Salena Zito: Closing the deal [Pennsylvania may decide race]

Townhall ^ | November 02, 2008 | Salena Zito

[2ndDivisionVet]

The narrative of this historic presidential election has come down to which candidate will close the deal and win the trust of Pennsylvania voters.

From the outside looking in, Pennsylvania has become a metaphor for all that is wrong with our country when it comes to race -- especially those of its Democrats who are soft on or wary of Barack Obama.

Yet on the inside, Pennsylvania is far from its broad-brush portrayal as racist. It is not the color of the candidate; it is the culture he represents.

Say what you will, Obama's "spread the wealth" tongue-slip hit home here.

Most Pennsylvania Democrats who live outside of Philadelphia are very Midwestern in their values and their votes.

If they lose their jobs, they go out and get two more to make up for the loss. They do not take handouts and they don't whine; they provide for themselves and their families.

What are these people made of? I can remember listening as a child to my union-Democrat immigrant grandparents saying they never took "relief" during the Great Depression -- and they were raising five children, had no education beyond the fourth grade and spoke broken English.

Their voting patterns and other traditions passed along to their sons and daughter will help to decide this election.

"Pennsylvania is America," says former Democratic Party executive Mark Siegel. "To understand the voters there is to understand this country."

For weeks, opinion polls have suggested that Obama will clobber John McCain here. McCain stunned Democrats and Republicans alike by deciding to fight it out in Pennsylvania when Obama was clearly ahead in every poll by double digits.

"This race is still not a slam-dunk for Barack Obama," says Pennsylvania Democrat Mark Singel, a former lieutenant governor and acting governor.

Pennsylvania voters move pretty dramatically in the very last days of the campaign, he says.

Kent Gates, a Republican strategist, says the Pennsylvanians who will decide the state race and possibly the presidential election "are not the people who vote early or place bumper stickers on cars and signs in yards."

"They don't attend rallies and scream or chant. They will just quietly vote and decide the presidency without the impact of the national media or experts."

Gates is referring to Democrats.

"In an odd way, many liberals are tone-deaf about normal people, who worship God, country, sports and their communities and don't care all that much about politics," says former Villanova political scientist Bob Maranto.

Maranto says what's causing Pennsylvania voters to give Obama a second look goes beyond Obama's "share the wealth" notion: "They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies who have never run anything in their lives (but) that now want to run the country."

He adds that "it is all in the arrogance."

Liberal Democrats often have a hard time in this state because they don't understand why voters in poor, rural areas don't "vote their pocketbooks." Frankly, these are not very materialistic people; if you live in Johnstown or in Elk County and you care that much about money, then you will leave for better opportunities in the big city.

People who stay behind don't care as much about money as they care about their families or communities.

To ambitious politicians such as Obama or running mate Joe Biden, that's just crazy; they can't imagine folks who care more about family or community than about getting ahead.

Oh, this doesn't mean that people in places like Elk County or Centre County aren't ambitious -- they are. But rather than focus on material needs, they focus on being better parents or better hunters, better Christians, better whatevers. It's a different, more laid-back life.

Much the same can be said for the Pittsburgh region, where many people live within a few miles of where they grew up.

Who will close the deal in Pennsylvania? The polls say Obama; the pundits, too.

Let's see what the voters say.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Good article, as usual.

[se_ohio_young_conservative]

Please PA. please please come through for us.

[CE2949BB]

"They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies who have never run anything in their lives (but) that now want to run the country."

Best one-liner yet.

[kjenerette]

"...In an odd way, many liberals are tone-deaf about normal people, who worship God, country, sports and their communities and don't care all that much about politics..."

Very True. Unfortunately, many politicians fall into this category.

Show how much we need to get out every 'vote McCain - Palin vote' that is possible!

Katherine

Katherine Jenerette

[TLEIBY308]

There are 20 million hunters living in the hills of PA and a lot of other folks who just own guns.

[Erik Latranyi]

The polls and pundits called Pennsylvania for Obama over Clinton.

