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About half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011
Reuters ^ | Aug 5, 2009 | Al Yoon

Posted on 08/05/2009 4:59:54 PM PDT by Need4Truth

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The percentage of U.S. homeowners who owe more than their house is worth will nearly double to 48 percent in 2011 from 26 percent at the end of March, portending another blow to the housing market, Deutsche Bank said on Wednesday.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; 2011; bhoeconomy; economy; issues; mortgages
Why are we seeing such a dire headline and article with all these Obamanomic green shoots sprouting up?
1 posted on 08/05/2009 4:59:54 PM PDT by Need4Truth
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To: Need4Truth

Undoubtedly Barry’s response: We “inherited” this...i.e.: Bush’s fault.


2 posted on 08/05/2009 5:01:10 PM PDT by cranked
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To: Need4Truth

>> all these Obamanomic green shoots

I’m pretty sure that’s just mold. :-)


3 posted on 08/05/2009 5:02:52 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: Need4Truth
This is going to put a hamper on any "recovery". The fact of the matter is, for the last 10 years (perhaps longer) the US consumer has been using their home as a piggy bank. Now that this revenue stream is drying up or has dried up, where's the recovery going to come from in a consumer-based economy?

This is bad, bad news. It will be interesting how and if this is reported.

4 posted on 08/05/2009 5:04:33 PM PDT by OldDeckHand (No Socialized Medicine, No Way, No How, No Time)
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To: OldDeckHand

I am thinking next time around it will not be cash for clunkers, it will be cash to help those rise above that water. I will bet anything, they will do something and give each family some kind of check.


5 posted on 08/05/2009 5:10:20 PM PDT by hsmomx3 (GO STEELERS!!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: Need4Truth

If you agree with their assumptions that home prices will continue to fall significantly. I think there is real concern with the homes in the jumbo loan market, because banks are still reluctant to make jumbo loans. That lending practice will continue to put downward pressure on higher priced homes. But i think the under $500K market has stabilized and the market will slowly weed through most of the bad loans in the past.


6 posted on 08/05/2009 5:10:52 PM PDT by Always Right (The Brown Shirt Media © is coming!)
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To: OldDeckHand

>> where’s the recovery going to come from in a consumer-based economy?

Why, from Government Jobs — “The Sustainable Economic Engine (tm)”

A US economy built on Government Jobs will lead us into the twenty-second century and beyond! With the hammer of industry in one hand, and the sickle of agriculture in the other, join us as we march forward into glory!

I mean, it worked out so well for the Soviets, didn’t it?


7 posted on 08/05/2009 5:11:04 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: Nervous Tick

Better to shoot the Greens who are causing economic destruction. How many will be foolish enough to pay a 200,000 mortgage on a 100,000 house? The house of cards is coming down.


8 posted on 08/05/2009 5:18:24 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (!!)
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To: Always Right

I am ever so grateful that we purchased our home before the big housing bubble and didn’t mess with any type of funky loan. Our sturdy, 2800 square foot, block house will maintain its’ value. I can’t see us ever being upside down in our mortgage.


9 posted on 08/05/2009 5:26:32 PM PDT by ChocChipCookie (Survival is a Mom's Job! Check out my blog: www.thesurvivalmom.com)
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To: Always Right
In today's political climate nobody wants to “weed” through anything.

Your post is correct.

But I doubt politcians/Washington will allow the high end market to collapse much further. Look for bailouts in that market and commercial real estate.

The U.S. economy is hocked to the eyeballs but that has not stopped Washington so far.

10 posted on 08/05/2009 5:31:49 PM PDT by nomorelurker
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To: screaminsunshine

Yeah, now they are buying ‘cash for clunker’ cars....outcome will be the same.


11 posted on 08/05/2009 5:33:18 PM PDT by Freddd (Government run health care=paying more and being denied what we already have.)
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To: Need4Truth

Call me a skeptic but I find the 48 percent number difficult to believe


12 posted on 08/05/2009 5:33:44 PM PDT by Popman
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To: Need4Truth
Of prime conforming loans, 41 percent will be "underwater" by the first quarter of 2011, up from 16 percent at the end of the first quarter 2009, it said. Forty-six percent of prime jumbo loans will be larger than their properties' value, up from 29 percent, it said.

Wow. Many metropolitan tax assessments made during the 'boom' years are still being used as well. A double whammy. I've seen them (foreclosures) with $25,000 tax bills. Just wow.
13 posted on 08/05/2009 5:34:58 PM PDT by allmost
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To: Need4Truth
Maybe the obamessiah will help them!
14 posted on 08/05/2009 5:36:44 PM PDT by FromLori (FromLori)
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To: Need4Truth

Wow that’s a chilling story.

