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Seismologist: 1 in 20 chance of larger quake in LA
http://www.onenewsnow.com/Headlines/Default.aspx?id=533334 ^ | May 20th, 2009

Posted on 05/18/2009 12:00:34 PM PDT by TaraP

LOS ANGELES- Seismologists are warning Los Angeles-area residents to expect more aftershocks after a moderate earthquake shattered glass, rattled nerves and sent at least one person to the hospital.

Sunday night's magnitude-4.7 quake was centered about 10 miles southwest of downtown Los Angeles and three miles east of Los Angeles International Airport, according to a preliminary report by the U.S. Geological Survey. The quake was followed by at least five smaller aftershocks, with the largest registering at magnitude-3.1.

USGS seismologist Susan Hough said there would likely be more aftershocks in the "threes, maybe a four," and there was a 5 percent chance of a larger quake.

"People should be on their toes," she said.

The quake jiggled the greater Los Angeles region for about 10 to 15 seconds and was felt as far south as San Diego, Hough said.

"This was a serious jolt," she said.

The shaking was most intense in the coastal communities south of LAX. Some residents said books and other items were knocked off the shelves.

Glass broke at a Starbucks in Torrance, and one person there had minor injuries and was taken to Little Company of Mary Hospital, Torrance Fire Department dispatchers said. There was no further information on the injury or the patient, they said.

Television images showed a Long Beach drapery business that had its storefront window knocked out.

"It was pretty strong," owner John Sousa told KABC-TV as he stood on the sidewalk outside Blue Ribbon Drapery. "It's a little strange, but I expected it was going to happen sometime," he said.

Tiles fell from a movie theater ceiling during a screening of "Angels and Demons" at the South Bay Galleria in Redondo Beach and moviegoers fled from the theater. Firefighters were called to repair a damaged light pole in Hawthorne, the Los Angeles Times said. No injuries were reported in either incident.

Tom Oswalt, 46, said he was packing clothes for a business trip at his home in Long Beach when the shaking started.

"First thing I thought was 'Is this the big one?' It was pretty powerful," he said. "My first thought was to get out of the building, get my dog and get out of the building. Now we're just waiting for aftershocks."

However, some people who live north of downtown Los Angeles either felt a light shake or nothing at all.

The last damaging earthquake in Southern California was the 1994 magnitude-6.7 Northridge quake that toppled bridges and buildings.

Since Northridge, the region has been in a relative seismic lull, but activity picked up within the past year.

Last summer, a 5.4-magnitude quake centered east of Los Angeles rattled windows and made buildings sway, but did not cause major damage. It was the strongest quake to hit since Northridge.

Earlier this year, scientists kept close watch on an earthquake swarm near the southern end of the San Andreas Fault that shook the desert, but did not cause injuries.

"We've had quiet and active times," said USGS seismologist Lucy Jones. "The activity that we've seen in the past year isn't the highest by a long shot, but I would no longer call Los Angeles quiet."

___


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; earthquake; eq; losangeles; predictions; seismology

1 posted on 05/18/2009 12:00:34 PM PDT by TaraP
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To: TaraP

>>Tiles fell from a movie theater ceiling during a screening of “Angels and Demons” at the South Bay Galleria in Redondo Beach and moviegoers fled from the theater.<<

Wrath of God. LOL!


2 posted on 05/18/2009 12:02:01 PM PDT by netmilsmom (Psalm 109:8 - Let his days be few; and let another take his office)
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To: TaraP

Move the heavy stuff off the shelves and tops of tall furniture and appliances. Those are the things that shoot out during a quake like a fast ball from a souped-up Roger Clemens.


3 posted on 05/18/2009 12:03:54 PM PDT by BlueStateBlues (Blue State business, Red State heart. . . . .Palin 2012----can't come soon enough!)
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To: netmilsmom

I would be running out of that movie too!

I guess a real live jolt from the demons!


4 posted on 05/18/2009 12:04:09 PM PDT by TaraP (Unless we stand for something, we will fall for everything.")
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To: TaraP

Where would we all be without seismology????


5 posted on 05/18/2009 12:04:56 PM PDT by jessduntno (July 4th, 2009. Washington DC. Gadsden Flags. Be There.)
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To: TaraP
I've heard that everything east of the San Andreas fault may slide off into the ocean.

No, that's not a typo.

6 posted on 05/18/2009 12:07:29 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: TaraP

Will that mean less votes for democrats?


7 posted on 05/18/2009 12:07:55 PM PDT by EAGLE7 (They MAY take our lives but they'll never take our freedom!)
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To: Izzy Dunne

That would be a big slice of CA gone if that happened. On the map it looks like most of LA would be gone if that ever happened.


8 posted on 05/18/2009 12:10:56 PM PDT by chris_bdba
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To: jessduntno
Emma the Poodle freaked out


9 posted on 05/18/2009 12:11:03 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: chris_bdba
That would be a big slice of CA gone if that happened.

Not to mention Arizona and Texas and a few dozen other states...

10 posted on 05/18/2009 12:12:36 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: TaraP
"First thing I thought was 'Is this the big one?' It was pretty powerful," he said. "My first thought was to get out of the building, get my dog and get out of the building. Now we're just waiting for aftershocks."

If it was the 'Big One'; the first thing you should do is locate your swimwear...

