The Socialist, no matter who has to do it. Thanks be to God for whoever does it. For me, the race begins for real in South Carolina. We need very much to find our non-Romney there, and he better be able to sell nationally. And not to only evangelicals. Anything less going into Florida will not be good for stopping The Socialist.

[jjotto]

Iowa has around 620,000 registered Republicans. A good caucus turnout would be 130,000.

Contrary to FR hysteria, the number of crossover Democrats will be negligible. There are over 1,700 precinct locations for those 130,000 attendees. Do the math. How much caucus-crashing would be tolerated when people recognize each other?

[ynotjjr]

If there is any Mittens left after South Carolina we will finish him off in FLA. Newt still holding a 18 pt lead, like in SC. No amount of negative ads will sway us conservatives. I was with Romney after the Fla primary last time when he conceded. He only lost by 4 or 5 that time. This time it will be triple that!

[byteback]

Looks like Morman hate isn’t is much as the MSM is reporting. Newt is easily the biggest RINO in the race and Santorum is the Conservative. I would be for him if he had a chance to win.

To all you Morman bigots BWHHHHHAAAAAAAAAA!! You LOSE

[reaganaut]

No people in IA are just stupid enough to believe the MSM. Watch the MSM will dig out all the ‘fun’ quotes by LDS leaders if Mitt gets the nomination.

Do you support Mittens? You sure sound like it.

FWIW, telling the truth about a cult isn’t bigotry.

[Keith in Iowa]

Register polls are like PETA listings of preferred steakhouses.

[TexasFreeper2009]

If it's bigotry to think cult members who think they are Gods and worship a polygamist with magic underware.... then count me in! Because I think they are bat poop crazy insane!

[bigbob]

A new flavor of the week. So there’s just time enough for a Huntsman surge before the election ;-)

[Godzilla]

Looks like Morman hate isn’t is much as the MSM is reporting. Newt is easily the biggest RINO in the race and Santorum is the Conservative. I would be for him if he had a chance to win. To all you Morman bigots BWHHHHHAAAAAAAAAA!! You LOSE

Sniff, sniff

[HereInTheHeartland]

With people getting multiple calls a day for polls; I question who is answering them and who their sample is.
I would take any poll with a big grain of salt.

[reaganaut]

LOL. Great response.

[reaganaut]

Like the new graphic and, yeah, that poster smells.

[Happy Rain]

If Santorum comes in third at IA and is in the top four at NH—his conservative Christian bona fides will win him South Carolina and thus the nomination.
Sorry Newtons, Mittbotts and Perrywinles—this ain't 2008--we gonna get ourselves a real conservative this time.

[TheOldLady]

Great graphic, G!

When are all these Mythens supporters going to reverse their cranial/rectal inversion and realize that we are averse to Mythens's policies and record rather than his religion.