Posted on 10/29/2009 7:05:08 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A major shortcoming in an otherwise thoughtful post on deficit spending is a traditional mistake in which analysts seek to analogize the expenditures of government with that of a private household or business.
The government is sovereign. This fact gives to government authority that households and firms do not have. In particular, government has the power to tax and to issue money. The power to tax means that government does not need to sell products, and the power to issue currency means that it can make purchases by emitting IOUs. No private firm can require that markets buy its products or its debt. Indeed taxation creates a demand for public spending, in order to make available the currency required to pay the taxes. No private firm can generate demand for its output in this way. Neither of these statements is controversial; both are matters of fact. Nor should they be construed to imply that government should raise taxes or spend without limit. However, they do imply that federal budgeting is different from private budgeting, and should be considered in its proper, public context.
It simply means that the government does not need money to fund its operations. It seems counter-intuitive, but the public actually needs the governments money to pay its taxes rather than the government needing taxes to pay for highways, bridge repairs, schools, national defense, etc. For the household, paying back debt means they have to sacrifice current consumption (spending). For the government, no such financial constraint is imposed. Its ability to spend now is independent of how much debt it holds and what is spending was yesterday. That situation can never apply to a household or business firm.
Because the government is the only entity that gets to create money, it can buy whatever is for sale in terms of its money merely by providing that money to the public, which opens up a huge range of policy options. Putting this in concrete terms, the governmentbuys a new highway or a new aircraft carrier, as long as the construction materials and workers wages can be paid for in its own currency.
Where does the government get the money? The government creates this money by crediting bank accounts. It creates money with the stroke of a computer keyboard. New money is an entry on a spreadsheet, nothing more.
To put this in everyday terms, the dollars the government creates function something like tickets to the Super Bowl. As you go into the stadium, you hand the man a ticket worth $1000, and then he tears it up and throws it away. Why? Because the ticket has served its function: it has enabled you to gain entry to the event in question; similarly, a tax is paid to extinguish a state liability, but as soon as the tax is paid, it has no further value to the government. The tax receipt can be sent to the shredder. Tax payments (which discharge a liability to the state) then drain the money we call legal tender (otherwise known as fiat currency), which can be pictured as a movement of funds away from the private sector and down the drain as the money is literally burned, or simply wiped off the liability side of the Federal Reserves balance sheet.
How does the government taking your tax money and throwing it in a shredder pay for anything? The answer is that it doesnt.
Taxes function to reduce aggregate demand, also known as spending power, and not to collect what the government needs to spend on something else.
As a matter of conceptual clarity, it makes no sense to say that a government ever builds up a store of savings that allows for higher spending capacity in the future. The government neither has or doesnt have any dollars; it simply makes computer entries on a banks balance sheet, as Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke described in the 60 Minutes interview above.
It spends by changing numbers upwards in our bank accounts. Think of this like a football game. Awarding 6 points for a touchdown doesnt use up some stock of points held by the stadium. It is electronically credited via the scoreboard. Nobody asks that the 6 points be repaid somehow.
You dont save what you have the option of creating or not creating (i.e. fiat currency). Not spending, not creating currency via crediting bank accounts, simply means less present day economic output.
We all learned this as the paradox of thrift.
There is nothing to save. The government is never revenue constrained.
This is in contradistinction to the way users of the currency, versus the issuer of a currency, such as a household functions.
For them, spending is constrained by income. Their checks will bounce if there is no money in their accounts. And for users of the currency monetary savings can be stored to permit higher consumption in the future. And households dont have an electronic printing press in their basements which would eliminate that constraint. As Rob Parenteau has already noted, this is called counterfeiting and its a jail-able offense.
True, if a government spends too much after getting us to a state of full employment and higher economic growth, excessive government spending can create inflationary pressures. So to that extent, there is a limit. But acknowledging that unconstrained government spending can create inflation is not the same as arguing that it is in any way operationally constrained. Contrary to conventional gold standard thinking, where it is said that every DOLLAR SPENT HAS TO BE FINANCED BY AN OUNCE OF GOLD ALREADY IN EXISTENCE, our government can afford anything that it is for sale in its own currency.
The debate therefore should not be focused on affordability but on what our the national priorities of our government? The political process, not a non-existent gold standard, determines that if we want more killing toys then the national government can always meet those expectations in a fiscal sense, unless we run out of real resources. Likewise if we desire universal health care, in a manner where the government provides this as a national right, rather than foisting it on business as a marginal cost of production (remember, businesses are constrained in a way that governments are not).
