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Dems ponder drop in black voter turnout
thehill.com ^ | Oct. 14, 2009 | Aaron Blake

Posted on 10/14/2009 11:03:01 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY

Democrats are bracing for a precipitous drop in black voter turnout next month and beyond.

Alarms are being rung about just how many African-Americans will vote without President Barack Obama on the ballot, and the New Jersey and Virginia governors’ races in three weeks will provide the first major test since the 2008 election.

A recent Washington Post survey estimated the black turnout in Virginia’s governor’s race at 12 percent, which would be about a 40 percent drop from last year’s general election. Other polling has shown both its and New Jersey’s black population unmoved about the off-year election.

The question at this point isn’t so much whether black voters will turn out at 2008 levels, but how big the drop will be — and then, whether it carries into the 2010 midterms.

Tom Jensen, a spokesman for the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling, has been among the most outspoken. He said the high number of Democrats with districts that are significantly black means such a turnout shift could be disastrous for Democrats.

“If what looks like is going to happen in Virginia plays out on a national level, I do think Democrats will lose the House,” Jensen said.

“We really don’t find that many people who voted Democratic in 2008 are switching sides; they’re just becoming complacent,” he added. “And that’s particularly true with black Democrats, which is the party’s most dependable voter bloc.”

Virginia is about 20 percent black, and New Jersey is about 14 percent black. Both percentages are higher than the 12 percent national average. And in both states, polling shows the race could come down to the final days.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: blackvote; mcdonnell; va2009

1 posted on 10/14/2009 11:03:01 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Wonder if their Hopium is running out.


2 posted on 10/14/2009 11:04:23 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Obvoiusly it’s a racist plot that here are no black candidates to choose from..


3 posted on 10/14/2009 11:04:53 AM PDT by wny
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Black religious conservatives oppose Barack Hussein Obama’s policies on abortion and same sex relations.

They will pull their support on the Democrat party. Some black preachers spoke out against Obama during the 2008 scampaign. Others said that his stances on abortion and homosexuality were being miscast by his critics. We’ve seen the policies he’s instituted while in the White House.

God fearing men and women answer to a higher power than Washington.


4 posted on 10/14/2009 11:05:27 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (There is no truth in the Pravda Media.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/ for Governor

http://www.billbolling.com/ for Lieutenant Governor

http://www.cuccinelli.com/ for Attorney General


5 posted on 10/14/2009 11:05:59 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

“What do you mean, I can’t vote for Obama this time??!!”


6 posted on 10/14/2009 11:06:15 AM PDT by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
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To: Secret Agent Man

That..and the fact that Obeyme didn’t pay for their mortgage, cars, credit cards, Escalade. The big “brotha” didn’t help out yo..


7 posted on 10/14/2009 11:06:58 AM PDT by max americana (i)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

There’s no Free Stuff or any sign of it on the immediate horizon.


8 posted on 10/14/2009 11:07:31 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (Hey, O'Riley! I'd rather be a CRACKER than a CASPAR.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

No, No, No...It’s because this time they can only vote once!


9 posted on 10/14/2009 11:07:41 AM PDT by marstegreg
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To: Free ThinkerNY
It's hard being "historic" every election.

Just sit there, waiting for "Obama money" to arrive in the mail.


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

10 posted on 10/14/2009 11:08:27 AM PDT by The Comedian (Evil can only succeed if good men don't point at it and laugh.)
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To: buccaneer81

I’m surprised the democrats aren’t trying to put him on the ballot just to make sure they vote.


11 posted on 10/14/2009 11:08:50 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Seniors, the new shovel ready project under socialized medicine.)
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2012 will be the same. Been there, done that, got nothing. So too with the young “Pet Rock Hopey Change” and “let’s make history” voters.


12 posted on 10/14/2009 11:09:22 AM PDT by eureka! (Turn the Tea Party into our own ACORN when voting time comes. GOTV.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

And maybe some buyer’s remorse...


13 posted on 10/14/2009 11:09:28 AM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
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To: wny
Obvoiusly it’s a racist plot that here are no black candidates to choose from.

Shhhhh, it's racist to say "racist." :)

14 posted on 10/14/2009 11:09:36 AM PDT by BAW (I wanna Nobel Peace Prize too. I'm thinking about doing something some day.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Well maybe its hard to have Hope and Change when so many people are out of work because of obama?


