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15% Of Ohio Reporting...Why call for Obama???
http://www.abcnews.com ^ | 11/4/08 | Jack

Posted on 11/04/2008 6:40:06 PM PST by molly_jack2007

How can anyone call Ohio with ONLY 15% of the votes counted?????


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; mccain; obamatruthfile; plain
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1 posted on 11/04/2008 6:40:06 PM PST by molly_jack2007
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To: molly_jack2007

Called PA with less than 1%


2 posted on 11/04/2008 6:42:36 PM PST by DBCJR (What would you expect?)
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To: molly_jack2007

I agree. This is stupid.


3 posted on 11/04/2008 6:43:15 PM PST by fetal heart beats by 21st day (Defending human life is not a federalist issue. It is the business of all of humanity.)
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To: molly_jack2007

It’s strange.

I’m following other sites and apparently (if believable) there are still many in line in Ohio.

Not saying it’ll go McCain (I hope not), but it’s unusual nonetheless.


4 posted on 11/04/2008 6:44:38 PM PST by RangerM (Barack Obama: CHANCE.....We Can't Afford To Take!)
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To: molly_jack2007
The exit polls said that Obama won Ohio. They just had to check some precincts to make sure that their results were matching with the exit polls. The only hope is that the precincts they chose to do exit polls in were not representative of the state.
5 posted on 11/04/2008 6:44:45 PM PST by KarlInOhio (Obama: Spread the Wealth = Marx: From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs)
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To: molly_jack2007

I agree. Some of these calls seem to be a bit early. If the networks are using the exit poll data, well, who knows...


6 posted on 11/04/2008 6:44:57 PM PST by Harry Wurzbach (Joe The Plumber & Rep. Thaddeus McCotter are my heroes.)
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To: molly_jack2007

I think all these news organizations shouldn’t be on the air until 11PM eastern time, at least when the polls close in the west, and I don’t think they should be making predictions this fast. I’m looking at the Ohio map and it’s insane that they’re calling it this soon.


7 posted on 11/04/2008 6:45:14 PM PST by Ballygrl
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To: molly_jack2007

statistical analysis of actual voting patterns, not exit polls. Fairly accurate


8 posted on 11/04/2008 6:45:26 PM PST by DAC21
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To: molly_jack2007
Standard propaganda to suppress the vote.
9 posted on 11/04/2008 6:45:50 PM PST by PhilDragoo (Hitlery: das Butch von Buchenvald)
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To: molly_jack2007

I am shocked at the large number of FReeper surrender monkeys here tonight. Not one worth sharing a foxhole with.


10 posted on 11/04/2008 6:45:53 PM PST by Rudder (The Main Stream Media is Our Enemy---get used to it.)
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To: molly_jack2007

They are dying to make history. They need to get the party started early.


11 posted on 11/04/2008 6:45:56 PM PST by wiseprince
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To: molly_jack2007

Rush said today that many states would be erroneously called too early for Obama...... Let’s hope he’s right...


12 posted on 11/04/2008 6:46:11 PM PST by ForbesFan
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To: DBCJR

I think PA and OH will be extremely close,I am still hoping for a win,myself.


13 posted on 11/04/2008 6:46:23 PM PST by coalman (type to slow to be relevant,but I try)
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To: molly_jack2007

I don’t know. The secretary of state’s website has McCain winning by a slight margin:

http://vote.sos.state.oh.us/pls/enrpublic/f?p=130:MYRESULTS:0


14 posted on 11/04/2008 6:46:30 PM PST by Pinkbell (”This guy is a jerk, an arrogant jerk. A Jerk Messiah.” - Rush talking about Obama)
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To: molly_jack2007

With only 15% of the votes counted, McCain can still win Ohio.


15 posted on 11/04/2008 6:47:23 PM PST by reasonisfaith (A liberal can never stand up like a man and admit his true beliefs.)
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To: KarlInOhio

The problem is though that counties that are leaning Obama are actually tied when you click on them.


16 posted on 11/04/2008 6:47:30 PM PST by Ballygrl
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To: DAC21

“statistical analysis of actual voting patterns, not exit polls. Fairly accurate”

Great response. Nicer than what I might have replied, something like, “Because they go by ACTUAL MATH rather than by WISHFUL THINKING.”


17 posted on 11/04/2008 6:47:41 PM PST by Stat Man
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To: molly_jack2007
Another strange thing - Florida State Official Division of Elections consistently gives count around 49% to 49%. ABC nevertheless consistently reports 52%-48% in Obama favor. Where they get those “results”?
18 posted on 11/04/2008 6:47:52 PM PST by alecqss
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To: fetal heart beats by 21st day

They’re using the WPE (”Within Precinct Error”) margins on the exit polls (which show an Obama lead), and which also are coming in pretty close to what the actual 15% of those precincts have reported out, so far. That means that even if they were off (the exit polls, that is) by 4 to 10%, the margins on the WPEs are still so close to the actual tallies, McCain seems to be losing.

It’s a statistical analysis tool, and the nets are jumping on it, based on the polls and the fact that the WPEs are validating the polls, to a large extent. So they feel safe in predicting that that the trends will hold, which they normally do when the WPEs are close to the exit poll numbers.

I’m a McCain supporter, and so’s my wife. It’s bitter gall, right now.

BK
(LCDR, USN, RET)


19 posted on 11/04/2008 6:47:55 PM PST by BigKahuna
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To: molly_jack2007

It’s strange.

I’m following other sites and apparently (if believable) there are still many in line in Ohio.

Not saying it’ll go McCain (I hope it DOES go McCain), but it’s unusual nonetheless.

(Correction. Sorry about that. The site is kinda screwy tonight)


20 posted on 11/04/2008 6:48:17 PM PST by RangerM (Barack Obama: CHANCE.....We Can't Afford To Take!)
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