Posted on 10/26/2010 3:59:44 PM PDT by Brices Crossroads
Who does Delaware Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Chris Coons want campaigning in Delaware? Sarah Palin, of course.
Facing attention-grabbing Republican candidate Christine O’Donnell, the Coons campaign sent an e-mail to supporters Tuesday wondering aloud why the matriarch of the “Mama Grizzlies” hadn’t yet fulfilled a promise to campaign for the struggling candidate.
“The Delaware Republican Party turned its back on O’Donnell. Then the National Republican Senatorial Committee turned off their support,” read the letter. “Sarah Palin’s absence in Delaware is a sign that she is set to do the same?”
Far from a rhetorical question, the Coons campaign seems eager to actually have the former vice presidential candidate make an appearance for O’Donnell.
“I think Sarah Palin coming in would be great,” said Coons’ Communications Director Daniel McElhatton. “Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint, [and] Christine O’Donnell have all the same types of ideology and policy positions … So if Sarah Palin wants to come in and articulate those positions to Delawareans, all the better.”
The Coons camp’s eagerness to have Palin stump for O’Donnell might be reflected in a recent Gallup poll that suggests Palin has a negative net impact of 16 percent on independent voters, though it’s not as bad as President Obama’s negative net impact of 27 percent.
While polls currently show Coons leading the race by double digits, the O’Donnell camp recently sent a message to supporters claiming that gap between the two was shrinking.
“Chris Coons’ tired rhetoric is wearing thin and the polls are showing it,” read the message.
The O’Donnell campaign was unavailable for comment.
bttt
Yes , but he has great hair .
Notice that reputable pollsters Rasmussen, Survey USA etc have not done any polling in Delaware apparently over the last 10 days. With COD being such a “celebrity” and in the crosshairs of the MSM you would think they would want to beat COD over the head that she is behind Coons by double-digits, wouldn’t you think?
Instead TCJ has polled 3 times in the last 10 days and the TPX once and all polls showed COD in single digits. Could all 4 polls be off? I don’t think so.
Thanks , Al. That is great news. COD is ahead of schedule, far ahead of where I thought she would be. I don’t want to get overconfident, but I think she will win it by several percent, like she did the Primary.
Thanks, but Gocards told me about it. I just located the link, using Google.
“I guess Coons is the wicked witch.”
Is Palin gonna drop a house on him?
“Could all 4 polls be off? “
Not likely. COD’s facebook numbers have shot up disproportionalately as well in the last week. She is clearly surging.
He will literally be shitting his pants once he finds out that Sarah will be in Wilmington on Oct 31.
“once he finds out that Sarah will be in Wilmington on Oct 31.”
The little weasel asked for it.
I heard she’d be in Wilmington on Sunday for the TPE thing.
It hasn’t been announced or anything. Whatever is right for Christine is what they should do. I would think that Palin there would be good for Christine, but others might have different opinions, I don’t know.
Coons is acting like someone who thinks he’s going to lose.
BTW, Christine just passed $1.5 million on the latest donation money bomb thing.
http://christine2010.com/1mill1trill/
“Whatever is right for Christine is what they should do. I would think that Palin there would be good for Christine, but others might have different opinions, I don’t know.”
I share your view. I think it would be great for Christine. This election is about TURNOUT. And no one spurs turnout like Palin. Palin will push COD far across the finish line. At least that is how I see it.
It’s interesting, the last 5 days, as the last 5 days haven’t really been big National news days for Christine. I think that 5 days ago, people weren’t talking about the establishment clause quite as much as the days before that.
So, this is definitely good stuff, an assessment of what is likely happening on the ground in Delaware.
Like you say, turnout.
We’re seeing Republicans up +15 in early voting over 2008 on average.
Do the old polls have it at 40 D 37 R ?
I don’t think so.
If Christine is down by 11 in a Rasmussen poll, and 6 percent more Republicans and 5 percent fewer Democrats and it’s a tie.
So many of these polls rely so heavily on the assumptions that they make about turnout of the 2 parties.
A lot can happen in a week. Obama could, all of a sudden, become someone who can make people want to get out of bed and leave the house and vote for Chris Coons. I don’t think that will happen, and I think that a much higher percentage of Republicans will vote than Democrats. I think that Indies who like Christine will vote more often than Indies who don’t like Christine.
Coons is a pretty dislikeable character, especially compared to Christine, the superstar.
Good point.
Yes, reading what you have to say increases my belief that having Palin there would definitely be a good thing.