15 posted on 10/14/2009 11:09:38 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Free ThinkerNY

....the black vote has always been indifferent...the Dems know this....they know they gotta round ‘em up and hand carry them to the polls...the Dems call this their “get out the vote” effort.


16 posted on 10/14/2009 11:09:46 AM PDT by STONEWALLS
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To: max americana

Give Obama time-free health care will be a start!


17 posted on 10/14/2009 11:10:15 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
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To: Free ThinkerNY
“We really don’t find that many people who voted Democratic in 2008 are switching sides; they’re just becoming complacent,” he added. “And that’s particularly true with black Democrats, which is the party’s most dependable voter bloc.”

Hmmmm...this sounds racist to me. "Complacent" sounds like "Lazy"....will someone alert MSNBC please?

18 posted on 10/14/2009 11:10:17 AM PDT by NMEwithin
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To: Free ThinkerNY

NJ is 14% black and it votes that badly? A lot of dumb white liberals in NJ. BTW - I like conservative African Americans. I do not like liberal anything.


19 posted on 10/14/2009 11:11:46 AM PDT by Frantzie (Do we want ACORN running America's health care?)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Alarms are being rung about just how many African-Americans will vote without President Barack Obama on the ballot

Does anyone else see a whole lotta racism there?

I mean, if we don't get one of our own to vote for, we're not gonna vote, at all?

Will anyone call it that?

20 posted on 10/14/2009 11:12:10 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Hey Dems, just push the gay agenda onto black voters. They will support you.


21 posted on 10/14/2009 11:15:53 AM PDT by pallis
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To: Free ThinkerNY

They’re all sitting at home waiting for their checks.


22 posted on 10/14/2009 11:15:55 AM PDT by SMARTY ("Stay together, pay the soldiers and forget everything else" Lucius Septimus Severus)
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To: Secret Agent Man

Hand out money.


23 posted on 10/14/2009 11:16:10 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: Free ThinkerNY

That’s okay. They will make up the missing votes with the usual illegals and mickey mouse; donald duck and dead voters.


24 posted on 10/14/2009 11:18:45 AM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: max americana

ROGULSKI: Why are you here?

WOMAN #1: To get some money.

ROGULSKI: What kind of money?

WOMAN #1: Obama money.

ROGULSKI: Where’s it coming from?

WOMAN #1: Obama.

ROGULSKI: And where did Obama get it?

WOMAN #1: I don’t know, his stash. I don’t know. (laughter) I don’t know where he got it from, but he givin’ it to us, to help us.

WOMAN #2: And we love him.

WOMAN #1: We love him. That’s why we voted for him!

WOMEN: (chanting) Obama! Obama! Obama! (laughing)

There’s more:

ROGULSKI: Did you get an application to fill out yet?

WOMAN: I sure did. And I filled it out, and I am waiting to see what the results are going to be.

ROGULSKI: Will you know today how much money you’re getting?

WOMAN: No, I won’t, but I’m waiting for a phone call.

ROGULSKI: Where’s the money coming from?

WOMAN: I believe it’s coming from the City of Detroit or the state.

ROGULSKI: Where did they get it from?

WOMAN: Some funds that was forgiven (sic) by Obama.

ROGULSKI: And where did Obama get the funds?

WOMAN: Obama getting the funds from... Ummm, I have no idea, to tell you the truth. He’s the president.


25 posted on 10/14/2009 11:18:54 AM PDT by MrB (Go Galt now, save Bowman for later)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
I have observed since the George Bush I campaign that the media will send 'scare articles' warning of low voter turnout among Democrat voters on election day about a month before an election.

It is a "You'd better get the vote out plea" . . .works every time.".

26 posted on 10/14/2009 11:19:24 AM PDT by stars & stripes forever ( Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

If the GOP can get 60% of the non-black vote consistently, it won’t matter if the black turnout is 100%.


27 posted on 10/14/2009 11:20:26 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always)
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To: max americana

They’re just too impatient. I cannot believe that The Big Zero and his functionaries don’t have more Detroit-style handouts of Stimulus monies in their plans.


28 posted on 10/14/2009 11:21:04 AM PDT by Elsiejay (.)
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To: eureka!

No, in 2012, somebody will run and real negro. You know the 100% african american, not some hybrid import. This would be fun to watch.


29 posted on 10/14/2009 11:21:36 AM PDT by equalitybeforethelaw
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To: Free ThinkerNY

The dead don’t have to show up to be “counted” ... dems will “vote the blacks” with or without their help...