Let us show them that same upset.

[singfreedom]

Yes, but I remember a FReeper from Michigan assuring me, in 2006, that Michiganders would NEVER vote for a Presidential candidate that was a gun grabber. This, as he was planning not to vote in the 2006 election, despite my efforts to convince him otherwise. Hummmm, now in which column is Michigan?

[SECURE AMERICA]

Say what you will, Obama’s “spread the wealth” tongue-slip hit home here.

That is the problem. It was NOT a tongue slip. The man is a wannabe Communist. And while Pennsylvania has its issues, We did elect Fast Eddie Rendell as Governor and we do have Congressman “our soldiers are murderers” Murtha, but I do not see the vast majority of my fellow citizens as being Communist. So how could they vote for Obama?

[Gondring]

I fear that PA is changing, however, with upcoming generations believing in handouts, not two jobs. Let’s hope the hard-working folks can overcome that.

[Gondring]

Yes, but I remember a FReeper from Michigan assuring me, in 2006, that Michiganders would NEVER vote for a Presidential candidate that was a gun grabber. This, as he was planning not to vote in the 2006 election, despite my efforts to convince him otherwise. Hummmm, now in which column is Michigan?

Many FReepers are proud members of the Ostrich Brigade.

[tomkat]

Good article Salena !

They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies .. it is all in the arrogance     bingo

By way of validation, the sentences following that quote pretty accurately describe the predominant values, philosophy, and ethics of the big 'T' in this state, and in most other states as well, regardless the demographic shape of their particular 'letter'.

It's 'T' folks throughout our nation who actually make it function, most often in spite of the giant sucking effect of their respective states' metropolitan areas.

[Cricket24]

This a great article. I think it actually portrays the Pennsylvania spirit. The MSM just doesn’t get it mainly because they never leave the cities!
I have to admit that I don’t believe the polls. There are very few BHO signs that I have seen...maybe 2. Lots and lots of McCain/Palin signs. Oh and there’s this one guy and his family who ALWAYS have their front yard filled with dem signs....there no signs in his yard this year....

[Tribune7]

ping

[SlightOfTongue]

I'm near Allentown, PA. The word here on the ground is that the massive new registrations of mind-numb young and college "Bush haters" is off-the-hook. If we survive that and the ACORN illegal vote wave, we will win PA. I don't know how the new young 'protest votes' will do in other states, but it doesn't sound positive to me.

Let's hope they don't turn out en masse, as usual, and we'll be fine. Otherwise , all bets are off.

Don't shoot the messenger. I flipped a few relatives to our side this week. Did what I could do.

[Born Conservative]

http://bohicaville.wordpress.com/2008/10/29/pennsylvania-is-still-in-play/

[taildragger]

Your Freeper from MI did not note what my neightbor did. Our UnEmployment is probably more like 30%, 10% here, the other 20% left to find new lives and work already. Many Conservative already left, the state is getting blue-er, and so the mood of us Reaganites left here in this Neo-Socialist Paradise.

If you want to Obama's America, come to Michigan.....

[2ndDivisionVet]

2006 wasn’t a presidential election. Did you mean 2004 or 2000?

[2ndDivisionVet]

Do people there know that unemployment here in Dallas/Fort Worth is around 5%? Everywhere I go I see “help wanted” signs. This isn’t the Soviet Union (yet) so people are allowed to move to better themselves.

[GOPJ]

MeekOneGOP was looking for your ping list - about the Obama coal deal..

[singfreedom]

Sorry, I wasn't very clear in my explanation. It was during the run-up to the Congressional election of 2006 that I had this “conversation”. The FReeper was planning not to vote in the election, but was trying to reassure me, during the course of the conversation, that folks from Michigan would NEVER vote for a “gun grabber” candidate for President. This was in response to my efforts to convince him that he should vote in the election and not leave the outcome to chance—or Democrats.

Now it appears that Michigan will be a blue state and we could, possibly, be stuck with a Dem President, Dem House AND Dem Senate. That was the only point I was trying to make.