I was able to downsize and sell my place this spring in Indiana. Got much less than I hoped but was able to buy at a similar discount and get into a smaller energy efficient house.

Just like Social Security and Medicare getting swamped as baby boomers retire and transition from tax payers to tax receivers, I think the house market will suffer in a similar way.


15 posted on 08/05/2009 5:40:04 PM PDT by nascarnation
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To: hsmomx3

How silly it is to pay off one’s mortgage ahead of time and live debt free. The bailouts and reparations will just keep coming for those who don’t give a $hit about personal responsibility.


16 posted on 08/05/2009 5:49:08 PM PDT by GnuHere
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To: Need4Truth

BS


17 posted on 08/05/2009 5:52:08 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (I AM JIM THOMPSON!)
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To: Need4Truth

48%- yikes, this is hugh and series

and that doesn’t include the coming crash of commercial property


18 posted on 08/05/2009 5:59:58 PM PDT by silverleaf (If you can't be a good example, at least don't be a horrible lesson)
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To: Need4Truth

I asked this question on another thread, but would like to reiterate: Are the people trading in their clunkers for new cars being qualified in any way? Who determined that these people can AFFORD TO PAY for the new car?

In answer to my own rhetorical question, I would opine that probably NOBODY qualified ANYBODY. So what happens in a few months when hundreds of thousands of car loans go into default and the repo man shows up?!


19 posted on 08/05/2009 6:00:59 PM PDT by Tucker39 (I Tim. 1:15b " .....Christ Jesus came into the world to save sinners, of whom I am chief.")
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To: Tucker39
So what happens in a few months when hundreds of thousands of car loans go into default and the repo man shows up?!

I go down to the used car lot and pick up the vehicle I want with 4-6 thousand miles on it for about 50% of it's recently departed MSR price.

And I still have my "clunker" as a backup.

Any questions?

20 posted on 08/05/2009 6:09:38 PM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik
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To: GnuHere
How silly it is to pay off one’s mortgage ahead of time and live debt free. ------------- I guess I'm old fashioned. Ran a business debt free, bought cars for cash and paid cash for my small home when I retired and downsized. Never had credit card debt and saved for any big items I wanted but didn't need. While I never made big money, living debt free in retirement allows a comfort level and stress free level of living. I have many friends who can't retire, can't sell their existing home and can't move down and retire so are stuck with big mortgages, big houses, high taxes, lots of debt and will be working until death if they're lucky enough not to be laid off or don't get sick. It's sad now but they lived it up as long as they had credit and equity in their home. Government can't support them all. There is too many of them who are underwater in all of their finances.
21 posted on 08/05/2009 6:41:14 PM PDT by Joan Kerrey
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To: Need4Truth

Market up on better than expected disaster.


22 posted on 08/05/2009 6:43:14 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Joan Kerrey

Like you I pay as I go. Not retired but I don’t owe anybody anything. Nor will I ever.


23 posted on 08/05/2009 6:44:13 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Joan Kerrey

What’s wrong with working until one is dead? I like debt and I like working. Both allow me to enjoy things in life that many others can’t.


24 posted on 08/05/2009 6:49:56 PM PDT by ItisaReligionofPeace
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To: Need4Truth
About half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011

And yet, in far too many instances, home owners are asking for more than they paid for a property just a few years ago (say 2004).

I looked at several properties recently where this was the case.

Partially, I believe this insanity is driven by plain greed ("I MUST make a profit when I sell like everyone else"), and perhaps partially by fear ("I re-financed and used my home like an ATM, so now I have to ask for more").

Either way, it is going to lead to more destruction, especially in states like California, Nevada, and Florida.

Many, many homes should be recorrecting back to 1997 prices is some cases.

25 posted on 08/05/2009 6:57:25 PM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: GnuHere
How silly it is to pay off one’s mortgage ahead of time and live debt free. The bailouts and reparations will just keep coming for those who don’t give a $hit about personal responsibility.

Well, I have to agree with the sentiment. I am paying my debt off, and some of it early.

But, my wife reminded me that the Bible tells us to pay it off, and stay out of debt.

From an article I read:

The borrower is slave to the lender. When you are in debt to another, you enter into a slave/master relationship with your creditor. (Proverbs 22:7) God wants us to lend to others. Obviously, this is difficult if you don't have anything to lend. (Deuteronomy 15:6, 28:12, Matthew 5:42) We are required to pay back what we borrowed. It is easy to take this lightly, but if we borrowed it, we should pay it back. (Psalm 37:21, Ecclesiastes 5:4).