30 posted on 10/14/2009 11:22:02 AM PDT by GOPJ (Nominated:Chamberlain, Hitler, Stalin. Winners: Arafat,Carter, Gore, Obama.(Nobel Prizes of Shame))
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To: GOPJ

Barack the magic negro brought them out, some white honky, middle-aged sausage will not get them as fired up.


31 posted on 10/14/2009 11:30:18 AM PDT by Free America52 (The White guys are getting pissed off. We beat Hitler Hirohito and Krushchev. Obama will be easy.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Saying blacks won’t vote because Obama wasn’t on the ballot isn’t racist, but if it’s shown white people will vote because he is in office is total racism on the white’s part.


32 posted on 10/14/2009 11:36:13 AM PDT by Abathar (Proudly posting without reading the article carefully since 2004)
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To: Free America52; swarthyguy; okie01

“Barack the magic negro brought them out”

Untrue. Voted in the same percentages for Kerry as Obama.

The “magic” part is on whites. Whites are more susceptible to hopium than black people, black people are less easy to fool.


33 posted on 10/14/2009 11:36:51 AM PDT by Shermy
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Wonder how may “black voters” (implies liberal) will not show up because they are unemployed and getting nervous about benefits running out after the 13 week extension. And feeling betrayed.

Look at this coming train wreck:

When Did Your County’s Jobs Disappear?””

http://www.slate.com/id/2216238/

5,561,032 jobs lost since June of 2008


34 posted on 10/14/2009 11:39:06 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

The Dems will gin up black turnout by telling them that Rush Limbaugh is the leader of the GOP.


35 posted on 10/14/2009 11:40:12 AM PDT by yongin
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To: MrB

RE: “ROGULSKI: Why are you here?

WOMAN #1: To get some money.

ROGULSKI: What kind of money?

WOMAN #1: Obama money.

ROGULSKI: Where’s it coming from?

WOMAN #1: Obama.

ROGULSKI: And where did Obama get it?

WOMAN #1: I don’t know, his stash. I don’t know. (laughter) I don’t know where he got it from, but he givin’ it to us, to help us.

WOMAN #2: And we love him.

WOMAN #1: We love him. That’s why we voted for him!

WOMEN: (chanting) Obama! Obama! Obama! (laughing)

There’s more:

ROGULSKI: Did you get an application to fill out yet?

WOMAN: I sure did. And I filled it out, and I am waiting to see what the results are going to be.

ROGULSKI: Will you know today how much money you’re getting?

WOMAN: No, I won’t, but I’m waiting for a phone call.

ROGULSKI: Where’s the money coming from?

WOMAN: I believe it’s coming from the City of Detroit or the state.

ROGULSKI: Where did they get it from?

WOMAN: Some funds that was forgiven (sic) by Obama.

ROGULSKI: And where did Obama get the funds?

WOMAN: Obama getting the funds from... Ummm, I have no idea, to tell you the truth. He’s the president”

***************

OMG — it’s almost as bad reading it here as it was hearing it on the radio! Yecchhh — IDIOTS!!!


36 posted on 10/14/2009 11:47:47 AM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Unfortunately this is THE only hope Christie now has. The voters in New Jersey are too stupid to escape the marxists’ grip.


37 posted on 10/14/2009 12:00:28 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Oh PULEAZE.....all it takes is some “walkin round money” and a BUS to get them to Vote!


38 posted on 10/14/2009 12:04:40 PM PDT by Ann Archy
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To: Free ThinkerNY
With Obama in the White House, liberals have lost much of the incentive to turn out to vote. They've gotten power and they don't think they'll lose it.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

39 posted on 10/14/2009 12:08:34 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Democrats must pander to racists in order to get their vote.... in other words put a male black liberal on the ballot.


40 posted on 10/14/2009 12:13:05 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric cartman voice* 'I love you guys')
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To: buccaneer81

There were first time voters last year who thought they HAD voted for president during the primaries.


41 posted on 10/14/2009 1:34:33 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (There is no truth in the Pravda Media.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Oh, noes!


42 posted on 10/14/2009 1:56:16 PM PDT by clintonh8r (Apparently I'm a racist.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

This is why stereotypes exist.

I cannot stand Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi or Barney Frank, in spite of their skin tone resembling mine.

Liberals of all stripes are the opposition.


43 posted on 10/14/2009 2:05:14 PM PDT by wac3rd (Felipe Calderon supports the public option.)
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