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Pillars of the Next American Century
The American Interest ^ | The November-December 2009 Issue | James Kurth

Posted on 10/19/2009 1:04:01 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The 20th century was famously called “the American century”, yet its being so called occurred in an improbable way. The phrase itself was actually not used until Time publisher Henry Luce coined it in a special issue of Life magazine in 1941—by which time 40 percent of the 20th century had already passed. Moreover, 1941 was a year in which the superiority of America and of the American way of life appeared decidedly problematic. Only the year before had the United States finally exited, statistically speaking, the decade of the Great Depression. Nazi Germany’s armies occupied most of Europe, stretching from the Atlantic coast of France to the heartland of the Soviet Union. At the same time, Imperial Japan’s armies occupied most of East Asia, stretching from Manchuria through much of China to Indochina. No objective observer could have been blamed for entertaining a whiff of pessimism about America’s prospects.

Nevertheless, Luce was truly prescient. By the end of the 20th century, nearly everyone widely acknowledged that it had, indeed, been the American one. Certainly, no other power and way of life could claim that title. Moreover, as the 20th century passed into the 21st, it seemed reasonable and even self-evident to say that the 21st century, too, would be an American century. In the first couple years of this century there was a little boom in the publication of books and articles—some admiring, some disparaging—that even went so far as to proclaim an American empire. Then, in an amazingly short time, a relentless series of events—almost a staccato burst—perforated and punctured this centennial and imperial dream: the 9/11 attacks, the setbacks of the Iraq war and then of the Afghan War, and particularly the American-originated global economic crisis and Great Recession of 2008–09.(continued)

(Excerpt) Read more at the-american-interest.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: bho44; china; economy; energy; manufacturing; obama; russia; unemployment; wot
Comments?
1 posted on 10/19/2009 1:04:01 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Chinese are not oblivious, however, to the promise of at least one of these new sectors, renewable energy, which they now call a strategic industry.

As a practical matter, that's still just pie in the sky and very expensive.

These include threats from transnational terrorist networks, nuclear proliferation, the global economy, global epidemics and global warming.

He undermined his credibility by mentioning global warming. It's looking to pan out as the biggest hoax of all time.

2 posted on 10/19/2009 2:16:18 PM PDT by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Anyone betting against America over the next hundred years will lose.

So many have underestimated us over the years. It just boggles the mind.


3 posted on 10/19/2009 2:25:26 PM PDT by texmexis best
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To: neverdem
"As a practical matter, that's still just pie in the sky and very expensive."

No longer true. See "Nanosolar" as to why. But that breakthrough is, once again, and American one.

And in the wings is IEC Fusion (aka "Bussard fusion" or "polywell fusion"), which looks to be THE next big leap forward in the nuclear power area. Also an American innovation.

4 posted on 10/19/2009 2:40:35 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog ( The Hog of Steel)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Kurth is a Realist/Pragmatist. He has used the above title, Pillars of the Next American Century, as a contrast to the NeoCon’s Project for a New American Century.


5 posted on 10/19/2009 3:07:31 PM PDT by Ben Ficklin
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To: neverdem
As a practical matter, that's still just pie in the sky and very expensive.

Not really. As always, it depends on the specific application. Large scale solar PV is tremendously expensive. But solar water heaters were used in the US a 100 years and only fell out of use because oil / natural gas was so cheap. Well, it isn't any more / won't get much cheaper again in the future, so it's no wonder why in China most people use solar water heaters.

If you design a house from the ground up to be energy efficient (e.g. superinsulation plus ground-source heat pump), you can throw out the oil heating completely. And the heat pump runs with electricity from wind as well as breeder reactors. Upfront costs are ~5-10% more, the heating bill makes up for it in the long run.
6 posted on 10/19/2009 5:13:12 PM PDT by wolf78 (Inflation is a form of taxation, too. Cranky Libertarian - equal opportunity offender.)
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To: texmexis best
Anyone betting against America over the next hundred years will lose.

Yes, the fundamental difference however is that America won't win either. E.g. if the US decided to wage a trade war against the world largest single / integrated economy, the European Union, it would hurt itself as much as it would hurt the EU. Influencing the world through cooperation is the key.

Also, no country could successfully attack the US, but while the US is powerful enough to attack the majority of other countries, actually doing so weakens its global position. The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have emboldened Iran and North Korea. Adolfinejad doesn't fear Thor's hammer if that's in use elsewhere and all that's left at the moment are tweezers.

Also interconnectedness: You can't just double the army. The defense budget alone already demands a significant tax burden on the economy. So if you don't wanna raise taxes, you have to either pick your fights or the rising national debt will destroy the value of the US dollar.
7 posted on 10/19/2009 5:26:46 PM PDT by wolf78 (Inflation is a form of taxation, too. Cranky Libertarian - equal opportunity offender.)
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To: wolf78

You don’t need to lose wars to lose position either. Britain won both world wars, but lost global power as a result of both.

America doesn’t even need to fight any wars to decline in relative terms to the likes of China, all it needs to do is keep plodding the path it is doing at the moment. Increase its debt to foreign creditors and slowly erode confidence in the US dollar, and keep running up huge trade deficits with China and the EU....


8 posted on 10/20/2009 1:12:06 PM PDT by sinsofsolarempirefan
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