Posted on 05/27/2010 10:42:51 AM PDT by for-q-clinton
I don’t see it so much as a bounce as that the -22 was the outlier. Not that I wouldn’t want -22 to be the new reality much like they see 10% unemployment as the “new normal” but you have to see a prolonged period in the -20s before concluding that wasn’t just a one-day outlier in there.
“I still hate the obsession with this particular poll number. The only number that counts is this one.
Overall, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) disapprove.”
We have a winner!!!
I guess the loony left base was cheered by the prospect of a Somali terrorist getting across the southern “border.”
Putting the National Guard on the border. The public does not realize yet that they will only be for show. No immigration control.
a bounce from what?
I sure hope it goes back down to the -22 again!!!!!!and then Christmas comes!!! “ Obama’s Dissaproval at -90!!!!”
The overwhelming odds are that this morning’s “bounce” reflects absolutely nothing more than random sampling variation.
As I was attempting a while ago to disaggregate the latest “raw data” underlying Rasmussen’s three-day moving average, I got the distinct impression that last night’s sample — only 500 respondents, BTW — swung in favor of the Big Ø by something like ten points, maybe more. It’s inevitable that such wild swings will occur from time to time with small samples, and really they don’t mean a thing. Just run-of-the-mill statistical noise.
Moreover, since last night’s “probably-out-of-range” numbers will continue to be embedded in Rasmussen’s daily reports for two more mornings, we shouldn’t pay a lot of attention to the report tomorrow (Friday) or Saturday.
But do keep an eye on the ten-day moving average. I had expected this morning’s number would touch or break thru its old support level (all-time low) of -17.7, but no such luck: It got down “only” to -17.5. Still, that’s a fantastic number in terms of the electoral implications, because it suggests that if an election were held today, a generic opponent should be able to beat the Big Ø by the astounding margin of 60 to 40!
“Just 28% now believe the United States is generally heading in the right direction.”
That is, everyone who’s drawing a paycheck or other form of monetary compensation at the expense of the American taxpayer, and, let’s face it, none of them could care less about America as long as they’re getting paid.
Everyone else in the nation rightly thinks Obama’s an incompetent fool or worse.
Well we live in Planet Obama... something tells me even a dip into the negatives would be construed as a bounce for him.
Well analyzed.
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A year from now, his “Strongly approve” will be 14 percent and his “Strongly disapprove” will be 58 percent. More and more people will figure out, even with some mainstream media input, that the man was raised a Muslim (may still be) and raised by communists - which he may well be himself.
I can’t imagine he would get any kind of bounce based on that lame speech he made today. 37 days to make a public response about the oil spill.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Lae0wZHZEw&feature=player_embedded
What the heck is going on with Ras... is he just playing with us? Went from -22 to -12 in two days????
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