Further, if there is a problem with excessive private indebtedness and overspending, then the mirror image of that has been the excessive fiscal drag that the national government inflicted on the USA between 1996 and 2007. If you want the economy to grow and produce the saving capacity (via income growth) to allow the private sector to repair their precarious balance sheets then the last thing you would want to do is run tight Budgets for a long time into the future.
What is needed when the economy has been driven by private spending funded by ever-increasing levels of debt (and a contracting public sector as a proportion of total output) then what is required is a change in the composition of final expenditure from private to public unless you want to scorch the earth and deliberately contract the economy.
The consequences of overspending might be inflation or a falling currency, but never bounced checks a government creating its own currency can never go broke. Government spending limits ought to be set by our policy makers by considering what we, as a society, want, like universal health care, full employment, a well-functioning economy and our ability to accomplish thisnot out of some preconceived notion of what is affordable.
I need to ping. Nice article.
A wonderful theory except for one minor problem.
It would work just fine if there were no other nations with their own currency and who never bought US debt in the form of treasuries or other debt instruments related to world trade.
In other words, if we had a captive economy as in isolation and a refusal to engage in world trade.
The hole in the author’s theory is that eventually those nations who do hold our debt expect to be paid and they do not like being paid with junk money. They exchanged valuable goods for what they thought was good money and they expect good money in return.
When they find out they are getting screwed, they become just as unpleasant as that bill collector does when you as an individual attempt to stiff your creditors.
An ill tempered creditor is an ill tempered creditor, whether he be one US citizen dealing with another or whether he represents one nation dealing with another nation.
The US is in the process of creating a lot of international ill tempered creditors.
The author is insane.
Well DUH. Private debt is the kind you have to repay.
What claims court are you planning to take any government entity to if it chooses to default? How much money did the government-bond holders in the Weimar Republic retain?
Maybe they hope more than expect. Back in early 90s when Clinton raised taxes because he was scared of the ‘bond’ market there was a theory that if the Federal Reserve just printed money, then investors in US holdings would just dump their dollars. Last Winter Schiff and Faber and Rogers all made it sound like it would happen too.
It does not look that simple. It looks like that process will be much slower. Plus many nations cannot easily dump so many dollars because they cant consume as much as we buy. They are trapped too. Now if the economies take off they can buy up all the natural resources(energy) and food driving up out prices again. My prediction is we will see lots of demonization of producers, again. More calls for windfall profits taxes.
It seems counter-intuitive, but the public actually needs the governments money to pay its taxes rather than the government needing taxes to pay for highways, bridge repairs, schools, national defense, etc
++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Hubris, folly and fantasy. The power to tax is a vice, not a virtue. As is debt.
Yep - the other problem with the article is that "up is not down", black is not white and war is not peace....
Total disregard for the concept of value.
A football ticket is not money, it is a receipt.
There certainly is a limit on the score of a football game. The score is derived from the work required. It is impossible to have a score of say 3500 to 10 because it takes time to run up and down the field that many times. So then the only ways to make the scores higher is to change the denomination of a touchdown or make it easier to score.
Either way devalues a touchdown.
Perhaps Zimbabwe's situation seems counter intuitive to this author.
And that paragraph where he says in effect that it does not matter what it costs, because of his theory on monetary policy you can buy it if you want it no matter the cost.
LOLOLOL!
Forward this article to Robert Mugabe. He'll be very happy to know that government is never revenue constrained.
What a pile of horse excrement.
This is very true. If America EVER issues bonds payable in a foriegn currency - sell everything and run away - FAST. Very bad things are about to happen.
mark
Keynesian economics is evil wearing a cap and gown.
I’ll paraphrase Reagan. Congress is spending money like drunken sailors. But that is unfair to sailors. They, at least, are spending their own money.
“I assume that millions of debt holders can sue Uncle Sam all the way to the Supreme Court if they do.... “
That is a comforting assumption. I know that in some instances the first step to suing Uncle Sam is to ask permission of Uncle Sam to sue. Should you get to the Supreme Court, what then? Perhaps a 5 to 4 decision one way or the other?
I think actual default is possible, but not likely. More likely would be telling creditors that they will have to settle for something like 90 cents on the dollar, or else risk getting much less. The settlement might include a “gag order” preventing you from criticizing the settlement or the government. Another scenario is for a “stealth default” through high inflation.
The first rule in an honest economy is "Thou shalt not steal". That applies to the tax code, inflationary theft, private commerce and currency backing.
Fiat money is make-believe wealth and like all fanciful dreams sooner or later one must wake up and face reality.
What you say sounds right to me.
(Though even Ron Paul wanted some of that fiat currency in the last election cycle. :>)
If it is ever possible, I'm sure the Detroit Lions will be the team with the 10.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.