Palin will definitely increase turnout for Christine.
>>> the O’Donnell camp recently sent a message to supporters claiming that gap between the two was shrinking.
They were either dishonest or delusional. Which actually has been a pretty consistent pattern.
The October polls so far:
2010 Delaware Senate General Election:
Christine O’Donnell (R) vs Chris Coons (D)
Pollster Dates N/Pop O’Donnell Coons Other Undecided Margin
Rasmussen 10/14/10 500 LV 40 51 5 4 +11D
SurveyUSA/U of Delaware 10/11-12/10 703 LV 33 54 5 9 +21D
CNN/Time 10/8-12/10 834 LV 38 57 4 1 +19D
Monmouth/Gannett 10/8-11/10 790 LV 38 57 - 5 +19D
Magellan (R) 10/10/10 1145 LV 36 54 3 7 +18D
FOX 10/9/10 1000 LV 38 54 3 5 +16D
September polls
Fairleigh Dickinson 9/27-10/3/10 801 LV 36 53 - 8 +17D
University of Delaware 9/16-30/10 729 RV 30 49 2 20 +19D
Rasmussen 9/26/10 500 LV 40 49 5 5 +9D
CNN/Time 9/17-21/10 703 LV 39 55 4 2 +16D
FOX 9/18/10 1000 LV 39 54 2 5 +15D
Rasmussen 9/15/10 500 LV 42 53 1 4 +11D
PPP (D) 9/11-12/10 958 LV 34 50 - 16 +16D
Rasmussen 9/2/10 500 LV 36 47 8 9 +11D
The supposed “new” poll favorable to O’Donnell touted several days ago has never materialized. Otherwise the only way the above available polls are shown to be tightening is to compare DIFFERENT polls, such as Rasmussen at D+11 vs SurveyUSA at D+21.
Even Rasmussen when compared to itself shows O’Donnell losing ground since September.
As for Sarah, there are states where she sells. There are states she doesn’t. Smug yuppie Delaware is likely the latter. Coon probably would actually consider it Christmas in November if she shows up. Not that he needs it.
“They were either dishonest or delusional. Which actually has been a pretty consistent pattern.”
Why don’t you get lost? You are a troll. I can read your polls, the most recent of which is nearly two weeks old. They mean absolutely nothing. Didn’t the polls show Mike Castle way ahead? What happened to them? They showed Murkowski way ahead. How did that one come out? They showed Sharron Angle behind. How did that one turn out.
Your record of predictions doesn’t even rise to the level of a stopped clock.
I will be sure to do a vanity post and throw your slanderous defeatism back in your face after O’Donnell wins a week from tonight. And she WILL win. And Palin will campaign for her.
Isn’t this supposed to be a Conservative site?
No one is claiming that Christine is not Conservative.
Are we allowed all of a sudden to start attacking Conservatives, calling them delusional, on this, a Conservative site?
Republicans can of course be attacked for being insufficiently Conservative. But this is not the case here. This is a Conservative we have here. We always want Conservatives to win and we don’t do anything to tear them down.
Honestly, I think what I just said is as good a reason as any for a full on purge of all the anti Christines.
The most recent poll is -11. the one before that -21.
That’s a gain. In the shortest term. Over the long term, it has been flat. But it is entirely true to say that there was a gain from 21 to 11. You see it differently, but their way of seeing it isn’t wrong. You just disagree.
They’ve also mentioned some of the TCJ polls. I believe that those polls are BS. The danger of talking about polls that might be BS is that you can get called on it. But I haven’t heard anyone really “proving” that those TCJ polls are BS. I don’t know for a provable 100% certainly that those polls are BS. Maybe the Christine campaign has seen what I haven’t.
I think that Christine is somewhere around 6% behind right now. I do trust Tea Party Express and was a little disappointed that they didn’t put more of their poll out there. Someone in DE got a robocall from Utah, which is where NSON is, so they’re polling for Tea Party Express.
There’s good reason to think that there’s a real poll indicating that Christine is at 6%. We haven’t seen it. There’s good reason to think those are accurate poll numbers, that Christine is 6% behind right now.
Personally, I don’t believe a word of truthfreedom. Or other posters who are strictly armchair pundits.
Its actually kinda funny. Regardless, we’ll know Nov. 2.
In the meantime, phone bank for a candidate of your choice. Help them cross the finish line. In this election cycle, trust me, there will be many nice surprises on Tuesday night.
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