You will be much better off. Believe me.

The deadbeats will get theirs. And it won't be pretty.

26 posted on 08/05/2009 7:08:32 PM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: ItisaReligionofPeace

I like debt and I like working.


Then go for it if that makes you happy. Most of my friends aren’t too happy about their status as they have to make adjustments to their life plan that they aren’t happy about. The ones I’m talking about have to work when they don’t want to and can’t retire when they want to and are in a position that they never wanted to be in. They don’t like debt but are loaded with it. Lots of folks work late in life because they want to but the ones I’m talking about don’t fit into this category.


27 posted on 08/05/2009 7:10:10 PM PDT by Joan Kerrey
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To: Always Right

The way things are going I wouldn’t be surprised if within a year or two I might be able to buy a mansion...but I won’t be able to eat unless it has lots of pecan trees full of squirrels in the yard.


28 posted on 08/05/2009 7:16:59 PM PDT by RipSawyer (Change has come to America and all hope is gone.)
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To: Always Right
the market will slowly weed through most of the bad loans in the past.

Eventually, but don't hold your breath. Banks have thousands of homes in foreclosure that they have withheld, aren't even on the market. It will be a long time indeed before all these turkeys bleed out.

29 posted on 08/05/2009 7:17:21 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Popman
Call me a skeptic but I find the 48 percent number difficult to believe

Well, being "under water" doesn't necessarily mean in trouble or facing foreclosure. Lots of us have homes that are worth less than their mortgage but have no trouble making the payments, have no reason to sell, and so being under water is not a problem at all. Just an accounting anomaly.

30 posted on 08/05/2009 7:21:07 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: hinckley buzzard

It will be a long time indeed before all these turkeys bleed out.
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

Truly this is a crash rather than a recession as some still believe. I hate to be so negative but I see no realistic possibility for any kind of recovery soon. On the other hand I can see all kinds of reasons to expect that within a very short time today will look like the “Good old days”.


31 posted on 08/05/2009 7:26:17 PM PDT by RipSawyer (Change has come to America and all hope is gone.)
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To: SkyPilot
in far too many instances, home owners are asking for more than they paid for a property just a few years ago (say 2004).

This is a well-known and perennial phenomenon. Home owners routinely and irrationally overvalue the home that they own. Plus, many have acquired the rather ludicrous notion that with the passage of time they are owed a profit more or less automatically. When they get an impartial assessment they often are rudely disappointed.

32 posted on 08/05/2009 7:28:43 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: hinckley buzzard
This is a well-known and perennial phenomenon. Home owners routinely and irrationally overvalue the home that they own. Plus, many have acquired the rather ludicrous notion that with the passage of time they are owed a profit more or less automatically. When they get an impartial assessment they often are rudely disappointed.

I agree.

A couple who moved to NJ from China put in an offer on a home down the street from us. It wasn't "asking price", but darn close. The owners took offense, and decided to play games with the seller, seeing how much more they could split the difference (and how many times they could get away with it).

The Chinese couple with lots of cash got tired of being pushed around and withdrew from the deal.

Now, the homeowners are in panic and shock.

33 posted on 08/05/2009 7:33:43 PM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: hinckley buzzard
Lots of us have homes that are worth less than their mortgage but have no trouble making the payments, have no reason to sell, and so being under water is not a problem at all. Just an accounting anomaly.

I agree. But then again, you seem like a reasonable and responsible person.

What worries all the suits are the millions of yahoos who have the loans that are built on a house of cards (you know the ones.....every variation under the sun) that "reset" very soon.

The full impact of that is going to be felt like a flash flood.

34 posted on 08/06/2009 3:01:33 AM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: Need4Truth

I’m still surprised that this 60 Minutes report has not gotten more play.

It clearly predicts the coming 2nd wave of foreclosures.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iUuROWEMjm0&feature=fvw

This is not a “subprime” crisis, as has been portrayed.

Subprime was the first link to break in a massively over stretched chain.

It is a “debt” crisis and it encompasses incomprehensible amounts of debt... individual, corporate, municipal, federal debt in the tens of TRILLIONS.

Thinking that something like Cash for Clunkers is going to help is like thinking that a life-jacket would get you through hurricane Rita.

The storm is just too big.


35 posted on 08/06/2009 7:52:46 AM PDT by Painesright
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To: Joan Kerrey

I see what you are saying.


36 posted on 08/06/2009 5:31:45 PM PDT by ItisaReligionofPeace
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