11 posted on 05/18/2009 12:15:50 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: TaraP
Unfortunately at some time we are going to get one in the 7.0 - 8.0 range (the size of the 1906 San Francisco Quake). If anything geology teaches us that if it has happened before it will eventually happen again. Even the most modern earthquake hardened buildings will have trouble with a quake of that size. And then only if they are actually built up to code. Of course we know that nobody in an all Democrat controlled city would ever cut corners on construction or building inspections /sarc

If it hits in the next couple of years we will get to see how well Obama does picking up the mess. The comparisons to Hurricane Katrina will be a natural. Lootie goes to Hollywood!
12 posted on 05/18/2009 12:15:53 PM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: Izzy Dunne

Makes sense...

(There’s no life east of Sepulveda anyway)...


13 posted on 05/18/2009 12:16:07 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 119 of our national holiday from reality.)
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To: TaraP

My youngest, who just turned 21, is moving to Long Beach next month. She was born there but we left in 1996. Guess she’ll have to get used to all that rocking and rolling again....


14 posted on 05/18/2009 12:18:12 PM PDT by Prince of Space ("Your weapons have no effect on me!")
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To: jessduntno
Where would we all be without seismology???? ha, I'll lay odds a 1:1 chance LA will get hit by something bigger or smaller in the future. Seismologists and Miss Cleo have a lot in common.
15 posted on 05/18/2009 12:20:12 PM PDT by Karliner (Things are more like they are now than they have ever been before. DDE)
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To: TaraP

Not one mention of the TIME in this entire article?? Our son felt it, here in Pasadena, but we did not.


16 posted on 05/18/2009 12:20:16 PM PDT by bboop (obama, little o, not a Real God)
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To: Izzy Dunne

And if California slides into the ocean
Like the mystics and statistics say it will
I predict this motel will be standing
Until I pay my bill

W. Zevon


17 posted on 05/18/2009 12:21:07 PM PDT by dmz
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To: jessduntno

>>Where would we all be without seismology????

We wouldn’t have any more earthquakes!


18 posted on 05/18/2009 12:21:09 PM PDT by freedumb2003 (Communism comes to America: 1/20/2009. Keep your powder dry, folks. Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: Izzy Dunne
everything east of the San Andreas fault may slide off into the ocean

That would do away with the Blue State / Red State nonsense.

19 posted on 05/18/2009 12:21:41 PM PDT by JimSEA
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To: TaraP

By the time this was printed and you are able to read this the odds have gone way up. That risk was mostly yesterday’s news.


20 posted on 05/18/2009 12:23:13 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric cartman voice* 'I love you guys')
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To: Izzy Dunne

Yes and it will be a big island one day. we will not live to see it. don’t worry about it.


21 posted on 05/18/2009 12:25:18 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric cartman voice* 'I love you guys')
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To: TaraP

Who has the “WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE!” ping list.


22 posted on 05/18/2009 12:26:35 PM PDT by WakeUpAndVote (Fump!)
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To: WakeUpAndVote

Not sure....

We should all watch!


23 posted on 05/18/2009 12:32:58 PM PDT by TaraP (Unless we stand for something, we will fall for everything.")
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To: TaraP

It was Bush’s fault of course...no other explanation


24 posted on 05/18/2009 12:35:16 PM PDT by GauchoUSA
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To: TaraP

There’s been a fair amount of scholarship tying seismic activity to lunar/tidal activity. If it holds true, look for some rumblings with the approach of the new moon this coming Sunday (5/23).


25 posted on 05/18/2009 12:37:21 PM PDT by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: jessduntno
Where would we all be without seismology????

Did someone say Scientology?
Image and video hosting by TinyPic
26 posted on 05/18/2009 12:38:12 PM PDT by catbertz
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To: netmilsmom

I was in Palo Alto in 1989...it was something to remember. I would never go to California if business didn’t require it. Even then I send a subordinate when I can..


27 posted on 05/18/2009 12:43:51 PM PDT by Gaffer
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To: GauchoUSA

Women and minorities to be hit the hardest...


28 posted on 05/18/2009 12:44:34 PM PDT by ILikeBourbon
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To: TaraP

So there is a chance!


29 posted on 05/18/2009 12:57:09 PM PDT by FightThePower! (Fight the powers that be!)
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To: GonzoGOP

“Earthquakes: Can’t live with ‘em; Can’t live without ‘em.”

Ah, tectonics.


30 posted on 05/18/2009 1:23:58 PM PDT by onedoug
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To: TaraP

I love these 1 in 20 predictions. No matter what happens, they can claim to be right.

50-50 is even better!


31 posted on 05/18/2009 1:27:34 PM PDT by Beelzebubba (Typical "Rightwing Extremist")
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To: Joe 6-pack
There’s been a fair amount of scholarship tying seismic activity to lunar/tidal activity.

A fair amount of nonsense, you mean.

This quake, for example, was on a half moon, like many others. It managed to miss even Berkland's gigantic can't-miss windows.

32 posted on 05/18/2009 1:58:00 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist
Perhaps I would have been best to state "...a fair amount of debate..."

Jim Berkland makes a pretty compelling case that at least some major quakes have been influenced by lunar activity.

33 posted on 05/18/2009 2:04:23 PM PDT by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: Steve Van Doorn

Where’s the link for online gambling?!?!


34 posted on 05/18/2009 2:40:28 PM PDT by eccentric (a.k.a. baldwidow)
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To: eccentric

yeap I would bet in a heart bet against these ‘scientists.’


35 posted on 05/18/2009 4:11:15 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric cartman voice* 'I love you guys')
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